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CCPI based headline inflation eases in February 2023

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Headline inflation, as measured by the year-on-year (Y-o-Y) change in the Colombo Consumer Price Index (CCPI, 2021=100)1 decreased to 50.6% in February 2023 from 51.7% in January 2023. The decline in the headline inflation is broadly in line with the disinflation path envisaged by the Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) in January 2023.

The Food inflation (Y-o-Y) decreased to 54.4% in February 2023 from 60.0% in January 2023, whereas the Non-Food inflation (Y-o-Y) increased to 48.8% in February 2023 from 47.9% in January 2023. Monthly change of CCPI recorded at 0.47% in February 2023 due to price increases observed in items of Non-Food category, which was 1.20%. However, the Food category recorded a monthly decline of 0.74%. The core inflation (Y-o-Y), which reflects the underlying inflation in the economy, decreased to 43.6% in February 2023 from 45.6% in January 2023.

Looking ahead, based on the latest macroeconomic projections of the CBSL and available information, the anticipated declining trend of inflation is expected to continue through 2023, supported by subdued demand conditions owing to tight monetary and fiscal policy measures, and anticipated improvements in domestic supply conditions, along with the favourable statistical base effect.

The inflation fan chart depicted here illustrates the uncertainty surrounding the baseline projections using confidence bands of gradually fading colours. Given the prevailing domestic and global economic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions, the risks associated with the current projections are much higher than in normal times. In particular, there are upside risks to baseline projections arising from possible second round effects of the recent electricity tariff increase, any upward adjustments in other utility and energy prices, possible deviation of expected fiscal consolidation path, etc. Nevertheless, the substantial deterioration of the purchasing power of the public could offset some upward pressures on inflation, exerting downside risks to its projections.

1 Compilation of Colombo Consumer Price Index (CCPI, 2013=100) is discontinued and replaced by CCPI (2021=100) since February 2023. The Colombo Consumer Price Index (CCPI, 2021=100) is compiled by the Department of Census and Statistics (DCS) to indicate average changes in the prices of goods and services purchased by households in urban areas of Colombo district.

2 The projections displayed in the fan chart reflect the available data, and assumptions and judgements made at the January 2023 forecast round. The realised inflation numbers, depicted by the red dots, are based on the new base year series (CCPI, 2021=100), whereas the fan chart and historical data are based on the old base year series (CCPI, 2013=100), which has resulted in a noticeable shift in realised inflation compared to the projections given in the fan chart. The Central Bank revises its medium-term inflation projections on a quarterly basis, along with the release of GDP estimates by the DCS. Accordingly, the fan chart will be updated during the April 2023 forecast round, using latest available information, including rebased inflation and 2022 Q4 GDP data.



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CMTA warns of further Rs. 40 billion revenue leakage in 2026, calls for urgent removal of 15% depreciation

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(L to R): Andrew Perera, Chairman, Ceylon Motor Traders Association and Lakmal de Silva, Senior Vice Chairman, Ceylon Motor Traders Association

The Ceylon Motor Traders’ Association (CMTA), the senior-most automotive association in Sri Lanka affiliated with the Ceylon Chamber of Commerce, has issued an urgent appeal to the government to abolish the 15% depreciation currently granted on used vehicle imports, warning that the concession is causing massive revenue leakages at a time when the country can least afford them.

The Association estimates that the existing depreciation mechanism resulted in approximately Rs. 40 billion in lost government revenue in 2025 alone. If corrective action is not taken immediately, a similar level of revenue leakage could occur in 2026, further impacting the government’s fiscal position and depriving the country of much-needed funds for national development and public services.

The Association notes that loopholes within the existing system have created opportunities for misuse, resulting not only in unfair advantages for certain importers but also in substantial losses to government revenue. Addressing these abuses, alongside the removal of the 15% depreciation concession, is essential to ensuring greater transparency, strengthening regulatory oversight, and protecting the integrity of Sri Lanka’s vehicle import sector.

While no official announcement has yet been made regarding the removal of the 15% depreciation, the CMTA has consistently highlighted the issue through multiple budget proposals submitted via the Ceylon Chamber of Commerce. The Association has repeatedly maintained that there is no viable justification for the continued application of this concession on used vehicle imports.

Currently, used vehicles receive a 15% depreciation on their Cost, Insurance and Freight (CIF) value for duty calculation purposes. However, the vast majority of vehicles entering the country through the used vehicle market are virtually zero-mileage units, with CIF values that are often comparable to those of brand-new vehicles. In such circumstances, the CMTA argues that granting a blanket 15% depreciation creates an unfair and unjustifiable tax advantage while significantly reducing government revenue collections.

The Association acknowledges that if the objective through this concession is making vehicles more affordable for consumers, then the CMTA stresses that affordability cannot be achieved through arbitrary concessions that create market distortions and substantial losses to the Treasury. If the intention is to reduce vehicle prices, similar policy considerations could be extended to brand-new vehicles rather than selectively benefiting one segment of the market.

Consumers who purchase brand-new vehicles benefit from manufacturer warranties, which help mitigate maintenance and repair costs during the warranty period. As a result, vehicle owners are less likely to incur additional expenses associated with importing replacement parts, providing greater long-term value, reliability, and peace of mind.

The CMTA further notes that as far back as 2013, a structured depreciation framework was implemented based on the age of a vehicle, rather than a flat-rate concession. Under this proposal, depreciation would be calculated according to a defined scale and capped at a maximum of 10%, ensuring greater fairness, transparency and alignment with the actual value of the vehicle.

