News
Time for home-grown solutions over; Seek international support immediately – Dr. de Silva
SJB MP Dr. Harsha de Silva told a media briefing on Monday that the country was in complete disarray. Fuel was rationed, there were daily power cuts, shortage of dollars was preventing import of essentials, including medicine, and food would be rationed next.
“Economic collapse is imminent if we continue to go this way and it is almost similar to a broken car rumbling along before it completely comes to a halt,” he said.
“The government has no idea what they are doing, on one side Finance Minister Basil Rajapaksa states that he is ready to engage with the creditors but on the other hand, the Governor of the Central Bank reiterates to international media that there is no need to engage with the IMF. Independent economists and the opposition have repeatedly stated that home-grown solutions will not fix this and we need to seek international support immediately. As far back as November 2020, in my response to the budget speech, I stated that we need to engage with the IMF, in order to restructure our debt due to artificially created problems. Beginning with the tax cuts, that resulted in almost LKR 600 bn losses, followed by the ban of chemical fertilzer, exacerbated our economic situation. In the 2019 December Article 4 report by the IMF, they highlighted that we had substantially recovered from the crash due to the 2018 constitutional Coup as well as the Easter Attacks in 2019, therefore our debt was still sustainable. However, they also stated that if drastic changes were made to our government policies, our debt would be unsustainable, as it is today.
“At this juncture, even the IMF alone will not be able to solve this problem. There are three ways in which one can look at this type of crisis. First, one being if Sri Lanka’s debt was sustainable, we would not have to restructure our debt. We could have chosen to stabilize our macro-economy by bringing in crucial economic reforms while paying our debt. Secondly, in the case that our debt sustainability was uncertain, we could have opted for a light-restructuring or short-term reprofiling, at which we would put off our interest payments for a short time. In the third scenario, which I believe we are currently in, our debt would be deemed unsustainable, thus we will not be able to reprofile and would need to make drastic reforms as well as initiate a debt-restructuring programme with our creditors. In this scenario, there are three types of creditors that we would need to engage with including; senior creditors (World Bank, ADB, IMF),
bilateral creditors (China, India, Japan, Paris Club) and private creditors (Insurance funds, hedge funds, mutual funds, etc). We will not be able to initiate any debt-restructuring programme with bilateral and private creditors without engaging with the IMF first and gaining their confidence.
The government’s reluctance to engage with the IMF is an ideological difference. Statements being made that the IMF will impose rules and regulations are unfounded. They will only agree or deny the working plan submitted by the government. If we don’t agree with the terms they propose, we should be able to present a better plan. It is almost similar to an individual seeking a loan from a bank. The bank manager will not give you the plan to pay off your loan, instead, they will review your finances and deem its feasibility. Moreover, the government’s reluctance also stems from the fact that they know the IMF will not approve their political programme for local council elections. Initially, they tried to print money to fund their political activities, however, due to high inflation rates they are constrained. Subsequently, they decided to tax the EPF and the ETF to pump LKR 100 bn to their local councillors but we were able to block that initiative. If they have a little bit of decency and sympathy for the people of this country, they will abandon this electioneering programme and most importantly abandon corruption to save the little bit of money we have left!
“On the 25 February, the IMF will present its analysis of the Sri Lankan economy in Washington, DC. According to publicly available stats and figures of the government, we believe that our debt is unsustainable and thus no home-grown solution nor the tourists queuing up to get into bars in the South will be able to solve this. The shortage of dollars has resulted in a shortage of oil, which has translated into a power shortage. We cannot go on much longer, as these problems have also led to instability within the local banking system. A certain government minister has stated that we should establish a ‘Thel Potha’ similar to the ‘Hal Potha’, where are we heading without any sustainable solutions? We urge the government to present the IMF Article 4 report to Parliament for us to have a constructive debate and come to a working plan, regardless of political affiliations. Moreover, GSP+ may be in jeopardy as well due to actions taken by this government. The vital export sector is the only thing that is holding us above water. We have to go beyond political biases and find a solution to this economic mismanagement immediately.”
“No shipment for 10 days; seas off western coast will become rough by April end”
Education Secretary of the Frontline Socialist Party (FSP) Pubudu Jayagoda says the Indian company which secured a tender to supply coal for electricity generation this year has delivered only 13 of the 25 shipments required and no vessel has arrived in Sri Lanka for the last 10 days or so.
Jayagoda said so while addressing the media during a protest held in Colombo yesterday.
Jayagoda said the Indian company Trident Chemphar, which secured the tender to supply 25 coal shipments for 2026, had placed the country’s coal stocks at risk.
Although all 25 coal shipments are required to be unloaded before the end of April, only 13 vessels have arrived in Sri Lanka so far, according to Jayagoda. He also claimed that no shipment had arrived during the first week of March, adding that coal vessels had not arrived for about 10 days.
Jayagoda warned that the situation could endanger the country’s energy supply as the seas off the western coast usually turn rough by the end of April, disrupting unloading operations.
