Opinion
How to put Sri Lanka back on track
Basic economic models followed by successive governments
By Jayampathy Molligoda
Since 1978, the successive governments have been following an aggressive open economic policy framework for Sri Lanka and there has been some progress in the much-needed infrastructure development compared to the period governed under somewhat ‘closed economic system’. Basically, their open economic policy framework is founded on the following two basic economic models (i) ‘neo-classical’, monetarists policy prescription or (ii) ‘Post-Keynesian’ Economic school of thought which builds upon John Maynard Keynes’s argument that effective demand is the key determinant of economic performance. The difference between these theories is that ‘monetarist economics believe in controlling the supply of money that flows into the economy, while Keynesian economics involves government expenditures. In contrast to the neoclassical (mainstream) approach, Keynes argued that investment is not constrained by the availability of saving, but may be constrained by the availability of credit.
Monetarists believe that government spending causes inflation. The level of the money supply, which they feel has a direct impact on inflation, must be used to control it. In contrast, Keynesian economists believe that a troubled economy continues in a downward spiral unless some intervention drives consumers to buy more goods and services. Governments should balance out the cyclical movement of the economy by spending more in downturns and less in prosperous times (thereby preventing inflation).
One can argue, the open economic policy framework in Sri Lanka has not worked for the benefit of the majority of people although the governments from time to time used to follow either the ‘neo-classical’ principles or Keynesian Economic school of thought. The result is that the overall performance of the economy has been unsatisfactory. The economists are of the view that the economic downturn has been mainly due to serious structural weaknesses in the economy during a long period of time. Sri Lanka’s relative export performance, especially during the last ten- year period has drastically declined and thus widening the trade deficit around US $ 8- 10 billion per annum. It is clear that the poor export performance relative to increased import bill, together with the external ‘current account’ deficit and large fiscal deficits in the government budgets, popularly known as the ‘twin deficits’, have been identified as the key structural weaknesses that have affected the economy for several decades with continuing adverse trends into the future. The positive feature is the export of goods during the last three years- 2021,2022 and 2023 recorded a notable increase and surpassed US $ 13 billion since 2022, however, trade deficit remains a major concern due to heavy import bill.
The government which came in to power in 2020 was not keen to have an IMF programme as they were of the opinion that such action (i) will definitely contract the economic growth, (ii) imposing high taxes and high bank interest rates will reduce the business activities, (iii) having a widely fluctuating Rupee puts enormous burden on people with high imported inflation and unbearable cost of living impact and (iv) many other adverse consequences. In short, their view was that people’s purchasing power will badly affect. From the present socio/economic situation faced by the majority of people, it can be seen that there is some truth of what they had predicted if they had adopted the IMF policy prescription.
Pros and cons of the major Policy shift since April 2022:
President GR during the latter part of his tenure was reluctantly compelled to adopt a slightly different economic strategy (i) received a positive response from IMF (in march ’22) to his letter requesting EF Facility (ii) allowed rupee to fluctuate, initially a ‘managed float’ mechanism as decided by CB on 7 March 22 (iii) dissolved the cabinet during the first week of April ‘22 and appointed a new economic team (iv) the Treasury secretary in consultation with the Governor, CB and the new Finance Minister had announced one of the most controversial decisions, i.e. ‘pre emptive’ debt default on 12th April ‘22. Since then, the CB used the term ‘Debt standstill’ instead of default (Page 187 of the CB Annual Report-2022)
Upon resignation of President GR in July ’22 then Prime minister RW was elected as President through a ‘parliamentary majority vote’ in accordance with the constitutional provisions for the remaining period of GR’s tenure which ends in October 2024. Since then, the CB Governor and his team have been advising the government on the macro- economic policies, especially the monetary policy area based on IMF programme. The CBSL has adopted a strategy of curbing inflation as a high priority by increasing the interest rate, imposing high taxation and further tightening monetary policy. President RW and his economic team have been able to manage to stabilize the macro economy to a certain extent thus eliminating the acute shortages in the market place, including petroleum products, gas etc. and also tackled the power cuts imposed by CEB during that time. However, this was achieved at the expense of unbearable burden on households due to high cost of living, job losses and closure of a number of SME businesses, micro enterprises etc. The annual report of the Institute of Policy studies (IPS) – 2022 stated that only remedy on hand was to curb inflation through a forced ‘economic recession’.