The Association stated that the continued application of a blanket 15% depreciation is resulting in significant and unnecessary revenue leakages for the government. At a time when every rupee of revenue is critical to the country’s economic progress, this issue requires immediate attention and decisive action.

The CMTA therefore strongly urges the relevant authorities to take swift action to abolish the current 15% depreciation concession and close this avenue of revenue leakage without delay. The Association emphasises that every month of inaction increases the risk of further losses to the state and undermines efforts to strengthen public finances.

Should the government determine that some form of concession should continue to be extended to the used vehicle market, the CMTA maintains that it must be implemented through a structured and transparent framework based on vehicle age and capped at a reasonable level. Such an approach would ensure fairness while safeguarding government revenue and maintaining a level playing field across the automotive industry.

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Climate adaptation now a business survival imperative, experts warn

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Businesses in Sri Lanka risk severe financial and operational disruption unless they urgently invest in climate adaptation and resilience measures, leading climate experts warned at a high-level dialogue on “Climate-Proofing Business Sri Lanka” held on Wednesday at Genesis – The Dilmah Centre for a Sustainable Future.

The event, jointly organized by Genesis and the Ceylon Chamber of Commerce, brought together corporate leaders, sustainability professionals, policymakers and climate specialists to discuss how climate change is rapidly emerging as one of the biggest risks facing Sri Lanka’s economy.

Climate Change and Disaster Risk Management Specialist Rohan Cooray said climate-related disasters were already exacting a heavy economic toll globally and locally.

He noted that climate-induced losses divert resources that could otherwise be invested in economic development and business growth and stressed the need for stronger adaptation measures to protect investments and livelihoods.

Delivering the keynote address, internationally renowned climate lawyer and governance specialist Dr. Lalanath de Silva said climate change was no longer a future threat but a present-day economic reality that businesses could not afford to ignore.

“The impacts are coming whether we like it or not,” he said. “The question is whether we prepare now or pay a much higher price later.”

Dr. de Silva explained that while global efforts have largely focused on mitigation—reducing greenhouse gas emissions—adaptation has become equally important, particularly for vulnerable countries such as Sri Lanka.

“Sri Lanka contributes less than one percent of global greenhouse gas emissions, yet we are among the countries most vulnerable to climate impacts,” he said.

He warned that climate change would alter rainfall patterns, intensify floods and droughts, increase the frequency of extreme weather events and place growing pressure on infrastructure, agriculture, water resources and businesses.

“We are very good at producing plans in Sri Lanka. What we have not been good at is implementing them.”

Calling for stronger institutional coordination, Dr. de Silva proposed the establishment of a high-level climate coordination mechanism operating at the highest level of government to ensure coherent action across ministries and agencies.

Providing scientific context to the discussion, Cooray presented projections based on global and regional climate models adopted by Sri Lanka’s Department of Meteorology.

According to Cooray, rainfall patterns across Sri Lanka are expected to become increasingly erratic.

The wet zone is projected to receive more intense rainfall events while many dry-zone regions could experience prolonged drought conditions interspersed with extreme rainfall episodes.

“The danger is not simply that some places become wetter and others become drier. The danger is the increasing variability and unpredictability of rainfall,” he said.

While mitigation projects often generate measurable returns, adaptation investments require innovative financing mechanisms and stronger public-private partnerships, speakers noted.

The event also featured contributions from Dilhan C. Fernando, chairman of Dilmah Ceylon Tea Company PLC; Shiran Fernando, Secretary General and CEO of the Ceylon Chamber of Commerce; and Yasangi Randeni, Chief Sustainability Officer of Aitken Spence PLC.

Speakers agreed that climate-proofing businesses is no longer simply about environmental responsibility but about safeguarding assets, maintaining competitiveness, protecting supply chains and ensuring long-term economic sustainability.

The consensus emerging from the forum was clear: while mitigation remains important, Sri Lanka’s immediate priority must be preparing businesses, communities and institutions for climate impacts that are already unavoidable.

By Ifham Nizam

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Asiri Central Hospital’s Kidney Transplant Centre records 200 successful transplants

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Kidney transplantation at Asiri Health’s Asiri Central Hospital is setting a strong benchmark in advanced renal care in Sri Lanka, offering patients with chronic kidney disease and end-stage renal failure access to highly specialised, safe and comprehensive transplant treatment locally. With more than 200 successful kidney transplant surgeries completed and a success rate exceeding 98%, the hospital’s Kidney Transplant Centre has earned the confidence of both patients and the fraternity through consistently strong clinical outcomes, experienced specialist care and advanced transplant infrastructure.

A key strength of the programme lies in its dedicated transplant unit, developed specifically to support complex renal transplant procedures within a highly controlled environment aligned with international standards of safety, infection prevention and post-operative care. Supported by modern technology and advanced clinical protocols, the centre has become a trusted referral destination for patients requiring specialised kidney transplant treatment. Medical experts at the hospital also stress the importance of early intervention and specialist consultation, particularly for patients with chronic kidney disease, diabetes, hypertension and other conditions that may lead to kidney failure.

Recognised for its multidisciplinary approach and carefully coordinated treatment pathways, the programme brings together consultant nephrologists, transplant surgeons, vascular surgeons, specialised nursing teams and clinical support staff who work collaboratively throughout every stage of the patient journey. From pre-transplant evaluations and donor matching to surgery, recovery and long-term follow-up care, the focus remains on delivering personalised treatment with the highest standards of patient safety and clinical oversight.

Commenting further, Dr. Manjula Karunaratne, Advisor to Chairman & Medical Consultant, Asiri Health, stated: “Our Kidney Transplant Centre has been built on a foundation of clinical expertise and patient-centred care.

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