Business
SLID webinar – Sri Lanka’s economy: The next 6 months
The Women Directors Forum of The Sri Lanka Institute of Directors together with the Women Corporate Directors (WCD) Sri Lanka Chapter recently organized a webinar on Sri Lanka’s Economy: The Next 6 Months to understand what the next 6 months will hold for Sri Lanka under different political and debt scenarios. Anshari Perera – Head of Sector Research & Lead Macro Economic Analyst and Chayu Damsinghe – Product Head Macroeconomic & Thematic Research of Frontier Research (Pvt) Ltd were the resource persons for the session.
In her presentation, Anshari Perera said that the near-term economic outlook is very ambiguous as it is tied to the political nuances in the country and that there can be a significant amount of volatility over the next few months depending on how the situation unfolds. She added that political situation and the negotiations with the IMF are two key factors that will have a significant impact on how Sri Lanka’s economy will perform in the near-term as well as from a longer-term perspective.
“The IMF is important in bringing back confidence and improving the sentiment – particularly the foreign investor sentiment – towards Sri Lanka. From a political perspective, if we have a stable government that can continue throughout this period, it will immensely help with the IMF negotiations and the debt restructuring process. Anshari went ahead to comment that Sri Lanka is not unique in the situation it is in. Many other economies have undergone similar experiences in the past 10-15 years. IMF’s importance at this juncture can be understood by studying the experience other countries have had in similar currency and debt crises and how they have manoeuvred their economies back to health with the backing of the IMF. She mentioned that countries which have continued with the IMF programme for at least two years have seen spiralling inflation fall back to below 15% and cut back on money printing with tight monetary and fiscal policy reforms such as interest rate increases and restructuring of taxes. An IMF programme will also support an inflation rate slow-down and stabilization of exchange rates” she said adding that while Sri Lanka can recover from this crisis and come out stronger like some of the other countries, the recovery will not be a “V” shaped fast recovery.
Chayu Damsinghe commented that the crisis that Sri Lanka is going through is not necessarily rare or uncommon. He mentioned that the recovery witnessed by other countries gives optimism even though the trajectory of recovery may be mid to long term. While some countries like Venezuela and Zimbabwe underwent a hyper-inflationary period, most countries recovered, some quite strongly, having undergone varying levels of pain.”
“In 1991 India experienced its Gross Fiscal Deficit rising which was financed through increased borrowings. India saw its reserves falling from USD 3.11 billion at the end of August 1990 to USD 891 million by mid-January 1991 causing massive problems across India. The economic crisis fuelled a political upheaval too with India appointing four prime ministers from 1989 to 1991. It was PM Narsimha Rao’s Government that was credited for having implemented the necessary reforms for India to come out of the crisis.”
“Across this period, the currency depreciated quite heavily across a series of devaluations. Interest rates were also high although not as high as in Sri Lanka” he added.”
He also highlighted that India was facing the same issues that Sri Lanka is currently facing such as foreign lenders becoming reluctant to lend money, non-availability of forex to import essentials such as fuel and fertiliser, an adjustment of the exchange rate which was put in place to discourage the import of non-essential items while encouraging non-residents to send more money to their local bank accounts. The reforms package promulgated by the then PM of India to make them self-reliant with the ability to pay for their imports with their own exports, liberalising government regulation and controls which hindered economic activity and employment opportunities, reducing rural urban disparities, ensuring social justice and the misuse of government concessions with those other than the poor and needy enjoying the benefits does resonate with the discussions that are now taking place in Sri Lanka.
Business
Rupee stability reflective of positive impact of policies taken thus far – CBSL Governor
By Hiran H. Senewiratne
The rupee has stabilised somewhat in recent weeks reflecting the impact of policy measures that have been taken thus far, Central Bank Governor Dr Nandalal Weerasinghe said.
“We will continue to closely monitor domestic and global developments for emerging risks and expect the monetary policy tightening carried out previously to transmit to the economy in the period ahead, Central Bank Governor Dr Weerasinghe said at the monthly monetary policy review meeting held at Central Bank head office yesterday.
He said that the CBSL stands ready to take appropriate measures to ensure that inflation stabilises around the 5 percent target, while supporting the economy to reach its potential over the medium term.
Amid those developments the Central Bank kept its Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) unchanged at 8.75 percent, it said in a statement, after considering the evolving conditions and outlook on the domestic and global fronts.
Dr Weerasinghe added: ‘Renewed tensions in the Middle East have resulted in a surge in global commodity prices, particularly petroleum. These developments are likely to dampen global economic prospects with potential spillover.
‘The current low level of inflation, at 1.6 percent year -on-year in February 2026, relative to the target of 5 percent provides sufficient space to accommodate the impact of higher energy prices and their spillovers on inflation.
‘Headline inflation accelerated to 6.8 percent in June 2026, mainly due to higher domestic energy and food prices.
‘Headline inflation is expected to remain above the target of 5% in the near term before gradually returning to the target level. Core inflation is also expected to increase and remain around the headline inflation target.
‘The Board arrived at the decision to maintain the overnight policy rate after carefully considering the evolving conditions and outlook on the domestic and global fronts.
‘Renewed tensions in the Middle East have resulted in a surge in global commodity prices, particularly petroleum. These developments are likely to dampen global economic prospects with potential spillovers to the domestic economy through multiple channels.
‘The monetary policy tightening in May 2026 and its gradual transmission to the real economy are expected to moderate credit growth and the buildup of demand pressures going forward.