The Monetary board of CBSL on 7th March’22 decided to move away from the fixed exchange rate prevailed since September 2021, it was announced that they expect an upper limit of Rs.230/. Nevertheless, from 8th or 9th March onwards, the rupee was allowed to be floated based on market sentiments until 12th May 22 and by that time, the exchange rate of Rs.230 has gone up to Rs 377/ per US $. That’s the period, where inflation skyrocketed due to supply side ‘cost push’ imported inflation, more than the ‘demand pull’ inflation. On 12 May, CB had to rectify this market behaviour (undue volatility) by shifting its policy to a ‘managed float’ with the introduction of middle rate to facilitate orderly behaviour of the FOREX market.
So far, Sri Lanka has received a total disbursement of two tranches amounting to US$ 670 million out of the US$ 3 billion Extended Fund Facility (EFF) approved by the IMF. The government of the day has been managing the ‘day- today’ inflows/out flows in the ‘forex account’ satisfactorily and, also managed to improve the government revenue collection through higher taxes imposed on the people. The private players who operate businesses especially the exporters and other foreign exchange earners have been able to build up some confidence on the government policy environment and started remitting the ‘FOREX income’ to the country through established banking systems. The Tourism sector is relatively performing well and ‘forex’ income to the country continues to flow in, thus relieving some burden on the people. On the negative side, there is an undue delay in the negotiations process of the ‘debt restructuring’ with foreign creditors. (Debt to GDP ratio remains a major concern) Most of the sub sectors of the economy i.e. the so called ‘production economy’ both in the agriculture and manufacturing sub-sectors are not performing well. Although, the government tax revenue has increased significantly, the budget deficit in nominal terms has not made any progress showing reductions. According to recent surveys conducted by independent research teams, majority of the people – five million households, SMEs, micro enterprises – are really suffering due to high cost of living, higher unemployment rate, further job losses, lack of purchasing power as well as deteriorating health care and educational sectors. The real issue has been that our country’s economic growth has been ‘negative’ during the last five consecutive quarters since 2021.
Solution lies in putting Sri Lanka
back to work:
As indicated in my previous articles published, the government must focus on economic (GDP) growth– meaning real economics not financial numbers (transfer payments) etc only. In simple terms, the fundamental solution lies in making one thing to happen;
GDP growth = C+I+ G+ (exports-imports), where, C- consumption and I- investment, G- government spending.
We don’t have to reinvent the wheel. During the great depression period in 1930s, the US/western economies were able to overcome the crisis successfully by practising the ‘school of thought’ recommended by John Maynard Keynes, not necessarily based on neo-classical economic principles. Since then, many governments have been adopting same and eminent economists of the calibre Professor Joseph E Stiglitz, Winner of Nobel Prize /former Chief Economist of World Bank, Thomas Piketty, French economist who wrote the landmark analysis of Western economic inequality, “Capital in the 21st Century” and others have further developed the Keynesian model. These economists urge the governments to embrace real solutions: Investing in education, science, technology and infrastructure, offering more help to the children of the poor, doing more to restore the economy to full employment etc. It is interesting to note that even the IMF, an organisation not taking radical positions, has taken up the position that inequality is associated with instability. (‘Inequality and unsustainable growth; two sides of the same coin? – IMF staff discussion note- 2011’) According to Stiglitz, monetary policy instruments for managing the macro economy have proved ineffective. Here are some home truths.
(i) The single most important thing is how to put the country back to work.
(ii) The country should be focussed on job creation. We can’t raise economic growth, create jobs by cutting spending and firing workers. The reason that businesses with access to capital are not investing/hiring people is that there is insufficient demand for their products. Weakening demand in the market place only discourages investment and hiring people.
(iii) The advantage of having underinvestment in the public and private sector for so long (nearly 10 years) is that we have many high return opportunities. Use this opportunity with low ‘long term’ bank interest rates to focus high return, labour intensive- investments in infrastructure, education, health care, technology etc.
