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CBSL reaffirms commitment to economic recovery

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Dr. Chandranath Amarasekera

By Ifham Nizam

The Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) has reaffirmed its commitment to stabilizing inflation and supporting economic recovery through a carefully calibrated monetary policy stance. The February 2025 Monetary Policy Report (MPR) outlines key trends in inflation, interest rates and economic growth, offering insights into the nation’s financial future.

To enhance awareness on the report, the Bank hosted two discussions chaired by Assistant Governor Dr. Chandranath Amarasekere, with expert insights from the Director of the Economic Research Department, Directors of the Monetary Policy Committee and technical teams of the Economic Research Department.

The CBSL maintained its accommodative monetary policy throughout 2024, with a notable rate cut in November when it introduced a single policy rate mechanism—the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR)—set at 8.00%. This move effectively reduced interest rates by 50 basis points, a decision aimed at spurring economic activity while keeping inflation in check.

The monetary easing strategy aligns with the CBSL’s broader objective of anchoring inflation expectations, enhancing transparency and fostering financial market stability. As of January 2025, the OPR remains at 8.00%, signaling the bank’s confidence in its current approach.

Sri Lanka experienced deflation in the second half of 2024, driven largely by reduced electricity tariffs, lower fuel prices, and declining food costs. Since September 2024, headline inflation has remained in negative territory, reflecting a sharp drop in consumer price levels.

Looking ahead, the CBSL projects inflation to stabilize around 5% over the medium term. However, short-term risks remain. Inflation may temporarily exceed the target between late 2025 and mid-2026 before normalizing.

The report highlights several key risks to inflation:

Upside risks: Rising global food and energy prices, potential currency depreciation and unpredictable fiscal policies could push inflation higher.

Downside risks: Further price reductions in essential goods and energy could extend the deflationary trend.

The Sri Lankan economy is on a recovery path, albeit at a moderate pace. The CBSL acknowledges that the economy is operating below full capacity, with growth dependent on policy measures and external factors.

Key risks to growth include:

Labour shortages due to brain drain

Uncertain global economic conditions

Impact of climate change on agriculture

Conversely, debt restructuring and tourism recovery could provide much-needed economic momentum.

Despite statistical evidence of falling prices, many Sri Lankans do not feel a significant improvement in their cost of living. The report suggests this disconnect stems from:

Past inflation episodes, which have left prices elevated despite recent declines.

Income levels lagging behind inflation trends, reducing purchasing power.

Psychological and behavioral factors, where consumers may not perceive small price reductions as meaningful relief.

The CBSL’s focus remains on managing inflation expectations, ensuring financial stability, and supporting economic growth. While the current outlook suggests a gradual recovery, external shocks and domestic challenges could still pose risks.

As Sri Lanka navigates its economic future, policy consistency, fiscal discipline, and structural reforms will be critical in achieving long-term stability.

With inflation stabilizing and monetary policy remaining accommodative, the CBSL appears confident in its strategy. However, whether these measures translate into real economic relief for the public remains to be seen.



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Oil tops $116 a barrel as Iran accuses US of preparing invasion

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A worker collects engine oil as he works at a degassing station in the Zubair oilfield near Basra, Iraq, on March 28, 2026 [Aljazeera]

Oil prices have surged to their highest level in nearly two weeks amid escalation on multiple fronts of the US-Israel war on Iran.

Brent crude, the global benchmark, rose more than 3 percent on Monday morning to top $116 a barrel.

The latest climb took the global benchmark to its highest point since March 19, when it briefly touched $119 a barrel.

The surge came after Iran said it was prepared for a US ground invasion, with the speaker of the country’s parliament warning that Tehran was waiting for the arrival of US troops to “set them on fire” and “punish” their regional allies.

Tehran’s warning came as the conflict deepened over the weekend, with the Iranian-backed Houthis launching missiles at Israel for the first time in the war, and Israel expanding its invasion of southern Lebanon.

Asia’s main stock indexes fell sharply in morning trading, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 and South Korea’s KOSPI both down more than 4 percent as of 1:30 GMT.

Iran’s effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz in retaliation for the US-Israel war has disrupted about one-fifth of global oil and liquified natural gas (LNG) supplies, plunging the world into its biggest energy crisis in decades.

Oil prices have risen nearly 60 percent since the start of the war, driving up fuel prices worldwide and forcing numerous countries to adopt emergency measures to conserve energy.

Analysts have warned that oil prices are likely to keep rising unless maritime traffic returns to normal levels in the strait.

