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Damned if you do, damned if you don’t

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Readers may find the title of this article a bit intriguing so let me explain at the outset that it refers to the President’s dilemma. He has had crucial decisions to make after taking over the presidency. Most of the decisions he has taken thus far have been resounding successes. It is abundantly clear that had he not made such tough calls the country would have been damned and as a consequence, so too, the president himself.

Now, having made all the tough calls which have enabled us to see at least a flicker of light at the end of the tunnel, he is still being bashed by those who are thirsting for power and some others who also appear to have personal agendas. In other words he’s damned for getting us out of this disastrous situation or let’s say, putting us on the path to recovery.

It is sad to see some parliamentarians who were hitherto held in high esteem shouting themselves hoarse in their endeavours to throw Ranil Wickremesinghe out of the presidency on the grounds that he wasn’t elected. Don’t they realize that he didn’t get there through a military coup, or even through a constitutional coup. He was legitimately appointed/elected president in accordance with the constitution. Haven’t they heard of Gerald Ford? He too was appointed president in accordance with the US Constitution. For the record, Ford wasn’t even Nixon’s running mate at the US presidential election. He was only appointed Vice President when Spiro Agnew resigned.

When he did contest the presidency he was defeated by Jimmy Carter. Some others, too, keep clamouring for elections. Granted, elections are the right of the people but shouldn’t we look a bit further than that?! The popular belief is that those who represent the present Government will be badly defeated if an election is to be held immediately. The local government elections need to be held first but if as expected the ruling party is soundly beaten there will be additional pressure on the president to dissolve parliament and have a general election. There will even be agitation for the president himself to resign but is that what the country needs at this point of time?! There is the possibility of the Government being brought down but shouldn’t we envisage the consequences if that were to happen?!

Has the Leader of the Opposition even considered such a scenario?! Everything we have achieved thus far in the management of our debt burden will be negated. The cynic may ask “what have we achieved?” Well, those who behave like the ostrich will never understand. Those screaming themselves hoarse calling for elections, making every effort to topple the government will never understand. So let’s place on record the achievements of this government towards this end.

In May 2022, Sri Lanka defaulted on its debt for the first time in her history and faced a doomsday scenario. We were a bankrupt nation, no two words about that. Let us envision what would have followed. We don’t need to be reminded of the parlous state of the economy when Ranil took over as prime minister first and subsequently as president. There were long queues for fuel for days on end, often weeks. It was not uncommon to hear of people dying in fuel queues. LPG for cooking was in short supply. Foreign exchange was not available for our imports. We faced the possibility of extended power cuts. The farmers were one unhappy lot. Cross border transactions by banks would have come to a standstill. The list goes on …… The country was bankrupt.

We depended on the charity of friendly nations merely for survival. While China played hardball, we cannot forget the magnanimous gestures of countries like Japan and India in particular. The president with the support of two stalwart officials, the Governor of the Central Bank and Secretary, Treasury, managed to steer the economy towards a semblance of normalcy.

We should now ask ourselves who are the main protagonists, agitating for the removal of this government. Is it the man on the street? I don’t think so. People who openly blasted the Rajapaksas for bringing the country to its knees are no longer wanting Ranil out. On the contrary they now openly say that he has worked wonders to stabilize the country; a feat no other would have achieved. Personally, my garage mechanic has told me so as has another daily paid worker. My friends who travel by three-wheeler too say that the general opinion of their drivers is that life is not easy but it is far better than what it was eight to 12 months ago. I agree that this feedback may not reflect a statistically representative sample but the general feeling is that the country is now on a more stable footing.

People are not agitating for the president to be sent home. They are not cursing the regime as they did not very long ago. Then who are those who are agitating for immediate change? The main agitators are the opposition MPs who see this as a golden opportunity to gain power and enjoy the plums of office. They are not alone though in their attempts to undermine the Government. There are sections of the media too that appear to be bent on dragging Ranil down, perhaps in accordance with their own personal agendas.

By now his adversaries should have realized that Ranil is his own man. He will not be badgered by anyone into doing what he believes is not in the interests of the country. If he could have taken on the locally based diplomatic community at a time when his position was precarious, and come out on top, handling sections of the media agitating against him will be child’s play. The accusation is often made against him that he is arrogant and harsh in his interaction with people but having observed him closely, I’m convinced that it is simply that he doesn’t suffer fools gladly though that may not be a politically savvy attitude.