‘The pressure on the external sector caused by the Middle East conflict has eased somewhat, although the outlook remains uncertain due to renewed tensions.
‘Since April 2026, the external current account recorded a deficit, mainly because higher fuel import costs widened the merchandise trade deficit and tourism earnings slowed down.
‘Going forward, import demand, including demand for motor vehicles, is expected to reduce in response to recent policy measures.
‘Meanwhile, workers’ remittances have remained strong so far in 2026. Gross Official Reserves stood at USD 6.45 bn at the end of June 2026, amid foreign debt service payments.’
Business
Dengue outbreak exposes multi-billion rupee burden on state health system
By Ifham Nizam
The mosquito that spreads dengue is tiny. The financial burden it leaves behind is anything but.
As Sri Lanka grapples with its worst dengue outbreak in nearly a decade, the country’s free public healthcare system is absorbing a mounting financial shock that experts say could run into billions of rupees, even as the human toll continues to rise.
According to the National Dengue Control Unit (NDCU), more than 76,000 dengue infections and 53 deaths have been reported so far this year, making 2026 one of the most challenging years for dengue control in recent history.
The NDCU has warned that the outbreak is being driven largely by the highly virulent DENV-2 strain, while persistent rainfall, poor waste management and mosquito breeding in urban and semi-urban areas continue to fuel transmission.
Although the Ministry of Health has yet to publish an official estimate of the cost of treating dengue patients, the economic implications are becoming increasingly evident.
Published medical research estimates that treating a dengue patient costs between USD 239 and USD 1,056, depending on the severity of the illness. At an exchange rate of around Rs. 330 to the US dollar, this translates to approximately Rs. 79,000 to Rs. 348,000 per patient.
Applied to the more than 76,000 reported cases, the theoretical direct medical cost ranges from Rs. 6 billion to more than Rs. 26 billion. While many patients are treated as outpatients and therefore incur lower costs, the estimates underline the immense financial pressure being placed on Sri Lanka’s publicly funded healthcare system.
The National Dengue Control Unit has repeatedly urged the public to eliminate mosquito breeding sites, warning that hospitals alone cannot contain the outbreak without sustained community participation.
Health officials have intensified countrywide inspections, awareness campaigns and vector-control programmes as case numbers continue to climb.
Officials say hospitals have expanded dengue wards, increased bed capacity and deployed additional medical and nursing staff to cope with the surge in admissions.
The government has also mobilised Air Force drones to identify inaccessible mosquito breeding grounds while strengthening surveillance operations across high-risk districts.
The financial impact extends beyond the Ministry of Health. Families lose income when wage earners fall ill or parents stay home to care for infected children. Businesses suffer productivity losses, while schools experience increased absenteeism during peak transmission periods.
Sri Lanka’s previous major dengue epidemic in 2017 was estimated to have cost around Rs. 1.94 billion in healthcare and outbreak-control expenditure. With inflation, higher pharmaceutical prices and increased operational costs since then, health economists believe the financial burden of the current outbreak is likely to be substantially greater.
The outbreak also raises broader questions about climate resilience and public investment. Dengue is increasingly being recognised not merely as a seasonal health issue but as an economic challenge capable of straining government finances and slowing productivity.
For the National Dengue Control Unit, the message remains simple: prevention is far cheaper than treatment.
Every breeding site destroyed, every community clean-up campaign conducted and every household inspection completed reduces the need for costly hospital care.
As the monsoon continues to create favourable conditions for mosquito breeding, the NDCU warns that sustained public vigilance will determine whether the country’s health bill continues to climb—or begins to fall.
Business
Shantha Bandara reappointed SLCPI president as Chamber advances regulatory reform and patient access
The Sri Lanka Chamber of the Pharmaceutical Industry (SLCPI) announced the reappointment of Sunshine Healthcare Lanka Ltd. Director and Chief Executive Officer Shantha Bandara as its President for the 2026/27 term at the Chamber’s 65th Annual General Meeting held at Cinnamon Grand Colombo.
The event was graced by Dr. Hansaka Wijemuni, Deputy Minister of Health, as Chief Guest, together with government representatives, healthcare partners, past presidents, member companies and other industry stakeholders.
Bandara’s reappointment provides continuity to a reform-oriented agenda that has strengthened the Chamber’s governance, ethical standards and engagement with policymakers and regulators. His renewed mandate will focus on converting the progress made during 2025/26 into practical regulatory improvements that support the availability, accessibility and affordability of quality medicines in Sri Lanka.
SLCPI represents more than 70 pharmaceutical importers, manufacturers, distributors and retailers. Its members account for over 90% of Sri Lanka’s private pharmaceutical market, while the wider industry directly employs more than 80,000 people and indirectly supports nearly 400,000.
Reflecting on the past year, Bandara said the industry had operated amid sustained domestic and global pressure. Exchange-rate volatility, disruptions to international shipping routes, rising freight, insurance, fuel and electricity costs, and constrained consumer purchasing power placed significant pressure on pharmaceutical supply chains and business viability.
Despite these challenges, SLCPI continued to engage constructively with the Ministry of Health, the National Medicines Regulatory Authority and other stakeholders, presenting evidence-based recommendations on pharmaceutical pricing, import licence renewals and continuity of supply.
A major achievement during Bandara’s first term was the adoption of new Articles of Association following extensive consultation, legal review and member engagement. The revised Articles provide a stronger constitutional foundation for the Chamber, clarify governance structures and reinforce member rights and responsibilities.
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