According to Jayagoda, a report submitted by the Public Utilities Commission of Sri Lanka to the Parliamentary Oversight Committee on infrastructure and strategic development, power cuts may become necessary from August even if the country falls short of five shipments unless electricity is generated using costly diesel-powered thermal plants.
Jayagoda also alleged irregularities in the tender process, claiming that the government had changed tender specifications and delayed the tender process by about four months, possibly to allow the Indian company time to register and secure performance guarantees.
He further alleged that the coal supplied by the Indian company was substandard.
Jayagoda questioned why the tender had not been cancelled despite several shipments allegedly failing to meet quality standards and why no investigation had been launched.He asked why legal action had not been taken against the company despite supply disruptions.
The US Department of State has said that Washington respects Sri Lanka’s sovereignty in handling matters relating to the Iranian warship IRIS Bushehr and its crew, according to agency reports, quoting a State Department Spokesperson. He has said the final decision regarding the vessel, its crew and the rescued Iranian sailors rests with Sri Lanka in accordance with its domestic laws and international legal obligations.
The statement follows comments by Foreign Minister Vijitha Herath that Sri Lanka was looking after 32 sailors rescued from the Iranian frigate IRIS Dena under Colombo’s international treaty obligations.
The frigate was sunk by a US submarine off Sri Lanka’s southern coast on Wednesday during escalating hostilities involving the United States and Iran.
Sri Lanka’s Navy conducted rescue operations, following the incident, recovering 84 bodies.
Asked whether Colombo was under US pressure not to repatriate the Iranian sailors, Herath said Sri Lanka had taken all actions in accordance with international law.
Sri Lanka also provided safe harbour to the second Iranian warship, IRIS Bushehr, and evacuated its 219 crew members a day after the Dena was torpedoed. The vessel was taken to the port of Trincomalee after reporting engine problems.
Citing an internal cable, Reuters reported that Washington had urged Sri Lanka not to repatriate the Iranian sailors. However, the State Department spokesperson reiterated that the disposition of the crew and survivors was a matter for Sri Lanka to decide, adding that the United States respects Sri Lanka’s sovereignty in managing the situation.
Meanwhile, India allowed a third Iranian warship, IRIS Lavan, to dock in a port on humanitarian grounds after it reported operational difficulties.
The ship docked at the port of Kochi, where many of the crew, including young cadets, were disembarked and transferred to a nearby facility.
President Anura Kumara Dissanayake said Colombo would follow the provisions of the Hague Convention, which requires neutral states to detain combatants of warring parties until the end of hostilities.
A senior administration official said Sri Lanka was in discussions with the International Committee of the Red Cross regarding the treatment of survivors from the torpedoed vessel. International humanitarian law would apply to the wounded, who could be repatriated if they requested it, the official added.
Iranian diplomats in Colombo have requested the return of the remains of sailors killed in the attack to Iran.
Opposition and SJB leader Sajith Premadasa, emphasised the critical need for the Indian Ocean region to remain peaceful and not become part of any conflict, said a news report published by NDTV yesterday.
It said: As the Iran-Israel war enters its second week, the theatre of the war has expanded dramatically, reaching the waters of Sri Lanka. With the sinking of Iranian warship IRIS Dena in international waters off Lanka’s coast and the docking of a second Iranian vessel, IRIS Busheher, Colombo has become embroiled in a conflict where it seeks to remain only a neutral bystander.
Speaking with NDTV, Sajith Premadasa, Leader of the Opposition in Sri Lanka emphasised the critical need for the Indian Ocean region to remain peaceful and not become part of any conflict.
“The Indian Ocean has on successive occasions been declared a peaceful area and should remain so,” said Premadasa.
The Sri Lankan government has said that it will attend to all survivors of the ill-fated IRIS Dena and IRIS Busheher as per international protocols and norms. Sri Lankan President Anura Kumara Dissanayake said his country had a “humanitarian responsibility” to take in the crew of the vessel, which was allowed to dock at Trincomalee in Northern Sri Lanka.
Premadasa, who is the leader of the opposition party SJB, called on all parties to cease the ‘asymmetric warfare’. He cautioned that the widening conflict would have devastating consequences for smaller countries like Sri Lanka, which is still reeling from its worst economic crisis in 2022.
“The Middle East conflict is already spreading to other countries, and this is having an impact on Sri Lanka and Sri Lankan people,” Mr Premadasa told NDTV.
A third Iranian vessel that was in the Indian Ocean, IRIS Lavan, has docked at Kochi in India. India has said it was a “humanitarian call” after the vessel sent out a distress call.
Iran names Khamenei’s son as new supreme leader after father’s killing
Oil prices jump above $100 for first time in four years
Dry weather will prevail over the island
FSP warns of possible coal shortage
Repatriation of Iranian naval personnel Sri Lanka’s call: Washington
Indian Ocean must remain peace zone: Sajith
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