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IPS makes its proposals for Budget 2022

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Ahead of the presentation of the National Budget for 2022, the Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka (IPS) outlines some policy areas of concern and puts forward proposals to be considered for inclusion in the forthcoming Budget.

Please note that this is Part-1 of IPS proposals for the Budget on health, education, human resources, women, vocational training, persons with disabilities and migration.

Health Improving child nutrition

An IPS study on child malnutrition reveals that the ‘life cycle effect’ is one of the main contributors to the high prevalence of child malnutrition, especially among the poor. The study shows that dietary issues are caused by food insecurity and the lack of awareness about proper nutrition among the poor. Among the country’s several nutritional programmes, the Maternal and Child Health (MCH) supplementation programme by the Family Health Bureau (FHB) is one of the most beneficial, as it covers the entire life course interventions, as recommended by the World Health Organization (WHO). However, this is the programme with the least resources at present.

The country’s annual public investment on key nutrition-specific interventions is approximately Rs. 15 billion. Of this, 40% is absorbed by the school meal programme, followed by the pregnant mother’s food allowance programme (37%) and the Thriposha programme (16%). The FHB medicine and supplements in the MCH programme accounted for only 5%.

Recommendation

Streamline existing nutrition programmes to focus on the most effective ones to improve nutrition outcomes. Expand budgetary allocations for the MCH programme and provide targetted benefits to the most vulnerable in other nutrition programmes. There is potential to gain some fiscal space by changing the supplementary feeding programme (Thriposha), for pregnant and lactating women, to target pregnant women at risk rather than all. Likewise, pregnant mother’s food allowance programme should be targetted in deprived regions.

Reducing smoking prevalence

Although smoking rates have come down considerably over time, still more than a quarter of males are smokers, and smoking remains a significant health threat killing more than 20,000 Sri Lankans, annually. Recent studies show that smoking is currently prevalent among selected population groups. Thus, there is a need to target specific groups (e.g., construction workers, drivers, youth groups those who are not in schools or any other education institute) to reduce smoking prevalence.

Recommendation

Launch targetted programmes to build awareness on the benefits of smoking cessation and provide cassation support to existing smokers. Existing programmes can be realigned to focus on high prevalence groups, so they do not impose an additional burden on government expenditure. But such programmes will help to reduce the tobacco smoking prevalence and reduced tobacco smoking-related illnesses, deaths, and the burden of cost.

Education Improving access to quality early childhood education

Early Childhood Care and Education (ECCE) sector is one of the most important sectors of education, providing a solid foundation for a child’s education trajectory. However, access to ECCE education in the country is low. In 2019, only 55.6% of 3 to 5-year-olds were enrolled in preschool education in the country. Further, there are large inequities in access to pre-school education with access lower in rural and estate sectors and among poorer households. Public presence in this sector in the provision of core as well as support services, such as curriculum development and teacher training, is inadequate.

Recommendation

Allocate public funds to implement ECCE policies that have been developed to improve access to the ECCE sector for low-income households, and to align ECCE education with general education. Government involvement is important in improving access to children from under-privileged backgrounds, through the provision of scholarships, or by setting up ECCE centres where there is low supply of ECCE centres. The functioning of ECCE should be monitored to improve quality.

Human Resources Development Improving access to quality vocational training

Scientific breakthroughs in a spectrum of fields, such as genetics, artificial intelligence, nanotechnology, and 3D printing, are feeding into innovations that redefine how people live, work, and interact with each other. These innovations are constantly creating and altering production processes and revolutionising the operations of a large spectrum of industries. These transformations are also restructuring labour markets and affecting labour markets in multiple ways. With the growing the demand for high skilled workers, tertiary level skills development is critical. However, the effectiveness of the Tertiary Education and Vocational Training (TVET) institutions in improving access to TVET is limited due to resource gaps, teacher shortages and governance issues.