(iv) Increased output can generate higher tax revenue to the treasury to pay low interest on the debt. Higher income to people means higher tax revenue to treasury without unnecessarily increasing the VAT rate to 18% and other tax rates.
(v) Government can change the design of the tax system and expenditure pattern. Increasing taxes at the top 5% and lowering taxes at the middle class. This will lead to more consumption spending, which is not happening now- in other words create demand in the market place.
(vi) Review Indirect taxes: Direct taxes ratio. The revenue from Indirect taxes such as VAT compared to Direct taxes, income taxes is disproportionately very high, thus creating inequality in the society and negating the cardinal principle of progressive tax system.
(vii) Sri Lanka’s debt burden will reduce and economic growth increases, meaning debt to GDP ratio will improve.
It is simply a matter of Politics:
Presidential elections are due to be held in early October ’24 and it appears that the two main opposition parties tend to gain popularity among the people, who are eligible to vote, especially the NPP and SJB. The present government and the two main opposition parties are in possession of somewhat comprehensive policy packages. However, whether they could offer a viable economic model at the elections as against the two economic models practiced by the successive governments is yet to be seen. My own view is the success depends on how to put Sri Lanka back to work.
Opinion
Homer’s Odyssey
An archetypal journey of life towards self-discovery
By Dr Siri Galhenage,
Psychiatrist [Retd]
The Odyssey is a narrative poem by Homer, the revered Greek poet of antiquity. Along with its forerunner, The Iliad, it is regarded as one of the foundational works of Western Literature. Both epics were transmitted for generations through the oral tradition by travelling bards before being committed to writing several centuries later. In 2026, it has received a major cinematic adaptation, and is currently being screened in theatres around the world. Written and directed by Christopher Nolan, the movie has a renowned ensemble cast including Matt Damon and Anne Hathaway, and is expected to top the charts this year.
The enduring interest in the Odyssey is reflected in its continuing reinterpretation across the arts and psychology. My interest in the epic is in the deeper meaning to the narrative – ‘the subterranean flow’ – which I have endeavoured to explore in light of the theoretical concepts developed by pioneer psychiatrists Sigmund Freud and Carl Jung, mainly the latter, while also appreciating the aesthetic dimensions of its cinematic presentation. My attempt, admittedly, is no road less travelled; yet each journey along it may reveal something new beneath the surface of the narrative!
Applicable Psychoanalytical Concepts
The psychoanalytical concepts developed by Freud and Jung concerning the structure and workings of the human mind are complex, but I shall restrict myself to outlining those aspects that are relevant to exploring the deeper meaning of the narrative in The Odyssey.
In psychoanalytical terms the human mind is divided into two domains – the conscious and the unconscious. Sigmund Freud’s structural model of the psyche was primarily applied to the individual. It consists of the ‘personal unconscious’, which harbours experiences that have been repressed or kept beneath the ‘conscious’ level.
In contrast, Carl Jung, Freud’s junior colleague, conceived the idea of a ‘collective unconscious’ as a deeper and a universal layer of the psyche shared by humanity as a whole. It contains innate patterns of psychological experience, which Jung called archetypes. An archetype may therefore be understood as an underlying psychic pattern or predisposition. In a narrative, such a pattern may appear in the form of a character, theme, image or symbol that becomes recognisable to consciousness. It is capable of presenting in different cultures and historical periods. What we encounter in a narrative, therefore, are archetypal manifestations rather than the archetype itself.
The Narrative
The Odyssey is a mythical tale; its setting and characters probably would have been familiar to the original Greek audience. A modern day audience, however, may find it ludicrous!
It is the story of Odysseus, King of Ithaca, and his struggle to return home after the victory at Troy, longing to be united with his wife, Penelope, and son, Telemachus. Meanwhile, in Ithaca, Penelope is besieged by a group of conceited suitors who pressure her to remarry, assuming that Odysseus is dead. Telemachus, now grown up, sets out in search of news of his father.
Odysseus embarks on a perilous journey across the Mediterranean Sea with his fellow soldiers, but his homeward voyage becomes a ten year ordeal as he encounters not only the forces of nature but also an array of hostile gods and mythical creatures.
