Business
WB: Lanka projected to grow by 3.3% amidst uncertainties

Sri Lanka’s economy is projected to grow by 3.3 percent in 2021, but the medium-term outlook is clouded by pre-existing macroeconomic weaknesses and the economic scarring from the COVID-19 pandemic, said the World Bank on Thursday (7).
A gradual recovery will likely lead to corresponding improvements in labour market conditions.
Most countries in South Asia are far from pre-pandemic trend levels, says the World Bank in its twice-yearly regional update.
The latest South Asia Economic Focus titled Shifting Gears: Digitization and Services-Led Development projects the region to grow by 7.1 percent in 2021 and 2022.
While the year-on-year growth remains strong in the region, albeit from a very low base in 2020, the recovery has been uneven across countries and sectors.
South Asia’s average annual growth is forecast to be 3.4 percent over 2020-23, which is 3 percentage points less than it was in the four years preceding the pandemic.
COVID-19 has left long-term scars on the region’s economy, the impacts of which can last well into the recovery. Many countries experienced lower investment flows, disruptions in supply chains, and setbacks to human capital accumulation, as well as substantial increases in debt levels.
The pandemic is estimated to have caused 48 to 59 million people to become or remain poor in 2021 in South Asia. Sri Lanka’s poverty at $3.20 per day poverty line is projected to fall to 10.9 percent in 2021, which is still significantly above the 2019 level of 9.2 percent.
“Sri Lanka has done well to vaccinate more than 50 percent of the total population so far and the Government is now focusing on targeted measures to prevent further COVID-19 waves, which could dampen the economic recovery,” said Faris Hadad-Zervos, Country Director of the World Bank for Maldives, Nepal, and Sri Lanka.
“The pandemic has brought unprecedented disruptions to education and the learning losses will be a drag on the country’s human capital gains. Targeted policies to reverse trends of long-term inequality and reduce gaps in equity are priority to realize growth prospects.”
In Sri Lanka, continued macroeconomic challenges, particularly the high debt burden, large refinancing needs, and weak external buffers will adversely affect growth and poverty reduction over the medium term.
Despite increased policy rates and price controls imposed by the government, inflationary pressure is expected to remain strong amid partial monetization of the fiscal deficit, currency depreciation, and rising global commodity prices. Food insecurity could worsen and poverty reduction slow if food prices remain elevated and shortages continue.
As countries build back, they have a chance to rethink their long-term development models. With the emergence of new digital technologies, South Asia has an opportunity to shift gears from a traditional manufacturing-led growth model and capitalize on the potential of its services sector.
In the medium to long term, digital technologies could become an important engine for job growth in Sri Lanka. However, despite widescale ownership of cellphones in Sri Lanka, the digital revolution will fall short of expectations without expansion of high-speed networks and accessible data on the whole island. Sri Lanka could provide new opportunities for economic mobility through policies that expand or universalize access to digital infrastructure, and investments in digital literacy are a prerequisite for widely shared benefits from these new opportunities.
“Countries in South Asia have a strong comparative advantage in exporting services, particularly business processes and tourism, whereas they have struggled to break into manufacturing export markets,” said Hans Timmer, World Bank Chief Economist for the South Asia Region. “To realize the potential of the services-led development, the region needs to rethink regulations and establish new institutions to support innovation and competitiveness.”
Business
Mini-hydro power emerging a more sustainable option than thermal power

Public Utilities Commission of Sri Lanka (PUCSL) analysis shows that the running cost for mini- hydro projects is some Rs 25 million per year, making them a financially sustainable solution for energy generation, in comparison to the extremely high running costs borne by thermal power plants operated by the Ceylon Electricity Board.
A senior official told The Island Financial Review that in the pursuit of sustainable and cost-efficient energy solutions, mini- hydro projects have emerged as a viable alternative, particularly for the private sector. “Small-scale hydroelectric power can be managed effectively with minimal operational costs, he added.
The official noted that mini hydro projects are typically small-scale hydroelectric power stations that generate electricity by utilizing natural water flow without the need for large dams or reservoirs. They offer a reliable source of renewable energy with lower environmental impact compared to larger hydro projects.
The private sector has been actively involved in managing mini- hydro projects, recognizing their potential to provide a stable revenue stream while contributing to clean energy production. “The scale of these projects aligns well with private sector capabilities, as they require relatively lower capital investment and can be efficiently managed by smaller teams, he added.
Moreover, the official said, with advancements in technology and increasing emphasis on renewable energy, mini- hydro projects offer opportunities for public-private partnerships. Incentives such as tax benefits, favorable tariffs, and government support for renewable energy further enhance the attractiveness of these investments.
“Beyond financial feasibility, mini- hydro projects bring several long-term benefits. They contribute to energy security by reducing dependence on fossil fuels and mitigating the impact of power shortages. Additionally, they have minimal environmental disruption compared to large-scale hydroelectric plants, preserving local ecosystems and water resources, he added.
By Ifham Nizam
Business
HNB hosts Women’s Day program empowering 300+ microfinance entrepreneurs