Recommendation

Streamline the public sector provision of TVET education. Money saved from this can be used to provide eligible candidates financial support to participate in the most effective TVET programmes (public, private or joint) in the trades of their choice. Partnerships with the private sector and industry training can alleviate problems of lack of access to high-tech equipment. Invest in public sector capacity for provision of support services to the sector such as monitoring and evaluation, curriculum development, and the quality assurance of TVET institutions to improve the efficiency of the sector.

Women Increasing female labour force participation (FLFP)

Labour market data show that more women have become economically inactive due to COVID-19, lowering the already FLFP rate. As the COVID-19 related restrictions are relaxed, there will be more opportunities for women to participate in the labour market.

Recommendation

Provide training and job matching programmes to facilitate skills acquisition and improving employability, especially for women. Online training programmes can be facilitated by industries with labour shortages, with possible job opportunities for those successfully trained. These programmes can be coordinated by the institutions under the purview of the Tertiary and Vocational Education and Training (TVET) sector.

Persons with Disabilities Ensuring financial security of persons with disabilities (PWDs)

The cash assistance programme to assist PWDs implemented by the National Secretariat for Persons with Disabilities (NSPD) covers only a fraction of PWDs from low-income households. As of May 2020, the disability assistance programme covered 72,000 persons while another 37,492 persons were in the waitlist. Moreover, another 14,149 PWDs were identified during the first wave of the pandemic by the rural committees set up at the divisional level, as eligible for the cash assistance.

Recommendation

Assist all PWDs, especially those from low-income households to ensure their economic and financial security. Extending benefits to current waitlisted persons alone will require an additional budget allocation of around Rs 2,250 million in 2022 while extending it to those identified by the rural committees too (subject to a re-assessment of their eligibility) will require a further allocation of around Rs 849 million.

Migration Increasing reintegration support for returning migrant workers

Available estimates indicate that by early January 2021, a total of 128,470 Sri Lankans wanted to return, while only 60,470 or 47% had been repatriated. IPS pointed out that “such limited capacity to repatriate and delays in repatriation is the first indication of weaknesses in Sri Lanka’s preparedness for the return and reintegration of migrant workers in a crisis”. Limited social and psychosocial return and reintegration support for returnees restrict the capacity of a returned migrant worker to reintegrate with his family and community and contribute to the economy. Reintegration issues experienced during the pandemic were amplified by the low base level of return and reintegration support service structures that were operational in Sri Lanka before the pandemic.

Recommendation

Implement the existing policy on ‘Return and Reintegration’ introduced in 2015. A critical implementation aspect of this policy is integrating reintegration support policies into the mandates of the relevant ministries and providing necessary budgetary allocations for the same. This will result in faster and more successful reintegration of returnees to their families, communities and the economy.

Addressing gaps in recruitment sector for foreign employment

Given that the number of migrant workers has reduced drastically during the pandemic, concerted efforts will need to be made to facilitate foreign employment, when the situation improves. Findings from a study conducted by IPS shows several areas to focus on improving business practices of recruitment agents would be beneficial for promoting foreign employment. The absence of an effective international marketing strategy to promote Sri Lankan migrant workers to foreign employers have led to the recruitment agents micro-managing recruitments by resorting to unfair competitive behaviour with agents from other countries of origin. This leads to additional costs for the agent which is likely to be passed to potential migrant workers seeking employment.

Recommendation

Establish a centralised and effective international marketing strategy to promote migrant workers from Sri Lanka. This should be coordinated by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the State Ministry of Foreign Employment Promotion and Welfare, with necessary resources and budgetary allocations. The above proposal will improve the efficiency of recruitment agents. It will also indirectly contribute to increasing remittances.



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Low-quality coal shipment affects Lakvijaya coal power plant operations

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Operations at Sri Lanka’s main coal-fired power facility, the Lakvijaya coal power plant, suffered a significant disruption soon after a new shipment of coal was introduced, raising concerns over generation stability and environmental emissions.

Energy analyst Dr. Vidura Ralapanawa said in a social media post that the plant began using coal from “Ship 11” on Wednesday, following confirmation from officials of the Ceylon Electricity Board (CEB).