The journey had a calamitous start with a raid on the Cicones at Ismarus where Odysseus loses many of his men. Soon afterwards, storms drive them to the land of the Lotus-Eaters, where some of his crew consume the intoxicating lotus and lose all desire to return home.
Odysseus rouses his men from their lethargy and moves on to confront the Cyclops, particularly the gigantic Polyphemus, son of the sea god Poseidon. Odysseus blinds Polyphemus who is blocking the cave they were trapped in, and escapes by clinging beneath a flock of sheep. It provokes the enduring wrath of Poseidon, god of the sea.
As the fleet sailed on, lost across the vast seas, Aeolus, keeper of the winds, gives Odysseus a bag of winds that might carry them home. While Odysseus sleeps, however, his suspicious crew opens the bag, believing it contains treasure. The released winds drive the ship away from their planned direction.
They next encounter the Laestrygonians, a race of gigantic cannibals who destroy most of the fleet. Odysseus escapes, but grimly continues his voyage.
He then reaches the island of Circe, where the powerful enchantress transforms some of his men into swine, who indulge in gluttony. Odysseus overcomes her spell, and Circe becomes his ally. At her direction, he consults the prophet Tiresias in the Underworld, who warns him about the continued hostility of Poseidon and advises him to refrain from harming the sacred cattle of the sun god Helios.
Returning to the sea, Odysseus encounters the Sirens, who use alluring sounds to lure sailors to their deaths. Forewarned by Circe, he orders his men to plug their ears with wax and bind him tightly to the mast so that he can hear their songs without steering the ship towards them.
He then navigates between Scylla, a six-headed sea monster, and Charybdis, a terrifying whirlpool. Choosing the lesser danger, he loses six of his men to Scylla. The incident becomes one of the most painful episodes of his journey.
With the surviving crew, Odysseus reaches the island of Thrinacia, where his starving men slaughter the sacred cattle of Helios, against the wishes of the prophet Tiresias, while he is asleep. In response to Helios’s demand, Zeus destroys their ship with a thunderbolt, killing all the men except Odysseus.
Odysseus is subsequently washed ashore on the island of Ogygia, where the nymph Calypso keeps him captive because she loves him. She commands the waves to wash him back to shore, each time he tries to make a raft and sail to sea. Odysseus turns down her offer to make him immortal if he remains with her. He longs to return home. At the command of Zeus, the God of the Heavens, Calypso eventually releases him, and Odysseus sets sail once more.
Angered by the release, Poseidon, the god of the seas, summons the winds and smashes Odysseus’s raft. Thrown overboard, an exhausted Odysseus manages to swim ashore in the land of the Phaeacians, a peaceful people living in relative isolation. With the help of Athena, the goddess of wisdom, he is brought before their king and queen. Moved by his story, they offer him hospitality and provide him with a ship, which finally carries him safely to Ithaca.
In Ithaca, Penelope has been besieged by numerous suitors, who have consumed his wealth and assumed that he was dead. With the help of Athena, he disguises himself as a beggar and secretly returns to his palace. Penelope meanwhile remains faithful to Odysseus, and has devised strategies to postpone remarriage. She announces that she will marry the man who can string Odysseus’s great bow and shoot an arrow through a series of axe-heads. None of the suitors succeeds. The disguised Odysseus effortlessly strings the bow and reveals his identity. With Telemachus and a few loyal servants, he kills the suitors and restores order to his household and reunites with Penelope.
Exploration of the ‘Subterranean Flow’ of the Narrative
Derived from the Greek root odussia, the word odyssey has entered the English language, meaning ‘long adventurous journey’ while, interestingly, some linguists argue that it is also linked to the word odyne meaning ‘pain and suffering, distress or consuming grief’.
The Odyssey can be understood as more than an adventure story. It is an archetype of the journey through life itself: departure, ordeal, wandering, self-discovery and return.
