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Editorial

Grusha, Ranil and divided House

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Wednesday 18th May, 2022

Parliament has demonstrated, once again, that it does not give a tinker’s cuss about unity and collective action. While the country is burning, and yearning for political stability, the government and the Opposition turned yesterday’s election of the Deputy Speaker into a political battle. The SLPP sought to prove that it exercised control over the House; it fielded MP Ajith Rajapaksa, who received 109 votes, and the Opposition candidate Rohini Wijeratne (SJB), could secure only 78 votes while 23 votes were rejected. The Opposition’s motion seeking the suspension of Standing Orders for a censure motion against President Gotabaya Rajapaksa to be taken up expeditiously was also defeated. The government secured 119 votes as opposed to the Opposition’s 68.

The government may try to make yesterday’s votes in the House out to be another victory for the ‘Rajapaksas’. But numbers are deceptive. One may recall that in 2018, the UNP-led UNF managed to secure a comfortable majority in the House and foil an attempt to dislodge it, but the UNP and its offshoot, the SJB, suffered humiliating electoral defeats the following year. The SJB and its allies should also have a proper assessment of their strength. The censure motion against the President will only cause the House to waste time and put paid to efforts being made to bring about political reconciliation.

Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe, in his address to the nation, on Monday, spoke the unvarnished truth. He made no revelations, though. Everybody knows the worst is yet to come. But he is right in having reminded the people of the tough times ahead and the need to brace themselves for the worst-case scenario. He also infused the public with some hope.

The subtext of the PM’s speech was of interest; he said the country’s foreign currency reserves had been at USD 7.5 billion in November 2019 (when his government fell), the implication being that he cannot be blamed for the current economic mess, which mainly is due to the prevailing forex crisis. But those who were at the helm of the yahapalana government are also responsible for the present economic downturn. The debt overhang is partly inherited. According to Verite Research data, at the end of 2014, Sri Lanka’s economic growth rate was 5%, and it dropped to 2.3% in 2019. Between the end of 2015 and the end of 2019, the country’s external public debt increased by USD 12.5 billion, and gross official reserves decreased by USD 0.57 billion.

Successive governments including the yahapalana regime have done precious little to increase foreign exchange reserves by boosting exports and restricting imports. The Covid-19 pandemic aggravated the crisis; earnings from tourism, and remittances dropped sharply, and lockdowns, etc., here and overseas, took a heavy toll on Sri Lankan exports. The SLPP dispensation drove the country to bankruptcy by mismanaging the economy; it refused to seek IMF assistance early, reduced taxes recklessly, indulged in wasteful expenditure, carried out various rackets such as the sugar tax scam, threw money around by way of relief for political reasons, printed enormous amounts of money thereby causing currency devaluation and soaring inflation, and allowed illegal money transfer schemes such as hawala and undiyal to flourish, with some corrupt government bigwigs allegedly benefiting therefrom. The SLPP’s argument that the pandemic was the root cause of the present economic crisis is untenable in that the foreign currency reserves of other countries in the region grew significantly despite the global health emergency.

The ‘new’ government’s efforts to find out the causes of the economic crisis are superfluous; there is no need to reinvent the wheel. The Central Bank, the Finance Ministry, the IMF and independent economists have identified them and recommended how to tackle them. The task that the government is expected to accomplish is to bring about political and social order, without which no economic recovery is possible, have external debt restructured urgently, find bridge financing to make essential commodities and services available, while trying to secure the IMF bailout package expeditiously, eliminate waste and corruption, curtail state expenditure, present a new budget, and restore the rule of law.

Meanwhile, Prime Minister Wickremesinghe would have us believe it is pure altruism that has driven him to undertake his current mission, which is a massive political gamble. He has likened himself to Grusha in Brecht’s Caucasian Chalk Circle. One finds this analogy interesting. Grusha is a dazzling emblem of love, faithfulness, integrity, selflessness, righteousness and justice. Could this be said about the new PM? We leave it to our readers.

However, there is one striking similarity between Grusha and Ranil. Grusha saves the child of a Governor killed in a coup, and Ranil stands accused of trying to protect a former Prime Minister’s son, among others, amidst a political upheaval.



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Editorial

Fuel: Feints, hooks and rhetoric

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Monday 23rd March, 2026

The fuel price revision on the eve of the reintroduction of the QR-based fuel quota system the other day was only a feint, and the killer hook followed on Saturday, when massive fuel price hikes sent the public reeling. Curiously, Cabinet Spokesman and Minister Dr. Nalinda Jayatissa has said that despite the latest fuel price increases, “the Treasury is still bearing a cost of Rs. 100 per litre of diesel and Rs. 20 per litre of petrol, resulting in an estimated monthly subsidy expenditure of approximately Rs. 20 billion”. This claim lacks clarity. If it is true that fuel is still subsidised, the government ought to present a cost analysis based on landed costs of imported fuel, refining or processing costs, if any, administrative and distribution costs, dealer margins, and government taxes and levies. Mere words won’t do.