Getting back to the sections of the media I was referring to, it has been often reported that a certain media organization turned against him because he refused to give his party’s nominations en bloc to a slate of candidates provided by the head of that organization. He was only prepared to give nominations on merit and thus only a few on the list were successful. Another columnist taking digs at the president sits on an “Independent Commission.” If she thinks he’s doing right, shouldn’t she resign?

It is now common knowledge that others who were being considered for the post of prime minister at the time declined the offer. Not so, Ranil Wickremesinghe. He grabbed the opportunity that came his way, confident that he had the ability to save the country from economic disaster. We can only speculate as to whether it was a lack of confidence in their ability or fear of alienating the voter that made other leaders decline the offer of being appointed prime minister. It is at a time like this, that, in the interests of the country, all are expected to put party politics on the back burner, pull their weight and help put the economy of the country back on track. Have a sort of war time cabinet. Unfortunately that doesn’t happen in Sri Lanka.

Most of the opposition members look at it as an opportune time to bring down the government. Their servile followers too echo the same sentiments, baying for Ranil’s blood. They have not thought beyond that. If you tell them “OK, throw Ranil out. After that, what?” They will sheepishly scratch their heads and say “let me think about that”. It isn’t rocket science to understand that if the government collapses, the IMF will rightly say that there is no stable government in place and pull out. When the IMF does that, so will all the bilateral and multilateral creditors. All the confidence and support of the international community, earned by Ranil, not so easily, I should add, will be completely eroded and we will be back to square one with recovery a near impossibility.

While in the opposition it is easy to oppose every measure taken by the Government but once it is the turn of the opposition to govern, have they the stomach to make difficult decisions? It is laughable how they say they will negotiate terms with the IMF. We are a bankrupt nation and not in a position to dictate to the IMF what we will do and what we will not do. The IMF will not allow the tail to wag the dog.

Recently former President Kumaratunga called Sri Lanka “a failed state” 75 years after independence. Of course “failed state” is subjective in nature and the good ex-president is entitled to her opinion. It may be pertinent to remind her though, that there were times when the economy of the country was not doing too badly. The tenures of Presidents J.R. Jayewardene and R. Premadasa need to be mentioned in this context. In fact during her presidency, too, the economy of country was turning around, no thanks to her but entirely due to the government of the time under the leadership of none other than the present president who was the then prime minister.

Then what happened, the bane of petty politics once again took its toll on the country. The president could not bear to see the progress that was being achieved and in a cowardly manner waited till the prime minister was out of the country and sacked three ministers and took over three crucial ministries. On his return to the country, the support for Ranil was overwhelming. Throngs turned up at the airport to greet him and people lined up on the road from the airport to Colombo to show their support. With all that support, this was the ideal time for him to turn tables on the then president but that was not the style of Ranil Wickremasinghe, the true democrat. While the president’s actions were a manifestation of the petty politics this country has seen since Independence, it was not unconstitutional and Ranil respected the Constitution. Parliament was dissolved subsequently even though the government had a working majority.

So my appeal to political parties is that differences be cast aside and all come together in the formation of a National Government. Of course being part of a National Government doesn’t mean that one should be given the right to place stumbling blocks in the way of an already successful path to recovery.

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The Digital Underground

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Illegal Foreign Exchange, Undiyal, Hawala and Money Laundering, A Four-Part Investigative Series

Forex Platforms, Cryptocurrency, AI and the New Financial Battlefield

THE INVISIBLE FINANCIAL EMPIRE – PART III

The Boyfriend Who Was Never Real

Priya, a 34-year-old professional in Colombo, met “David” on LinkedIn. He claimed to work in fintech in Singapore. For six weeks they exchanged messages daily, about work, about life, about a recent trip he had taken to the Maldives. Eventually, the conversation turned, gently and naturally, to money.

“I’ve been trading on this platform, let me show you,” he said, sharing a screenshot of a sleek trading dashboard showing consistent, impressive returns.

Priya invested a small amount first, $500. Within days, her dashboard showed it had grown to $650. She withdrew $100 successfully, just to test it. It worked. Encouraged, she invested more. Then more. Over two months, she transferred a total of $42,000 into the platform.