However, almost immediately after the new batch of coal was fed into the system, the plant’s generation capacity began to decline due to the poor quality of the fuel.

According to Dr. Ralapanawa, the plant’s output dropped by about 82 megawatts overall. Unit 1 recorded a drop of 45 MW, Unit 2 fell by 15 MW, and Unit 3 declined by 22 MW shortly after the coal was introduced.

The situation worsened later in the night when two coal mills in Unit 3 reportedly became clogged around 11 p.m., causing a rapid fall in generation capacity. Unit 3, which normally operates at a higher output level, was said to be running at around 170 MW following the malfunction.

Coal mills are a crucial component in coal-fired power generation. They grind raw coal into a fine powder before it is fed into the boiler for combustion. Each generating unit at the Norochcholai facility is equipped with five coal mills, and any obstruction in these systems can severely affect plant operations.

When mills become clogged, plant operators often have to rely on diesel-fired burner guns to stabilise the flame inside the boiler. While this helps maintain combustion, it significantly increases operating costs because of the high price of diesel.

The heavy use of diesel has another consequence. According to Dr. Ralapanawa’s post, when diesel firing increases, the plant’s Electro-Static Precipitators (ESPs) must be shut down. ESPs are designed to capture and remove particulate matter such as fly ash before emissions are released through the chimney.

With the ESPs switched off, large amounts of fly ash may be released into the atmosphere, potentially affecting surrounding communities.

Dr. Ralapanawa further noted that the coal shipment appears to have low calorific value, low volatile matter, and high ash content, all of which reduce combustion efficiency. In addition, the coal reportedly has a low grindability index, making it harder to pulverise and increasing the likelihood of mill blockages.

He added that while the immediate clogging of the mills may be cleared within a day, the underlying quality issues with the coal could make the problem persistent.

The development comes amid earlier assurances from officials of the Ceylon Electricity Board that the Norochcholai plant could be operated effectively even with lower-quality coal supplies.

The Norochcholai facility, with an installed capacity of 900 MW, is the largest power station in Sri Lanka and a critical component of the national grid. Any disruption to its operations can have wider implications for the country’s electricity supply, potentially forcing the system to rely on more expensive oil-based power generation.

Engineers are currently working to address the clogged mills and stabilise generation, but energy analysts warn that unless the fuel quality improves, similar operational issues could recur.

By Ifham Nizam

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CSE regains some positive terrain but challenges remain

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CSE trading yesterday was positive overall on account of local economic growth prospects but concerns deriving from West Asian tensions lingered.

The market is still recovering from previous days’ uncertainties, market analysts said.

The All Share Price Index went up by 256 points, while the S and P SL20 rose by 63.8 points. Turnover stood at Rs 5.68 billion with nine crossings.

Seven crossings were reported in HNB Finance where 130 million shares crossed to the tune of Rs 1.1 billion; its shares traded at Rs 8.50, LMF four million shares crossed for Rs 348 million; its shares traded at Rs 87, Commercial Bank 661,000 shares crossed for Rs 142 million; its shares traded at Rs 215, Seylan Bank (Non-Voting) 750,000 shares crossed for Rs 49 million; its shares sold at Rs 75.50, ACL Cables 500,000 shares crossed for Rs 49 million; its shares traded at Rs 98, HNB 100,000 shares crossed for Rs 43.2 million; its shares sold at Rs 432 and Access Engineering 500,000 shares crossed for Rs 38.5 million and its shares fetched at Rs 77.

In the retail market companies that mainly contributed to the turnover were; HNB Finance Rs 331 million (34.8 million shares traded), Lanka Credit and Business Finance Rs 184 million (21.6 million shares traded), LOLC Holdings Rs 180 million (320,000 shares traded), Commercial Bank Rs 167 million (774,000 shares traded), Softlogic Capital Rs 138 million (twelve million shares traded), Sampath Bank Rs 124 million (789,000 shares traded) and ACL Cables Rs 123 million (1.26 million shares traded). During the day 330 million share volumes changed hands in 36639 transactions.

