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CBSL reaffirms commitment to economic recovery

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Dr. Chandranath Amarasekera

By Ifham Nizam

The Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) has reaffirmed its commitment to stabilizing inflation and supporting economic recovery through a carefully calibrated monetary policy stance. The February 2025 Monetary Policy Report (MPR) outlines key trends in inflation, interest rates and economic growth, offering insights into the nation’s financial future.

To enhance awareness on the report, the Bank hosted two discussions chaired by Assistant Governor Dr. Chandranath Amarasekere, with expert insights from the Director of the Economic Research Department, Directors of the Monetary Policy Committee and technical teams of the Economic Research Department.

The CBSL maintained its accommodative monetary policy throughout 2024, with a notable rate cut in November when it introduced a single policy rate mechanism—the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR)—set at 8.00%. This move effectively reduced interest rates by 50 basis points, a decision aimed at spurring economic activity while keeping inflation in check.

The monetary easing strategy aligns with the CBSL’s broader objective of anchoring inflation expectations, enhancing transparency and fostering financial market stability. As of January 2025, the OPR remains at 8.00%, signaling the bank’s confidence in its current approach.

Sri Lanka experienced deflation in the second half of 2024, driven largely by reduced electricity tariffs, lower fuel prices, and declining food costs. Since September 2024, headline inflation has remained in negative territory, reflecting a sharp drop in consumer price levels.

Looking ahead, the CBSL projects inflation to stabilize around 5% over the medium term. However, short-term risks remain. Inflation may temporarily exceed the target between late 2025 and mid-2026 before normalizing.

The report highlights several key risks to inflation:

Upside risks: Rising global food and energy prices, potential currency depreciation and unpredictable fiscal policies could push inflation higher.

Downside risks: Further price reductions in essential goods and energy could extend the deflationary trend.

The Sri Lankan economy is on a recovery path, albeit at a moderate pace. The CBSL acknowledges that the economy is operating below full capacity, with growth dependent on policy measures and external factors.

Key risks to growth include:

Labour shortages due to brain drain

Uncertain global economic conditions

Impact of climate change on agriculture

Conversely, debt restructuring and tourism recovery could provide much-needed economic momentum.

Despite statistical evidence of falling prices, many Sri Lankans do not feel a significant improvement in their cost of living. The report suggests this disconnect stems from:

Past inflation episodes, which have left prices elevated despite recent declines.

Income levels lagging behind inflation trends, reducing purchasing power.

Psychological and behavioral factors, where consumers may not perceive small price reductions as meaningful relief.

The CBSL’s focus remains on managing inflation expectations, ensuring financial stability, and supporting economic growth. While the current outlook suggests a gradual recovery, external shocks and domestic challenges could still pose risks.

As Sri Lanka navigates its economic future, policy consistency, fiscal discipline, and structural reforms will be critical in achieving long-term stability.

With inflation stabilizing and monetary policy remaining accommodative, the CBSL appears confident in its strategy. However, whether these measures translate into real economic relief for the public remains to be seen.



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‘2025 Budget targets inclusive growth through bold reforms’

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The Ceylon Chamber of Commerce welcomes bold proposals in the budget that align with its recommendations, Sri Lanka Economic Summit discussions, and Vision 2030 goals. The 2025 Budget focuses on stability, governance, public relief, tackling corruption, and driving inclusive growth. The Budget emphasises infrastructure expansion through Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs) and digital economy initiatives, providing a strong foundation for transformation.

The Chamber appreciates the Government’s recognition of the need to reform the Customs Ordinance and the implementation of the National Single Window, both crucial for enhancing trade facilitation and improving the ease of doing business. We also acknowledge the planned implementation of the Economic Transformation Act with amendments and the introduction of legislation on Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs). Timely execution of these reforms will create a more conducive environment for private sector investment in key sectors such as ports, tourism, and infrastructure, as highlighted in the budget speech.

Policy Continuity: Taxation and Fiscal Framework

The Chamber commends the Government for maintaining policy consistency by retaining the existing tax framework and avoiding ad-hoc tax measures to match the expenditure proposals. Adhering to the Public Financial Management Act, which caps primary expenditure at 13% of GDP, is a positive step toward rebuilding investor confidence and strengthening Sri Lanka’s global credit standing. Ensuring tax stability during the year and simplifying compliance will be crucial for fostering a competitive business environment.

Bold Reforms Requires

Timely Implementation

The above-mentioned bold reforms require time-bound implementation to translate the Budget’s vision into a reality that will be felt by the public. For example, projects like the National Single Window which has been a request from the private sector for over two decades require commitment by the Government on the implementation plan.