Hatton National Bank PLC (HNB) reaffirmed its commitment to fostering financial inclusion and empowering women entrepreneurs by hosting a corporate event in celebration of International Women’s Day 2025. The program brought together over 300 microfinance entrepreneurs, alongside business leaders, financial experts, and HNB representatives, creating a platform for knowledge sharing and empowerment. The initiative aimed to equip women with the insights and resources needed to drive sustainable business growth and strengthen their entrepreneurial journeys.
Held under the theme of Empowerment and Financial Literacy, the event featured insightful discussions, educational sessions, and an engaging panel on financial management and entrepreneurship. Women entrepreneurs from across the country participated in the event, sharing their experiences and learning from industry experts on how to navigate challenges and expand their businesses.
HNB’s Managing Director/CEO, Damith Pallewatte, addressed the gathering, reiterating the bank’s role in fostering inclusive economic growth and empowering women-led enterprises.
“Today, there is a growing trend of grassroots-level women engaging in entrepreneurship, which is a crucial factor for the country’s progress. Recognizing the importance of empowering women, HNB has taken steps to create vast opportunities for them. Through initiatives focused on financial literacy, empowerment, introducing role models, and strengthening networks, we aim to contribute to the advancement of women and support their journey toward success.”
The event featured a series of expert-led sessions designed to equip women entrepreneurs with the knowledge and tools to make informed financial decisions. A financial literacy program conducted by Keerthi Dunuthilaka, Deputy Director of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL), provided key insights on managing and growing businesses. Viranga Gamage, HNB’s Head of Deposits, presented investment options tailored for women entrepreneurs, while Raman Jeikumaar, Senior Manager – Tax & Group Accounting, simplified tax management for SMEs. Dr. Hashi Peiris from the University of Kelaniya delivered an inspiring session on holistic empowerment, and entrepreneur Shamali Wickremasinghe shared her journey to success. Additionally, Sanesh Fernando, Chief Business Officer of HNB Assurance PLC, highlighted the importance of life insurance in securing financial stability for business owners.
Business
‘Sri Lanka’s digital industry: Resilient, adaptive, and poised for growth amid policy shifts’

The digital services sector in Sri Lanka has witnessed new tax measures introduced in the latest national budget, which mark a significant shift in the industry’s financial landscape. While these measures present challenges, the industry remains steadfast in its commitment to growth, innovation, and resilience. The Ministry of Digital Economy, in collaboration with key industry stakeholders, is actively engaging to ensure that Sri Lanka remains a competitive and attractive hub for digital services, both regionally and globally.
The digital sector has long been one of the most dynamic and future-ready industries in Sri Lanka, withstanding economic crises, global downturns, and disruptive technological shifts. Even during the most difficult periods, such as the COVID-19 pandemic and the economic crisis that followed, the industry remained robust, leveraging innovation and adaptability to sustain growth. The introduction of new tax policies, while impacting stakeholders, is being met with a proactive approach by both the Government and industry leaders to mitigate negative consequences and capitalize on long-term opportunities.
A key aspect of the Government’s fiscal strategy has been to ensure a level playing field by requiring all companies—both local and international—to contribute to the nation’s economy through taxation. Historically, non-domiciled digital service providers had an advantage over local companies, as they were not required to pay taxes for services offered within Sri Lanka. This policy shift is expected to generate additional revenue for the Government while ensuring fairness in the market. However, concerns have been raised regarding the potential implications of increased taxation on digital exports and freelancers, as this may encourage relocation of businesses and banking operations to more tax-friendly jurisdictions. Despite these challenges, the Ministry of Digital Economy, in collaboration with key industry organizations, is focused on implementing measures to sustain and enhance the growth of Sri Lanka’s digital economy. Several strategies are being explored to provide relief and long-term benefits to industry players. These include concessionary loan schemes, investment in skill development, improved digital infrastructure, and the creation of IT parks and co-working spaces to foster innovation and entrepreneurship.
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