A statement made by President Anura Kumara Dissanayake on fuel pricing, in Parliament last Friday, runs counter to the Cabinet Spokesman’s aforesaid claim. What one gathered from the President’s speech was that the government would increase fuel prices in such a way as to make them cost-reflective. The President said the Ceylon Petroleum Corporation (CPC) accounted for 57% of the country’s fuel supply, and if it had been the sole supplier, world market price fluctuations could have been managed by offsetting current losses with future profits.

He said the private sector now controlled 43% of the market, and its position was that if retail prices did not reflect the current landed costs of fuel, it would stop imports. Emphasising that the contribution of the private sector was essential to maintaining the national fuel supply, the President noted that the private companies would participate only if they could sell fuel at cost-reflective prices. In other words, his position was that it was not possible to subsidise fuel. So, if the fuel prices determined by the CPC are not cost-reflective, due to subsidies, they will compel the private companies in the fuel trade to vote with their feet. It will be interesting to see whether they will do so. They have already matched the CPC prices.

Meanwhile, there are some measures that the government can adopt immediately to grant relief to the public. As we argued in last Saturday’s comment, the government should seriously consider suspending the loss-recovery levy of Rs. 50 per litre embedded in fuel prices, and imposing it again, if at all, when oil prices stabilise in the world market. This levy must also be replaced with a special commodity tax, which can be imposed on the private companies engaged in the fuel trade; at present they do not transfer the proceeds from loss-recovery levy to the Treasury, unlike the CPC, according to some former Petroleum ministers. Expanding the base of the loss-recovery levy in the form of a cess will help reduce its quantum. Surprisingly, this issue has not been taken up in Parliament.

There is also a pressing need for a car-pooling system to address the issue of soaring fuel prices and low-occupancy vehicles on the road. There are some car-pooling platforms in Sri Lanka, but they are not widely used. Car-pooling apps and similar services operate across Europe, Asia and Latin America in countries, such as France, Germany, Spain, Italy, Belgium, Poland, the UK, Turkey, India, Russia, Brazil and Mexico.

Successive governments have not cared to increase the country’s strategic petroleum reserves. The incumbent dispensation has failed to be different. In April 2020, world oil prices turned negative for the first time in history, with the oil producers paying buyers to remove the commodity owing to a fear that they would run out of storage facilities. Sri Lanka could not benefit from that windfall. The SLPP was in power at the time. If the Trinco oil tank farm had been repaired and made operational by then, the CPC would have been able to make huge profits and even turn itself around.

Speaking in Parliament, President Dissanayake recently lamented the limited oil storage facilities in Sri Lanka. No country can absorb oil price shocks unless it maintains strategic petroleum reserves. Only a few of the 99 oil tanks in Trincomalee have been developed. The Indian Oil Company (IOC) has been given 14 tanks, and the CPC 24 tanks, which remain unused; 61 tanks are to be developed under a joint venture between the CPC and the IOC. Each tank has a capacity of about 10,000 MT. There are no signs of the CPC-owned tanks in Trinco being made operational any time soon despite the JVP-led NPP’s election pledge to rehabilitate them fast as a national priority. Rhetoric is no substitute for strategic planning.

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Editorial

President in Parliament

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President Anura Kumara Dissanayake is often seen in Parliament, making special statements and long speeches in defence of his government. It is being argued in some quarters that no other President attended Parliament so frequently. This, however, is a moot point. We once commented on President Mahinda Rajapaksa’s regular presence in Parliament, asking whether he was trying to remind the Legislature that he was the boss. Why should the Presidents attend and address Parliament regularly?

President Dissanayake is apparently labouring under the misconception that he can shore up the government’s image single-handedly by attending Parliament and displaying his oratorical skills. Whenever he is sighted in Parliament, everybody knows that the government has blotted its copybook again and is badly in need of his help to distract the public from its blunders and misdeeds. President Dissanayake spoke in Parliament yesterday as well, stressing his government’s ‘neutral foreign policy’, among other things, for the umpteenth time.

Sri Lanka’s Constitution works the way it should only when the Executive is in a position to control the Legislature. When the President and the Prime Minister happen to represent two different political parties, the latter undermines the former, as was the case between 2001 and 2004, with President Chandrika Kumaratunga and Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe leading the SLFP-led People’s Alliance and the UNP-led UNF, respectively. They were at loggerheads, and President Kumaratunga finally went so far as to sack the UNF government and hold a snap general election, which her party won, helping her consolidate her power by regaining control of Parliament. President Maithripala Sirisena faced a similar situation after breaking ranks with the UNP-led UNF in 2018. Thus, the Presidents do everything in their power to keep the Legislature under their thumb lest alternative power centres should form around the Prime Ministers in Parliament even when their own parties are in power.