It is said that the banking and financial sectors performed well. HNB Finance was active in the financial sector, while Commercial Bank and HNB were active in the banking counters.

Further, National Development Bank has received Colombo Stock Exchange approval in principle to list Rs 16 billion of 11.50, 11.04 and 11.85 percent debentures, it said in a CSE filing.

NDB will issue 120 million Tier 2, listed, rated, unsecured, subordinated, redeemable Basel III compliant GSS+ bonds with a non-viability conversion, at Rs 100 each.

Yesterday the rupee was quoted at Rs 310.70/85 to the US dollar in the spot market, weaker from Rs 310.30/60 the previous day, dealers said, while bond yields were broadly steady.

By Hiran H Senewiratne

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Indian Ocean under fire: Parliament explodes over the sinking of ‘IRIS Dena’

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A new crisis looms with a second Iranian vessel at the doorstep

Sri Lanka’s parliament became a secondary battleground yesterday as the sinking of the Iranian frigate IRIS Dena ignited a fierce debate over national sovereignty, regional maritime priciples, and the government’s perceived ‘strategic paralysis.’

While the Navy’s rescue of 32 sailors was initially painted in shades of heroism, Opposition MPs have now unfurled a narrative of missed warnings and geopolitical betrayal.

In a scathing address, Opposition firebrand Chamara Sampath Dissanayake challenged the circumstances of the vessel’s arrival in Sri Lankan waters. The IRIS Dena had been a guest of the Indian Navy during the MILAN-2026 exercises just days prior. Dissanayake alleged that at the conclusion of the fleet review, the vessel was effectively ‘put out’ of India, leaving the crew with no choice but to steer toward Sri Lanka.

“This was a deliberate attempt by the host to put a guest in harm’s way,” Dissanayake charged, stopping just short of naming India directly while making the implication undeniable. He argued that Sri Lanka had been ‘set up’ to deal with the fallout of a targeted strike that occurred only 11 nautical miles from Galle.

The debate took a darker turn when SJB MP Mujibur Rahman dropped a bombshell regarding the timing of the attack. Rahman alleged that the IRIS Dena had signalled for permission to enter Sri Lankan waters 11 hours before it was struck by U.S. torpedoes.

“Why did the authorities keep silent?” Rahman demanded. He blasted the government for failing to act on humanitarian grounds, suggesting that Colombo’s hesitation provided the necessary window for what U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth termed a ‘Quiet Death.’ Rahman’s critique painted a picture of a government ensnared in superpower machinations, unable to uphold the principles of the Indian Ocean as a ‘Zone of Peace.’

Responding to the barrage of questions, Cabinet Spokesman Dr. Nalinda Jayatissa confirmed a chilling new development: a second Iranian vessel is currently positioned in the Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) off Colombo.

While Jayatissa assured the House that the President and the Security Council are ‘fully aware’ and making ‘necessary interventions’ to protect those on board, the lack of specific details fueled further anxiety. Political analysts suggest that the government’s failure to announce a clear, proactive neutral policy has left it in a state of ‘vacillation,’ unable to decide whether to grant refuge to the second ship or risk another tragedy on its doorstep.

The parliamentary clash was punctuated by the visit of former president Ranil Wickremesinghe to the Iranian Embassy yesterday to offer condolences for the passing of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Wickremesinghe had warned on March 2 – just 48 hours before the sinking – that the current ‘leadership eviction’ methodology in the Middle East could destabilise the Indian Ocean.

As the death toll from the IRIS Dena stands at 87 with 60 still missing, the ‘can of worms’ opened in parliament reveals a nation at a crossroads. The government’s silence during the Dena’s final hours and its current ‘intervention’ with the second vessel will likely define Sri Lanka’s standing in a rapidly fragmenting global order.

As the House adjourned, one question remained hanging in the air: In the face of a superpower conflict, does Sri Lanka have the ‘backbone’ to be truly neutral, or is it merely a spectator to its own maritime destiny?

by Sanath Nanayakkare

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