The narrative embodies three archetypal elements – a character [a hero], a theme [his journey] and a symbolic destination [home]
The character of Odysseus represents a pattern of struggle, confrontation with danger and transformation. He emerges as the archetypal ‘hero’, fighting the Trojan War to secure the release of Helen, who has been taken from her husband, Menelaus, the king of the allied nation of Sparta. Helen came to be known as ‘Helen of Troy’, an enduring archetypal image of feminine beauty. The war was brought to a dramatic conclusion by Odysseus’s ingenious stratagem: he and his men concealed themselves inside a giant wooden horse which was brought into Troy enabling them to launch a surprise attack. The ‘Trojan Horse’ has since become a lasting allegory for deception and cunning.
Odysseus is characterised as a ‘hero’, not only due to his military prowess, but also to the courage, resourcefulness and perseverance he displays throughout his archetypal journey home. Tested by forces both external and within, he endures suffering, confronts his limitations and undergoes a process of transformation before finding his way home.
He encounters storms, monsters, seductive enchantresses, intoxicating flora [lotuses: the ‘lotus eaters’ becoming an allegory for Indulgence in idle pleasure], enthralling music and the supernatural world – a realm divided between forces that protect, obstruct, tempt and test him. Yet his journey is not without errors of judgement or disagreement with his fellow crew members, and he must face the consequences of his actions, and most poignantly, the loss of his companions. His greatest challenge, however, is not merely survival, but the preservation of his identity and sense of purpose. He must resist the temptations that threaten to keep him from home, recognise the limits of his own pride and ingenuity, and ultimately learn the value of humility. The theme represents, in varying degree, a recurring pattern or journey of human experience, transformation and self-discovery, beyond its literary presentation.
Ithaca becomes not merely a geographical destination but an archetypal ‘home’, a symbol of selfhood, continuity and the restoration of order after chaos and suffering. One must not overlook the crucial role played by Penelope in preserving the home, enduring her own trials, sustaining the household and preserving its continuity against overwhelming odds.
In essence, the archetypal pattern beneath the narrative in Homer’s Odyssey is the human journey home – through danger, temptation, loss and transformation – towards identity, belonging and restoration.
Conclusion
A good piece of Art – literary or cinematic – much like Psychology, seeks to illuminate the complexities of human experience. In this regard, The Odyssey can be seen as a timeless metaphor for the human journey – the difficulties, hardships, setbacks and emotional challenges that people inevitably encounter throughout their lives: the trials and tribulations that may alter the course of a life. Such trials are not merely tests of character in the face of suffering but, more importantly, they may serve as opportunities for self-discovery, growth and transformation.
As Carl Jung, the renowned psychiatrist, postulated, much of this experience is rooted in the ‘collective unconscious’, a deeper layer of the psyche beneath conscious thought and individual experience. It is perhaps this deeper, often unspoken dimension of our shared humanity that enables The Odyssey to transcend its ancient origins and continue to resonate universally, across cultures and generations.
[sirigalhenage@gmail.com]
Opinion
Meritocracy or seniority number for pilot promotions in commercial airlines?
by Capt. (Ret) G.A.Fernando
‘Meritocracy’ is held to be an essential part of good governance in any organisation. The other two essential components are ‘pragmatism’ and ‘honesty as in Singapore’. Unfortunately, meritocracy is also subjective. Reportedly, in the early days of Air Ceylon, the first officer (co-pilot) would sometimes help to pack the operations manager’s bags before an impending trip, in order to gain ‘merit’ in the airline. Alternatively, the first officer considered for command may have been a ‘boozing buddy’ of the captain. In short, there was no system.
In Air Lanka all our managers, instructors and chief pilots were expatriates. Fairly or unfairly, a rumour had it that pilot promotions were decided at the whites-only Colombo Swimming Club. There were many instances when promotions were offered to someone of so-called ‘good standing’, or ‘a friend of the family’, in the eyes of airline management. Thus, some junior pilots were unfairly by-passed for no valid reason. Such was life in those days.
Consequently, in the mid-1980s the Pilots’ Guild declared that ‘enough was enough’, and after a quick survey of other airline practices, using data supplied by the International Federation of Air Line Pilots’ Associations (IFALPA), it was demanded of Air Lanka management that they too should establish a seniority list to ensure that no-one will be overlooked when it came to pilot promotions.