The Chamber welcomes the plan to establish a holding company for SOEs, aligning with global best practices to improve governance, financial discipline, and efficiency. Its success will depend on clear timelines, independent oversight, and transparency. The focus on digitalisation and e-governance is also a positive step, with initiatives like the Unique Digital ID and the setup of an Apex Digital Economy Authority to reduce bureaucracy and enhance transparency.

Specific Proposals Require Consultation Prior to Implementation

The transition from the current SVAT system to a risk-based refund system requires careful execution, including stress-tested pilot programmes to ensure a robust and efficient refund process. The changes to the minimum wage for private sector should be carried out in a consultative process and align with business sustainability and broader labour reforms that advocate for higher women’s economic participation and flexible work.

The budget prioritises investment-driven growth but needs stronger support for MSMEs, vital for jobs and resilience. While Rs. 254 billion is allocated for agriculture, a clear strategy for modernisation, value chains, and climate resilience, is crucial. Policies on sustainable farming, irrigation, and private-sector agro-processing, must be strengthened to counter climate change impacts.

Alignment with Chamber Recommendations and Vision 2030

The Government’s emphasis on investment-led growth, trade, digital transformation, and public sector reform, align with the Ceylon Chamber’s recommendations. While the 2025 budget effectively addresses fiscal consolidation, investment facilitation, and governance, its success depends on efficient time-bound implementation, policy stability, and stakeholder collaboration. The Chamber remains committed to working with the Government to refine and execute these policies, ensuring a resilient, inclusive, and globally competitive economy.

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AIA Insurance recognized as the Best Life Insurance Company in Sri Lanka for the fifth year

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AIA Insurance marks its fifth year of being recognized as the Best Life Insurance Company in Sri Lanka. Awarded by the internationally renowned Capital Finance International (CFI) and Global Banking and Finance Review (GBFR), these supreme achievements stand as a testament to AIA’s unwavering commitment to innovation, customer-centricity, and community empowerment in the face of unprecedented challenges.

2023/24 marked another year of resilience for AIA Insurance. Amidst a fluctuating economic landscape, the company’s mission to be a steadfast partner to the people of Sri Lanka has never wavered. Prioritizing the wellbeing of both its customers and the broader community, AIA has continued to lead with purpose, enhancing its offerings to meet the evolving needs of Sri Lankans.

AIA’s commitment to customer delight, backed by digital innovation, remains a cornerstone of its success. Over the past year, the company has accelerated its digital transformation journey, introducing pioneering solutions that set new benchmarks in the insurance industry. From cutting-edge human-centric point-of-sale (POS) systems to advanced robotic process automation and cloud-based strategies, AIA has consistently delivered seamless and efficient experiences to its customers.

AIA’s dedication to holistic wellness extends beyond its product portfolio. As Sri Lanka’s only insurer with a cohesive wellness ecosystem, AIA has forged partnerships with leading wellness providers, offering customers unparalleled access to health and wellbeing services. This includes collaborations with Flash Health, High Octane Fitness Gyms, Siddhalepa, My Dentist, Unilever Pureit, Vision Care and Doc990 ensuring that AIA customers are not just protected but are empowered to lead healthier and happier lives.

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AIKO and Sunbeam Technologies empower Sri Lanka with high-efficiency N-TYPE ABC Modules

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AIKO, a BloombergNEF Tier 1 solar module manufacturer, has successfully launched its World’s No. 1 Efficiency N-TYPE ABC Modules in Sri Lanka, marking a significant step towards advancing renewable energy adoption in the region.

The launch event, held on 7th February at Monarch Imperial, was organized in collaboration with Sunbeam Technologies (Pvt) Ltd. The occasion seamlessly combined technological presentations with vibrant cultural performances, highlighting Sri Lanka’s rich heritage while focusing on innovation. Sunbeam Technologies ensures efficient distribution and comprehensive support for AIKO’s products, facilitating broader adoption across the country.

Distinguished guests, including J. M. Athula, Director General of the Sri Lanka Sustainable Energy Authority (SLSEA), and Padmadeva Samaranayake, Project Coordinating Officer at SLSEA, attended the event. Their participation emphasized the significance of cutting-edge solar technologies in driving Sri Lanka’s sustainable energy agenda.

AIKO’s N-TYPE ABC Modules, the highlight of the event, set a new benchmark in the solar industry with a range of exceptional features. These modules achieve the highest efficiency, with 27.2% cell efficiency and 24.2% module efficiency, thanks to advanced ABC technology that maximizes energy output. They also offer superior micro-crack resistance and extreme durability, ensuring long-term reliability across various environmental conditions. The modules maintain high performance even under partial shading, optimizing energy yield, and feature an improved temperature coefficient, delivering better efficiency in high-temperature environments. Additionally, the N-TYPE ABC Modules guarantee sustained performance with lower degradation over the product’s lifespan, making them a reliable choice for long-term energy production.

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