Business
Sri Lanka’s economy showing growth amidst persistent challenges
Sri Lanka’s economy registered a growth of 5.4% in the third quarter of 2025, marking a slight acceleration from the same period last year, according to the latest Central Bank indicators. This expansion was led by a robust 8.1% growth in the industrial sector, while agriculture and services grew by 3.6% and 3.5%, respectively.
The real sector presents a mixed picture. While industrial production and Purchasing Managers’ Indices signal expansion, inflationary pressures require monitoring.
Both the National and Colombo Consumer Price Indices show a year-on-year increase of around 2.7% and 2.1%, respectively. Food prices, particularly for vegetables like green chillies and beans, showed significant weekly volatility, impacting household budgets.
In the monetary sector, interest rates are exhibiting a gradual easing trend. The Weekly Average Weighted Prime Lending Rate (AWPR) decreased slightly to 8.78%, and Treasury bill yields remained stable.
However, market liquidity tightened, with the total surplus falling to Rs. 65.92 billion. The rupee depreciated by 5.5% against the US dollar year-to-date, influencing import costs.
The fiscal sector continues to bear a heavy debt burden, with outstanding government debt rising to Rs. 29,660 billion by August 2025.
Externally, the trade deficit widened to USD 6.18 billion for January-October 2025, driven by a 59.6% surge in consumer goods imports. This was partly offset by strong performance in tourism, with arrivals up 16.6%, and steady worker remittances. Official reserve assets stood at a provisional USD 6,033 million at end-November.
The data paints a picture of an economy in recovery, driven by industry and supported by resilient services and tourism. However, this growth is navigating headwinds from currency depreciation, an elevated public debt stock, and a widening trade deficit.
The sectoral shifts show that managing inflation, ensuring debt sustainability, and boosting export competitiveness remain critical for stabilizing and sustaining the current growth trajectory.
Business
Rs. 1 million fine proposed on substandard plastic producers
The government’s proposal to raise fines on manufacturers of substandard plastic products to as much as Rs. 1 million is expected to trigger a major compliance shift within Sri Lanka’s plastics industry, correcting long-standing market distortions caused by weak enforcement.
Environment Deputy Minister Anton Jayakody said the move targets producers who continue to bypass approved standards, undercutting compliant manufacturers and exacerbating environmental damage.
Environment Ministry Advisor Dr. Ravindra Kariyawasam said the initiative represents a structural market correction rather than a purely environmental intervention.
“Non-compliant producers have enjoyed an artificial cost advantage for years, distorting pricing and discouraging legitimate investment,” Kariyawasam told The Island Financial Review. “Meaningful penalties are essential to restore fairness and industry discipline.”
He said the widespread circulation of low-grade plastic products has eroded consumer confidence and delayed the sector’s transition towards higher-value and sustainable manufacturing.
Industry analysts note that a Rs. 1 million fine would significantly alter risk calculations for marginal operators, forcing upgrades in machinery, testing and compliance or pushing weaker players out of the market.
Kariyawasam stressed that the policy is intended to support responsible businesses rather than suppress industry growth.
“Manufacturers investing in recycling, biodegradable alternatives and quality assurance should not be penalised by competing with environmentally damaging, low-cost products,” he said.
The Deputy Minister indicated that tighter enforcement will be paired with policy support for sustainable packaging and circular-economy initiatives, aligning the sector with emerging global trade and environmental standards.
From a business perspective, the proposed regulation is likely to impact pricing, supply chains and capital investment decisions, while improving the long-term credibility of Sri Lanka’s plastics industry in both domestic and export markets.
By Ifham Nizam
Business
First Capital to unveil Sri Lanka’s Economic Outlook and Investment Strategies for 2026
First Capital Holdings PLC (the Group), a subsidiary of JXG (Janashakthi Group) and a pioneering force in Sri Lanka’s investment landscape, is set to host the 12th edition of its renowned ‘First Capital Investor Symposium’ on 22 January 2026 at Cinnamon Life Colombo, starting from 5.30 pm onwards.
The 12th Edition will focus on Sri Lanka’s Economic Outlook for 2026, offering attendees a comprehensive analysis of market forecasts, investment strategies and emerging opportunities in the capital markets. The symposium serves as a crucial gathering for investors seeking insights to navigate the evolving economic landscape and make sound, strategic decisions.
As a leading investment institution, First Capital remains committed to promoting informed decision-making through comprehensive research and market analysis. By hosting this annual symposium, the organisation reinforces its role as a trusted partner in Sri Lanka’s capital markets, providing a premier platform for investors, professionals, and industry leaders to exchange knowledge, explore opportunities and build meaningful connections.
A key highlight of this year’s agenda will be First Capital’s presentation on the Economic and Investment Outlook, outlining market conditions and investment strategies for the period ahead. The presentation will be delivered by Ranjan Ranatunga, Assistant Vice President – Research of First Capital Holdings PLC.
Business
Rivers, Rights, Resilience Forum 2026 begins in Colombo
Oxfam in Asia commenced the Rivers, Rights, Resilience Forum (RRRF) 2026, a three-day regional forum bringing together water experts, policymakers, civil society, researchers, and community leaders from across South Asia and beyond to strengthen cooperation on shared river systems and climate resilience.
The Forum is part of the Transboundary Rivers of South Asia (TROSA) programme, supported by the Government of Sweden, which works on the Ganges–Brahmaputra–Meghna (GBM) river basins, while also encouraging cross-basin learning at the regional and global levels. This year’s theme is “Building Resilient Communities and Ecosystems.” The Forum is co-organised by Oxfam in Asia and Dev Pro, Sri Lanka.
The forum opened with a welcome address by John Samuel, Regional Director, Oxfam in Asia, who highlighted the deep connection between rivers, politics, climate change, and sustainability. He underlined how rivers shape both environmental and social outcomes across South Asia and called for stronger collaboration between governments and civil society.
“Today building resilience is important in terms of climate and politics, and when civic space is shrinking, we should all work in solidarity,” he said.
Speaking at the Forum, Chamindry Saparamadu, Executive Director of DevPro shared examples of how communities in Sri Lanka have taken actions to ensure equitable access to water resources through catchment protection initiatives, community-based water societies etc. She further highlighted that learning exchanges would be useful to further strengthen inter-provincial water governance in Sri Lanka.
The Chief Guest, Syeda Rizwana Hasan, Advisor, Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change and Ministry of Water Resources, Bangladesh, in her video message, emphasised the need for regional cooperation among South Asian countries beyond the upstream–downstream identity.
“Climate change will make water scarce, so South Asian countries have to come together to work on the common interest of their communities. Rivers are not just ecology but economics as well for communities. Forums like this help us to share our experience and learn from each other,” she said.
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