Essentially, a pilot would be given a ‘seniority number’ at the time of joining the airline. If the date of joining was the same for a batch of pilots, then the number of hours of experience at the time of joining in decreasing order would be the factor in determining individual pilots’ seniority within that batch. The lower the seniority number the greater the seniority of the pilot. That, and only that, would be the consideration. In other words, it was a pecking order of sorts. In case a pilot was bypassed due to some valid requirement, that pilot would be entitled to a good and acceptable reason, and then to a bypass allowance.
While accepting it on principle, no one in the Flight Operations department was willing to ‘bell the cat’ or buck the system.
Therefore, it fell upon the Pilots’ Guild, and specifically me as its secretary, to establish a draft copy of a seniority list, which was eventually accepted by the management of Air Lanka, for pilot promotions.
The pilot was to carry that number until his career with the airline ended. It also gave an opportunity for management to pick candidates out of sequence (for good reason), as the seniority will eventually be re-established. However, if the pilot left the airline for greener pastures and returned, he/she would have to join at the bottom of the list (as the most junior pilot).
Opinion
When crime speaks louder than politics
Narcotics, firearms, capital flight and a daylight massacre, and the duty of the security state
By Mahil Dole
Senior Superintendent of Police (Retired) | Former Head of Counter-Terrorism, State Intelligence Service
The past fortnight has not been a collection of isolated crime stories. It has been a pattern: a large maritime narcotics seizure in the North, inland heroin and ICE hauls in the West and South, a cache of military-pattern firearms on the outskirts of Colombo, a multi-billion-rupee foreign-exchange fraud through shell companies, and, worst of all, a daylight shooting in Halpethota, Baddegama. Gunmen in a car intercepted a three-wheeler and fired at point-blank range, leaving a man and a woman dead. Another woman succumbed to her injuries.
These are not good signs for a peace-loving people. Criminals operating in tandem, brandishing firearms, and treating a public road as an execution ground advertise an insecure environment. When that coincides with Easter Sunday judgments and a presidential claim that politics has been turned from a business into public service, the temptation in Colombo is to treat security as background noise. That would be a serious error.
What the record of two weeks actually shows
On 27 September, personnel of the Northern Naval Command and SLNS Agbo intercepted a consignment at Kusumanthurai Beach, Madagal, Jaffna. One suspect was arrested and a small boat recovered. Examination with the Police Narcotics Bureau established approximately 45.5 kilograms of ICE and 35.7 kilograms of heroin, nearly 81 kilograms, with a street value exceeding Rs. 1.5 billion. It was described as the Navy’s largest ICE-and-heroin haul from northern waters.
That same morning, in Halpathota, Baddegama, the victims were said to have been returning after signing at the Galle Crimes Division. Motive can wait. The method cannot: pursuit, interception and execution in daylight, with a military-pattern weapon, in a populated southern town.
In the days immediately preceding these events, officers of the Western Province North Crime Division arrested suspects in Bokundara, Piliyandala, with more than 11 kilograms of heroin and more than 6 kilograms of ICE, valued in the region of Rs. 300 million. In Walgama, Matara, a man and a woman were arrested with nearly 22 kilograms of ICE, together with cash and vehicles suspected of being used in trafficking. In Kolonnawa, raids recovered a 9mm pistol, seven firearms capable of firing T-56 ammunition, and more than 600 rounds of 9mm ammunition. The Financial Crimes Investigation Division produced before court a suspect alleged to have aided remittances equivalent to some Rs. 24.8 billion through shell companies, against imports that never arrived. He has been remanded until 1 October. The file sits inside a wider inquiry into scores of companies and tens of thousands of telegraphic transfers.
Taken separately, each arrest is a success. Taken together they describe a market: drugs arriving by sea, broken and distributed inland, protected by firearms, and accompanied by money moving through corporate vehicles that look lawful until they are examined.
Non-traditional threats in a crowded political climate
National security in Sri Lanka is still too often imagined as the business of preventing another Easter Sunday or another armed insurgency. Those remain real responsibilities. The Colombo High Court Trial-at-Bar has just convicted 15 of 24 accused in the principal Easter Sunday case and imposed sentences running to two centuries of rigorous imprisonment. That judgment matters for victims, for the record, and for deterrence. It does not, by itself, close the file on intelligence failure, institutional negligence, or the wider architecture that allowed a conspiracy to mature. Into that same week has come another publication, and it requires a different kind of honesty.