The President is constitutionally required to attend Parliament once every three months. Article 32 (3) of the Constitution says: “The President shall, by virtue of his office, attend Parliament once in every three months ….” Article 32 (4) says: “The President shall by virtue of his office also have the right to address and send messages to Parliament. The President also has the power to make the Statement of Government Policy in Parliament at the commencement of each session of Parliament and preside over ceremonial sittings of Parliament, according to Article 33.

These constitutional provisions are widely thought to be aimed at ensuring periodic engagement between the Executive and the Legislature, thereby promoting accountability, communication, and constitutional balance in a presidential system. The Executive President’s regular presence in Parliament theoretically signals his or her respect for the legislature and helps reinforce the notions of accountability and constitutionalism, but it can also be interpreted as a form of ‘soft power projection’ when it is intended to shape political narratives in favour of the ruling party.

The Executive should be mindful of the time constraints faced by the Legislature. An oft-heard complaint in Parliament is that the members of both the government and the Opposition are denied sufficient time to speak. Their anger is directed at the Speaker. Not all of them come out with anything sensible in their speeches and during debates, which more often than not descend into slanging matches and even fisticuffs; they are known to say very little in so many words and often go off on a tangent. However, their right to express their views in Parliament as elected people’s representatives cannot be questioned. It is their time that the Executive uses to make speeches and statements in the House to further the interests of his or her party. The Executive ought to render unto the legislators what is theirs and refrain from trying to overshadow the Legislature.

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Editorial

More shocks in the pipeline

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Saturday 21st March, 2026

Trouble is said to come in threes. For Sri Lankans, it seems to come in multiples of three. Close on the heels of crippling fuel price hikes, speculation is rife that electricity tariff increases are on the cards. The government is said to be contemplating another round of fuel price hikes as well.

The JVP/NPP talked the talk in the run-up to the 2024 elections, but it is now unable to walk the walk. In fact, the sobering economic reality has compelled it to do the very antithesis of what it promised during its Opposition days. It made a solemn pledge to bring down the cost of living immediately after forming a government and even tackle the country’s debt crisis expeditiously, without aggravating the people’s lot. There seems to be no end in sight to its about-turns, which are legion.

There is reason to believe that many people voted for the JVP/NPP, expecting it to fulfil its promise to lower taxes and tariffs among other things. Now that the government has reneged on that pledge and increased taxes and electricity and fuel prices substantially, they must be feeling that they were taken for a ride. Winning elections by making all the promises in the world is one thing, but fulfilling them to live up to the people’s expectations is quite another. There was no way the NPP government could slash taxes and tariffs, given the perilous state of the economy and the IMF bailout conditions, which are aimed at increasing state revenue severalfold and bring about debt sustainability. President Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s government blundered by slashing taxes and fuel prices. Interim President Ranil Wickremesinghe had to rectify those colossal policy blunders that ruined the economy. However, the public naturally becomes livid when governments do not make good on their promises and they are left without the promised relief and benefits.

The Opposition has said President Anura Kumara Dissanayake yesterday made a case for another round of fuel price hikes while addressing Parliament. A spokesman for fuel distributors has gone on record as saying that more fuel prices are in the pipeline. Such statements only cause panic among consumers and drive filling stations operators to hide their stocks with a view to profiteering. Yesterday, many of them claimed they had run out of fuel. There is no one the public can turn to. Unsurprisingly, when many filling stations claim to have no fuel, queues of vehicles near the others where stocks are available grow longer. It behoves the President, other government politicians and fuel distributors to refrain from predicting fuel prices hikes. It is also a mistake for them to predict price reductions, for the filling station owners do not place orders until the fuel prices are lowered. What the politicians and others should do is to guard their tongues and allow fuel prices to be lowered or increased.

Further fuel price increases will make the cost of living even more unbearable for the ordinary people. The government, which came to power, promising to do away with the taxes on fuel and halve the petroleum prices, ought to consider lowering the loss-recovery levy on fuel, amounting to Rs. 50 a litre, until the global oil market stabilises with prices returning to the pre-Middle East conflict levels. Thereafter, that levy may be re-imposed but in the form of a special commodity tax so that the Indian Oil Company, Sinopec, etc., which are said to control 43% of the local fuel market, will have to pay it, and the Treasury will gain. At present, the loss-recovery levy helps increase the profits of the private companies, ironic as it may sound.

It is hoped that government politicians and their officials will talk less and work more to increase the country’s oil storage capacity. The need to increase oil buffer stocks as a national priority cannot be overstated. Allowing the government’s private sector cronies to import oil cannot be considered a solution to the current energy crisis.

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