When she tried to withdraw her full balance, the platform demanded a “regulatory release fee” of $8,000 before funds could be unlocked. She paid it. Then another fee appeared. Then the platform stopped responding altogether. “David” vanished. The trading dashboard, the customer support chat, the entire brokerage, all of it had never been real.

This is what investigators now call “pig butchering”, and, in 2026, the most disturbing development is not the scam itself, which has existed for years, but what now powers it: artificial intelligence has industrialised the entire operation.

From Manual Fraud to Machine-Generated Deception

For most of the past decade, romance-and-investment scams, like the one that targeted Priya, required enormous manual labour. Scam operations, many of them staffed by trafficked workers held against their will in compounds across Myanmar, Cambodia, and Laos, needed real humans to build relationships with victims over weeks, manage fake trading platforms, and respond convincingly to questions.

That labour-intensive model has now been substantially automated. According to financial-crime researchers tracking this shift through 2026, threat actors are standing up entire AI-generated “brokerage” experiences end-to-end, complete with KYC onboarding, branded customer-service chat, animated portfolio dashboards, and falsified live market data feeds, and operating them at industrial scale against multiple victims simultaneously. Generative-AI relationship managers now front the WhatsApp and Telegram conversations that once required real human scammers. AI-cloned regulator letters are generated on demand to justify the fake “release fees” that drain victims a final time before the platform disappears.

What has changed is not the deception itself, it is the production economics. The cost of running a credible synthetic brokerage against one additional victim has collapsed, meaning a single criminal network can now run hundreds of “Davids” simultaneously, each one indistinguishable from a genuine fintech professional until it is too late. (Figure 01)

Sri Lanka: From Victim Pool to Operating Base

Sri Lanka’s relationship to this global scam economy has shifted in an alarming direction over the past two years. The country is no longer only a source of victims, it has become an operating base for the criminal networks themselves.

In April, 2026, Sri Lankan police raided a five-star hotel property, in Ambakandavila, and arrested 150 individuals, including 133 Chinese nationals, 13 Vietnamese nationals, and one Malaysian national, allegedly running a cyber fraud centre with links to international criminal syndicates, based in Myanmar and Cambodia. Investigators say the operation followed a now-familiar regional pattern: recruiters advertise “online marketing” or “data entry” jobs on social media to lure foreign workers to Sri Lanka, confiscate their passports on arrival, and force them to operate scam campaigns under threat.

The Central Bank of Sri Lanka has formally flagged pig-butchering scams as a “developing threat,” warning that foreign scam networks are increasingly targeting overseas nationals through scam farms operating from Sri Lankan soil. A 2026 United Nations report estimated that at least 300,000 people have been trafficked into scam centres across Southeast Asia.

This is not an abstract international problem. It is unfolding in hotels and rented properties across the country, exploiting the same infrastructure, high-speed internet, affordable accommodation, accessible tourist visas, that Sri Lanka has built to attract legitimate digital businesses and tourists.

Where the Money Actually Goes: The Stablecoin Pipeline

Behind every successful pig-butchering scam sits a laundering pipeline that has been transformed almost as dramatically as the scams themselves, and the transformation has a single dominant feature: stablecoins.

According to the Financial Action Task Force’s March 2026, report, drawing on analysis from blockchain intelligence firms Chainalysis and TRM Labs, stablecoins accounted for 84% of the USD 154 billion in illicit virtual asset transaction volume recorded in 2025, the highest share ever observed, and a dramatic jump from just 15% only a few years earlier. TRM Labs separately found that illicit entities received USD 141 billion in stablecoins, in 2025 alone, the highest level observed in five years. (See Table 01)

The scale of state-level abuse is striking. A Russian sanctions-evasion network built around the ruble-pegged stablecoin A7A5 processed more than USD 72 billion in total volume in 2025.

Fighting Fire with Fire: AI on the Defensive Side

The same artificial intelligence reshaping financial crime is also, out of necessity, reshaping the defence against it. Legacy anti-money laundering systems, built on static, rule-based thresholds, have proven badly outmatched by AI-generated fraud operating at machine speed. Research cited by compliance technology analysts suggests that between 90% and 95% of alerts generated by legacy AML systems are false positives, consuming enormous investigator time while genuinely suspicious activity slips through.

This is not a frictionless transition. AI models are notoriously difficult to explain to regulators and examiners in the way traditional rule-based systems are. The practical compromise emerging across the industry is a hybrid model: AI handles the initial scoring and prioritisation of risk, while documented rule-based logic still governs the final decision that must be defensible to a regulator.

