Business
Positive outlook on post COVID-19 economic recovery

Top economists and business leaders discussed the outlook for the global and local economy during the first session of the Sri Lanka Economic Summit 2020 organised by The Ceylon Chamber of Commerce (CCC). Eric Robertsen – Global Head, Research and Chief Strategist, Standard Chartered Bank and Deshamanya Prof W D Lakshman – Governor, Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) were the two speakers at the session while Deshamanya Mahesh Amalean – chairman, MAS Holdings and Krishan Balendra – chairman, John Keells Holdings PLC joined the panel discussion moderated by Shiran Fernando – Chief Economist, CCC.
Despite the impact of the pandemic, Eric highlighted in his speech several positive global developments to take note of. He stated that export levels of emerging markets in Asia had rebounded to pre COVID levels. The recovery in global trade was recorded in two quarters compared to 6-7 quarters in the period post the global financial crisis. Further, he highlighted that a combination of monetary policy support, low level of interest rates and inflation would create a platform for a better economic narrative in 2021.The continuation of a weaker dollar would also be favourable for emerging market assets. Eric stated that according to their research they believe that the recovery of 2021 will look almost like the post war economic recovery with similar economic destruction as a result of the health crisis due to COVID-19.
Central Bank Governor Prof W D Lakshman highlighted that with National Budget 2021 and the policy measures put in place by CBSL and the government, Sri Lanka possesses the potential to emerge as a stronger and more resilient economy in 2021. The focus was in developing the real sector in reviving industries and expanding business opportunities through encouraging home-grown industries, large as well as Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs).
Addressing the fiscal and debt concerns the Governor highlighted that high levels of debt could be sustainable when domestic debt was the predominant component in the debt portfolio. He went on to state that the ratio of government’s foreign non-concessional debt to GDP was around 23 per cent, and the remainder was either domestic debt that can be rolled over or long-term concessional financing. The annual foreign debt service payments as a percentage of export earnings and remittances stood around 12 per cent in ‘business-as-usual’ years such as 2018. The Governor highlight that public debt will be managed in such a way the domestic to foreign component of the debt will adjust from 55:45 in 2020 to 60:40 in 2021. This and the stated policy of not pursuing foreign debt-creating public investments will make government debt more manageable.
In the panel discussion, Mahesh highlighted that exports should be the key element in the roadmap for economic recovery of Sri Lanka. In terms of the apparel sector, he highlighted two trends which Sri Lankan businesses must focus on which were that customers were increasingly looking vertically in their sourcing and the rapid growth of digitalisation in the value chain. Krishan highlighted the setback due to COVID-19 for the domestic economy but was optimistic in a rebound during 2021. Citing one example in tourism, he highlighted that their resorts in Maldives has seen higher forward bookings for March-April 2021 compared to previous year’s.
Responding to questions by the participants on the potential for low global interest rates driving capital inflow into markets like Sri Lanka, Eric noted that initially investments would flow to the largest and most liquid markets but could later expand to other diversified investment portfolios with higher risks and returns. In closing Mahesh highlighted three areas for businesses to focus on: operate close to the customer and understand the expectations, understand the capabilities required by companies to operate in this challenging environment and strive for operational excellence in terms of manufacturing competitively and agile. (CCC)
Business
Industry and Entrepreneurship Development Minister Handunneththi’s visit to Lumala highlights key industrial concerns

With the aim of assesing the current challenges faced by local industrialists and explore avenues for government support, Minister of Industry and Entrepreneurship Development Hon. Sunil Handunneththi visited City Cycle Industries Manufacturing (Pvt.) Ltd., widely known as Lumala, on March 24 at its factory in Panadura.
During the visit, Minister Handunneththi engaged with senior officials and employees to understand their concerns and operational difficulties. In a statement shared on social media, the Minister acknowledged the pressing challenges affecting Sri Lanka’s manufacturing sector and emphasized the government’s commitment to providing swift and effective solutions.
Minister Handunneththi further reiterated the government’s intent to position local manufacturers as key stakeholders in Sri Lanka’s economy by addressing regulatory hurdles, market imbalances, and supply chain constraints.
The visit comes amid growing concerns from Lumala employees and management regarding the state of Sri Lanka’s bicycle manufacturing industry, in the backdrop of facing significant challenges, including an influx of imported bicycles and components that circumvent regulatory checks. In addition, the high taxes on raw materials used in local manufacturing has further exacerbated production costs, making it difficult for domestic manufacturers to remain competitive.
Earlier this year, Lumala employees called for urgent government intervention to address these challenges, warning that ongoing financial strain could lead to further shutdowns of critical production units, job losses, and setbacks to the broader industrial ecosystem. With a local value addition of 50-70 percent verified by the Ministry, its workforce remains hopeful that government action will help achieve an ethical manufacturing industry.
Lumala, a household name in Sri Lanka’s bicycle industry, has been a key player in sustainable mobility solutions for over 35 years. The company was recently honored with the Best National Industry Brand award under the Large-Scale Other Industry Sector category at the National Industry Brand Excellence Awards 2024.
With a production capacity of 2,000 bicycles per day and a workforce of 200, Lumala continues to cater to both domestic and international markets, producing a diverse range of bicycles, electric bikes and light electric vehicles. In line with Sri Lanka’s goal to expand forest cover to 32 percent by 2030 and cut GHG emissions by 14.5%, Lumala is actively contributing to this mission—both as a company and through its diverse range of products.
As Sri Lanka works towards strengthening its local manufacturing sector, Minister Handunneththi’s visit signals a crucial step toward addressing industrial concerns and reinforcing government support for sustainable and competitive domestic production.
Business
New SL Sovereign Bonds win foreign investor confidence