US President Donald Trump has threatened to “obliterate” Iran’s energy infrastructure if Tehran does not relinquish its stranglehold on the waterway by a deadline of April 6.

Trump, who on Thursday extended his deadline by 10 days, has proposed a 15-point plan for ending the war with Iran and insisted that the two sides are making progress towards a deal in indirect talks being mediated by Pakistan.

Tehran has flatly rejected Trump’s plan and proposed its own terms for a ceasefire, including war reparations and recognition of Iran’s right to control the strait.

Greg Newman, CEO of Onyx Capital Group, which began as an oil derivatives trading house, said energy consumers were only beginning to feel the true fallout of the turmoil.

“Physical oil moves around the world in loading cycles, and Europe has taken around three weeks to really start feeling the effects of the oil shortage,” Newman told Al Jazeera.

“Brent is starting to reflect the reality, and we think it’s a steady rise from here towards $120 and beyond.”

Newman said the scale of the disruption had yet to be fully appreciated.

“No one in the market has ever seen the outages we are now suffering from – physical premiums are the highest ever. There is still a sense that the macro world is not taking this seriously enough, but it is worse than anything that has come before it,” he said.

“The reality will come out in the economic numbers over the coming months.”

While Iran has been allowing a growing number of transits by ships that are not aligned with the US or Israel, traffic remains a fraction of pre-war levels.

On Saturday, Pakistani Minister of Foreign Affairs Ishaq Dar announced that Tehran had agreed to allow 20 Pakistani-flagged vessels to pass the strait in what he described as a “meaningful step toward peace”.

Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim said last week that Iran had granted an unspecified number of Malaysian vessels permission to clear the strait.

Seven non-Iranian vessels passed the strait on Thursday, up from five on Wednesday and four on Tuesday, according to maritime intelligence firm Windward.

Before the start of the war on February 28, the strait saw an average of 120 daily transits, according to Windward.

[Aljazeera]

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SLT-MOBITEL turnaround signals new era for SOEs, says deputy minister

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The panel discussion led by Deputy Minister of Digital Economy Eng. Eranga Weeraratne (centre) with SLT MOBITEL’s top management Pic by Nishan S. Priyantha

The era of privatising loss-making state-owned enterprises may be drawing to a close, with SLT-MOBITEL emerging as proof that strategic management can deliver profitability without a change in ownership, Deputy Minister of Digital Economy Eng. Eranga Weeraratne said.

“There was a massive public outcry asking the previous governments to sell the loss-making state-owned enterprises. Now it is not there as it was used to be heard,” Weeraratne said. “SLT-MOBITEL has proven that the proper management strategy can turn any loss-making SOE into profit. Gone are the days we heard ‘sell, sell, sell’.”

The remarks came as Sri Lanka’s national ICT provider reported a decisive financial turnaround in FY 2025, driven by disciplined cost management, operational efficiency, and steady growth across fixed and mobile businesses.

The company has simultaneously rolled out a pioneering 24/7 operational model – the industry’s first – with 14 Outside Plant Maintenance Centres operating round-the-clock in metro areas, Kandy, and Jaffna to ensure uninterrupted connectivity.

“Our strong financial results reflect the resilience of SLT-MOBITEL and the trust customers place in us,” said Dr. Mothilal de Silva, Chairman, SLT Group. “With the roll-out of the 24/7 OPMC operations, we are raising the bar for service reliability.”

SLT-MOBITEL has also made 5G publicly available in Sri Lanka and continues to support the Ministry of Digital Economy with secure data centre infrastructure, reinforcing its role as a catalyst of national development.

By Sanath Nanayakkare

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Kia Tasman arrives in Sri Lanka: A pickup built for work and comfort

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Kia Motors Lanka has launched the all-new Kia Tasman, the brand’s first-ever pickup truck – engineered to redefine the double cab segment by combining rugged capability with SUV-like refinement.

Built on a robust body-on-frame platform, the Tasman offers best-in-class strength with a payload capacity of 1,151kg, towing up to 3,500kg, and water wading up to 800mm. Advanced 4WD systems and terrain modes ensure unmatched off-road performance.

Inside, the cabin surprises with best-in-class rear legroom, sliding and reclining rear seats – a segment-first – and a panoramic display with premium Harman Kardon sound.

Powered by a 2.2-litre diesel engine (210PS, 441Nm), the Tasman is backed by a 5-year or 150,000km warranty.

“This is a vehicle conceived without compromise,” said Kia Motors Lanka Chairman Mahen Thambiah. “For customers who demand durability, capability, and everyday comfort, the Tasman delivers on every front.”

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