The Regulatory Response: Catching Up to the Digital Frontier

Regulators worldwide have begun moving to close the most dangerous gaps exposed by this digital transformation of financial crime. (See Table 02)

What Comes Next

We have now traced this investigation from the centuries-old mechanics of Hawala and Undiyal, through the three-stage architecture that turns criminal proceeds into apparently legitimate wealth, to the AI-generated frontier of digital financial crime reshaping all of it at machine speed.

In our concluding instalment, Part IV: “Sri Lanka at the Crossroads: Economic Consequences, Organised Crime and the Road Ahead”, we bring this series home. We examine precisely what all of this costs Sri Lanka in hard economic terms: lost remittances, exchange rate pressure, tax revenue forgone, and the 2026 FATF evaluation that will determine whether the country’s institutions can demonstrate, with evidence rather than legislation alone, that they are equal to this challenge. We close with a practical policy roadmap.

(The writer, a senior Chartered Accountant and professional banker, is Professor at SLIIT, Malabe.
Views expressed in this article are personal.)

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‘There are no private universities in Sri Lanka’ – some considerations for higher education reform

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Academics involved in education policy like to say that there is no such thing as a private university in Sri Lanka. The only ‘universities’ in the country are state universities; anything else offering degrees is a private higher education institution (HEI). This position is technically accurate. Yet, in the discourse and imagination of the public, private universities are very real – people teach in them, students register in them, families pay fees, and such degree holders enter job markets in Sri Lanka and outside.

For decades, activists concerned for public higher education have ignored or resisted looking at private HEIs, as if such scrutiny would taint them. Others have worked in both types of institutions, carrying practices from each to the other. The apex body governing state universities, the UGC, has, meanwhile, ignored the concept of conflict of interest and appointed individuals in private higher education in committees and leadership positions. It is unsurprising then that some of the ideologies informing private higher education appear in reform agendas in the state sector.

This is a good time then to consider the varying types of private HEIs around us, and to take a look at some of the issues within them in the hope that higher education reform agendas will include private, as well as state higher education.

What is a ‘private university’?

First, some clarifications. In the public imaginary, a ‘private university’ is typically an institution that provides a foreign or local degree for which the student makes a payment. But this broad classification encompasses a host of diverse institutions and types of degrees which I detail below.

The Non-State Higher Education Division (NSHE) of the Ministry of Education has recognised 295 degrees by 32 institutions. Most of these are private companies and include a handful of established, well-known private HEIs that are ‘university like’. The degrees are local degrees conferred by the institutions accredited by the NSHE Division. While private HEIs conferring local degrees must be accredited by the NSHE Division, there appears to be no legal consequence for not doing so. In addition, there are several permutations of the private degree that miss the net of this Division and the Standing Committee on Accreditation and Quality Assurance (SCAQA) that assists this Division.

For one, degrees conferred by foreign universities offered, via these same private HEIs, are not vetted by the NSHE Division. Secondly, there is a growing plethora of private HEIs which have either no physical presence locally or only a dubious presence. The University Grants Commission has notified the public, through their website, that foreign universities listed in the Commonwealth Universities Yearbook and the World Higher Education Database are recognised, but refrained from giving any other details – which degrees? Offered by what modes? These details are not known. Some of the foreign universities in the lists may be legitimate entities in their own land but the degrees conferred locally, in their name, may not adhere to curriculum or teaching specifications of the NSHE Division or the UGC.

Another troubling phenomenon is the ‘top up degree’, which appears to work on the same principle as that of a pre-paid mobile connection: if I have a Diploma or an HND of a sort, I am eligible to complete a course of study which provides me with a degree, usually from a foreign university. The idea that someone who does not initially qualify for a degree programme should be able to work their way towards one is a progressive notion. This is the concept that open and distance learning (ODL) was based on initially, but which is now sadly exploited. ODL models are expected to provide opportunity for learning for those who may be excluded from traditional learning institutions. In Sri Lanka, however, we have seen ODL become a marketplace offering easy to obtain, for-fee qualifications by institutions with little commitment to superior teaching and learning.

Finally, a perusal of the many types of private HEIs and their varied degrees bring to mind another question – how should the private degrees, provided by state institutions (that are not educational institutions), be regulated? Who should do so?