Sri Lanka’s country rating was upgraded from ‘Restricted Default’ to ‘CCC’ following the successful exchange for the new International Sovreign Bonds (SL ISBs) during December 2024. The three types (03) of exciting new sovereign bonds have restored foreign investor confidence.
The Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) has performed a remarkable role in guiding the economy out of default status and restored economic stability, and gained Sri Lanka a non-default Country Rating of ‘CCC’. Among the key achievements of CBSL, have been to reduce treasury interest rates under 9% and stabilize the currency while rebuilding foreign reserves to $ 6Bn.
SL offers four Macro Linked Bonds (MLBs) linked to GDP growth, a Governance Linked Bond (GLB) and a short term, Fixed Coupon Bond for unpaid Past Due Interest (PDI). The MLBs offer variable returns depending on SL’s GDP growth from 2024 to 2027, (e.g. haircuts can vary between 16% to 39%). The GLB interest can vary depending on meeting 15.3% and 15.4% of Total Revenue/ GDP thresholds in 2026 and 2027 respectively. The PDI bond offers a fixed coupon of 4% until 2028 and trades at around $94.
This combination of unique, variable returns offers global investors an exciting opportunity to capitalize on SL’s economic revival and US interest rate movements. Sri Lanka’s economic resurgence in 2024 was promising, with a 5% GDP growth rate. With improving investor confidence, SL ISB daily turnover now exceeds $10mn.
The Ceylon Dollar Bond Fund (CDBF) is the only USD Sovereign Bond Fund that is exclusively invested in SL ISBs with Deutsche Bank acting as the Trustee and Custodian Bank. The Fund reported returns of 53% in 2023 and 39% in 2024.
We invite foreign investors to enter CDBF while Sri Lanka is rated at ‘CCC’ and consider realizing their investment upon SL reaching a Country Rating of ‘B- ‘. Other advantages of CDBF are, the ability to withdraw anytime and being tax exempted.
Ceylon Asset Management (CAM), the Fund Manager, has commenced an advertising campaign to promote the CDBF to the Sri Lankan Diaspora, South Asian, Middle Eastern and Australian Investors. CAM is an Associate Company of Sri Lanka Insurance Corporation (SLIC) and licensed under the Securities and Exchange Commission of Sri Lanka Act, No. 19 of 2021.
Meanwhile, the Ceylon Financial Sector Fund managed by CAM emerged as the top performing rupee fund in Sri Lanka during 2024, with a return of 64%. Investors can find out more on www.ceylonassetmanagement.com or write to us on info@ceylonam.com.
Past performance is not an indicator of the future performance. Investors are advised to read and understand the contents of the KIID on www.ceylonam.com before investing. Among others investors shall consider the fees and charges involved.(CAM)
Business
Share market plunges steeply for second consecutive day in reaction to US tariffs

CSE plunged at open, falling for the second consecutive day yesterday, down over 300 points in mid- morning trade.US President Donald Trump has imposed a 44 percent tax on Sri Lanka’s exports in an executive order which he claimed, spelt out discounted reciprocal rates for about half the taxes and barriers imposed by the island on America.
As a result both indices showed a downward trend. The All Share Price Index dropped 300 points, or 2.32 percent, to 15,294.94, while the S&P SL20 dropped 101 points, or 2.71 percent, to 4,517.37.
Turnover stood at Rs 3.1 billion with six crossings. Those crossings were reported in Sampath Bank which crossed 1.6 million shares to the tune of Rs 181 million and its shares traded at 109, JKH 4.1 million shares crossed to the tune of 80.5 million and its shares sold at Rs 19.5.
Hemas Holdings 400,000 shares crossed for Rs 45.6 million; its shares traded at Rs 114, CTC 25000 shares crossed to the tune of Rs 32.2 million; its shares traded at Rs 1330, Commercial Bank 200,000 shares crossed for 27 million; its shares traded at Rs 135 and TJ Lanka 157,000 shares crossed for Rs 20 million; its shares traded at Rs 46.
In the retail market top six companies that have mainly contributed to the turnover were; Sampath Bank Rs 296 million (2.9 million shares traded), JKH Rs 220 million (11.2 million shares traded), Haylays Rs 195 million (142,000 shares traded), HNB Rs 151 million (519,000 shares traded), Commercial Bank Rs 138 million (1 million shares traded) and Central Finance Rs 129 million (735,000 shares traded). During the day 218 million shares volumes changed hands in 22000 transactions.
It is said the banking sector was the main contributor to the turnover, especially Sampath Bank, while manufacturing sector, especially JKH, was the second largest contributor.
Yesterday, the rupee opened at Rs 296.75/90 to the US dollar in the spot market, stronger from Rs 296.90/297.20 on the previous day, dealers said, while bond yields were up.
A bond maturing on 15.10.2028 was quoted at 10.35/40 percent, up from 10.25/30 percent.
A bond maturing on 15.09.2029 was quoted at 10.50/60 percent, up from 10.45/55 percent.
A bond maturing on 15.10.2030 was quoted at 10.60/70 percent, up from 10.30/65 percent.
By Hiran H Senewiratne
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