A book titled Navayay Paha Vikurthiya– (9:5 Distortion), has been launched after Qur’an 9:5. There is a particular hypocrisy in that naming while refusing to read 9:1 to 9:7. The verse is not a licence. It is a wartime clause after a broken treaty, a four-month warning, and an order to honour pacts that were kept. The next line requires safe-conduct for an enemy who only wants to hear the Word of God. To lift “kill the polytheists” and sell it as the meaning of Islam is not scholarship. It is the method Surah Al-Imran 3:7 condemns: those in whose hearts is deviation chase isolated lines to create fitnah, while those firm in knowledge take the Book as a whole.
The vested interest is not hard to see. The same launch that branded a Qur’anic verse as “distortion” was used to seek another presidential pardon and the cover of the Maha Sangha. A cleric already convicted for insulting Islam now packages that faith as a public threat, then asks the State for mercy so that he may continue the same politics. That is not national security. It is the old trade: isolate a line, inflame a crowd, and convert communal fear into personal and political capital. Sri Lanka has paid for that trade before, in broken streets, in a community placed under blanket suspicion after Easter, and in an intelligence culture that watched identity instead of behaviour. Say so plainly, without matching abuse with abuse, and without letting a slogan stand in for the text.
Narcotics, underworld firearms, capital flight dressed as trade, and contract-style public shootings are not “ordinary crime” in a country that still lives with organised violence. They feed corruption and create the cash and firepower on which larger threats later ride. A state that treats them as a blotter problem, while its political class argues in Colombo, has misread its own risk register.
From politics as business to public service, a test, not a slogan
At a mass rally in Gampaha this Sunday, under the theme “People’s Rule – Two Years Strong. Progress for All,” the President said that politics which had become a business has been transformed into public service. The sentence is well aimed. For decades office was inventory: licences, contracts, land, appointments and silence. That marketplace ran into Customs sheds, bank counters, landing points and the underworld’s procurement of weapons. If politics is now public service, the claim must be tested in the court and on the road.
The courts, in recent weeks, have not been idle. Political figures, public servants and entrepreneurs have been produced on corruption charges: a sitting parliamentarian on an alleged aircraft-procurement bribery file; a former Krrish Group director over an alleged Rs. 70 million payment tied to a Fort property; the former chairman of Lanka Mineral Sands; the General Manager of Lanka Salt; a former National Transport Commission chairman over Expressway permits; a former minister’s secretary over an alleged Rs. 8.1 million bribe. Earlier this year CIABOC reported more than thirty public officials arrested in four months. These files are the visible edge of an effort to make “politics as business” expensive.
That effort is a condition of national security, not a side-issue to be parked with the bribery commission. A dinghy does not beach at Kusumanthurai without facilitators. A T-56 does not appear in Kolonnawa or Baddegama without a supply chain that has passed through a compromised official or a bank that asked too few questions. Phantom imports on the FCID’s scale are the financial twin of the narcotics trade. Clean politics starves those networks. Dirty politics feeds them. But a remand is not yet public service, and a rally sentence is not yet a secure street. If directors are in court while a three-wheeler is raked in Halpethota, and if ICE still moves by the kilo through northern waters, the citizen is entitled to ask which marketplace has actually been closed.
There is a further caution. Campaigns against corruption succeed only when they are even-handed and evidence-led. Selective zeal recreates the old business of politics under a new label. An intelligence service used to settle scores will not be trusted when it later asks the public about a landing or a weapons dump. The Gampaha formulation is useful if it becomes an operational standard: the law applies to the powerful and the obscure alike, and the State’s first business is the ordinary person on an ordinary road.
Agency responsibilities: who must do what.
Figure: The citizen on an ordinary road is the test. The Navy, Police and Narcotics Bureau, intelligence desks, FCID and banks, Customs and the FIU, CIABOC, the courts and the National Security Council are not rival press offices. They are one picture — or they are three press releases.