All of these create a host of problems for the public – for hopeful students and parents and trusting employers. For the higher education sector, recruitment of academic staff, too, has become difficult due to this plethora of ambiguous higher education qualifications, as I discussed in a previous Kuppi article (‘Recruiting academics to state universities’).

Some issues in private HEIs – a bellwether for change in state universities

In this second part of this article, I will discuss some aspects of work in private HEIs – albeit the more established institutions – given that such issues may appear in reform agendas in future.

Across state universities, all permanent staff of a specific category are paid according to the same criteria. The picture is not so clear when it comes to private HEIs since they are different entities legally, typically companies. Private HEIs have salary scales and financial incentives that are different to each other. The more established private HEIs reportedly have attractive renumeration packages, possibly a reason for academics of state universities migrating eagerly to such institutions during sabbatical years and on retirement. This may not of course be the case with other less established, or improperly registered HEIs of which we know little. Academic staff of these more accepted private HEIs seem to value the high financial remuneration they receive (in comparison to state universities) as something that makes their work rewarding.

Attractive remuneration is important to sustain the good life and is at times seen as the institution’s way of encouraging good work. Yet, this has implications for the future of the institution: to continue to deliver on promised financial packages, institutions must continue to have large profit margins. One strategy has been to enroll multiple cohorts of students per year, even up to three or four intakes per year. This can result in exploitative work conditions, since staff must cater to all these cohorts in that same year. If there is inadequate staff, employees are further burdened. On the other hand, if there is a sudden drop in enrolments (degrees can go out of fashion) unexpected layoffs occur. Similar to other sectors that employ short-term contract staff – including state universities – in private HEIs, too, individual teachers, who are on short term contracts that need regular renewal, can feel pressured to work under difficult or exploitative conditions.

At the same time, even in the more established private HEIs, work norms differ from those of state universities in that they include promotional work that keeps the institution’s name in the eye of the public. The Marketing (or similarly named) unit comes up in conversations as one of the most important departments. It appears to weigh in on decision-making related to the number of staff, the amount of re-sits per exams, and other pedagogically important matters. This is a worrying example of how financial rationales interfere with pedagogically or academically sound processes, resulting in problematic results in the classroom. On the plus side, junior colleagues, who had experience in both state and private HEIs, also felt that they faced less harassment in private HEIs – primarily due to the private HEIs ability to take swift action in reported cases of harassment. This is a real indictment on state institutions and their reluctance to address chronic issues of harassment in our universities.

Yet, while we hear much about problems in state universities, we hardly hear of problems that staff in private HEIs face. One rationale for a lack of public expressions by staff is that expressions of discontent might lead to trouble given the importance of reputation for private HEIs. The worry about reputational damage is a growing concern in state universities, too, as evidenced by social media policies and internal conversations on reputational damage, consequent to negative publicity. Institutional worries of reputational damage are harmful in the long run since these impact not only freedom of expression by student and staff, but also research that is possible in and about the education sector.

Some thoughts at the end…


A close look at the private higher education sector is important given its strong presence in the country. Impending reform needs to regulate this diverse array of higher education offerings in the private sector, as well as the state institutions that offer privately-funded options of higher education (a topic for a separate Kuppi on its own). It is time we carefully considered how to build a whole system of higher education out of this broken mess.

Kaushalya Perera is a senior lecturer at the University of Colombo.

Kuppi is a politics and pedagogy happening on the margins of the lecture hall that parodies, subverts, and simultaneously reaffirms social hierarchies.

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Ready for solo spotlight

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Nish Peiris: Excited about future plans

Singer Nish Peiris is set to take the next big step in her music journey.

The talented vocalist, who has been seen and heard in the scene here for a short while, and was also featured with the now-defunct band, Inner Vision, has announced that she will be fully committing to her solo career, after completing her degree this year.

“I’m finishing my degree this year, and after that I’ll be fully committing to my solo music career,” Nish told The Island.

“I’ve already got a few tours lined up for next year, so I’m really excited for what’s ahead.”

Fans, no doubt, will remember Nish for her smooth voice and stage presence, and the good news is that she is now ready to chart her own path and bring new music to audiences at home and abroad.

With tours already planned for 2027, the year 2026 promises to be an exciting year for the young artiste as she steps into the spotlight on her own.

We wish Nish every success in this new chapter!

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