The Navy’s duty on the northern and southern approaches is not ceremonial. The Palk Strait remains a preferred corridor: the crossing is short and fishing provides cover. Interdiction at Kusumanthurai is valuable only if it is followed by source-to-market mapping, packers, landing points, inland receivers, offshore facilitators. That work requires the Police Narcotics Bureau, Customs, the Financial Intelligence Unit, and a fusion cell that treats a dinghy, a bank transfer and a T-56 as one picture.
The Police duty is to prevent the next daylight murder, not merely to investigate the last. When a T-56 is used on a public road against people returning from a crimes division, the question is how the weapon moved, who sanctioned the hit, and why threat assessment failed. Inland ICE and heroin finds must be treated as distribution nodes, not trophies. A 22-kilogram haul in Matara and an 18-kilogram mixed find in Piliyandala, days apart from an 81-kilogram coastal seizure, should be one picture, not three press releases.
The FCID and the banks have a national-security function whether or not the statute uses that phrase. Phantom imports drain reserves, can wash criminal proceeds, and can pay for the consignments the Navy pulls off beaches. The Kotikawatte arrest should open a network case, not close a headline.
Intelligence agencies must resist waiting for a “terrorism” label before they sit up. Organised narcotics, contract killing and covert capital movement are intelligence problems. They require sources, financial intelligence, maritime awareness and the courage to share what is known before the next three-wheeler is stopped on a southern road.
Preventive measures that can be taken now
Prevention is a set of unglamorous tasks. First, a standing joint cell, Navy, Police Narcotics Bureau, Customs, FCID and the Financial Intelligence Unit, with one target list and one weekly assessment to the National Security Council. Measure networks dismantled, not only kilograms.
Second, treat firearms recovery as a campaign. The Kolonnawa cache is a logistics dump. Every recovery should be traced: origin, last custodian, end-user, cash trail. Unaccounted military-pattern weapons remain an unfinished post-conflict item.
Third, close the gap between court appearance and street vulnerability. People required to sign at a crimes division are known to the system. The system then owes a threat assessment. Public roads in Baddegama should not become killing grounds because two factions have a rifle.
Fourth, match telegraphic transfers against Customs and shipping data as routine, not as a special project after a complaint reaches Police Headquarters. The Rs. 24.8 billion file should rewrite that routine.
Fifth, political controversy must be ring-fenced from operational command, and the anti-corruption drive must speak to the anti-narcotics drive. A National Security Council on a fixed cycle, with a fused assessment and written tasking, keeps the permanent State at work while the temporary Government argues its constitutional case. CIABOC, the FCID, the Police Narcotics Bureau and Customs should not discover at a press conference that they have been chasing the same names.
The test that matters
Sri Lanka has spent a generation learning, at terrible cost, that security is not the same thing as the absence of a declared war. The peace-loving public does not ask the State to win arguments in Colombo, or to win applause at a Gampaha rally. It asks that a three-wheeler on a southern road can pass a car without being raked by a T-56; that a northern beach is watched before the dinghy beaches, not after; that a house in Kolonnawa is not a magazine; that billions of rupees cannot leave the country dressed as imports that never were; and that the man who once sold a licence and the man who now fires a rifle are both answerable to the same law.
The detections of the past two weeks prove that parts of the system still work. The Baddegama murders prove that other parts do not work in time. The court list proves that another part has at last been put to work. National security is the closing of that gap, by agencies that know their duty, by a centre that refuses to be distracted, and by a standard that treats public service as the protection of the ordinary citizen from the old business of politics and the new business of crime.
(This analysis is offered in the interest of national security, institutional reform, and public safety)
The writer is a Senior Superintendent of Police (Retired), former Head of the Counter-Terrorism Division of the State Intelligence Service, and a former Member of the Sri Lanka Wakfs Board. He writes on national security, intelligence and institutional reform. Email- mahildole54@gmail.com
Sources:
contemporaneous reports of the Sri Lanka Navy, Police spokesmen, CIABOC and court proceedings, News First, Newswire, Ada Derana, Daily Mirror and related parliamentary reporting, 21–27 September 2026; Qur’an 9:1–7 and 3:7; book launch of Navayay Paha Vikurthiya, 20 September 2026.
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