Features
Women of Sri Lanka should emerge to the forefront in 2021

I present to my readers this first article of Nan’s for 2021 with affectionate good wishes for a much better year than 2020. I well remember in my first article last year, I said the very sound of the year – twenty twenty – slipping off the tongue so easily, is propitious. How wrong I was. But silver linings are always there; they only need seeking and seeing. The candle of hope should be kept burning, difficult though it be.
The entire world was totally skewed by Covid 19. However the countries that were least affected and managed to have their New Normal very akin to the normal they were used to, were almost all headed by women. Examples I need hardly spell out as everyone knows how New Zealand recovered from the pandemic almost totally, led by PM Jacinda Arden, so also Taiwan with President Tsai Ing-wen, while of the European countries, Angela Merkel steered her nation the most competently. Carrie Lam, Chief Executive of Hong Kong, has a very hard time, sandwiched as she is between mainland China, becoming more aggressive, and democracy demanding protesters, but her poise and determination are obvious.
Hence my contention that women in our country should move forwards, taking greater responsibility in steering Sri Lanka to recover as hastily as possible from present troubles. I don’t mean here take over the leadership. Not at all! We have competent leaders in the two highest posts and the Opposition, but within these ranks are some very competent women who should be drawn to centre stage. It’s only Pavithra Wanniarachchi who is a VIP now and she has let herself down badly in several ways. No example at all to emulate. I have heard on TV panel discussions new politicians like a young JVPer with a doctorate and Lihini Fernando of the SJB, so very communicative in English and so very different from such as traitorous
Diana Gamage who let down the SJB; we suppose for kickback or quick kick-up in politics. She is now lost in the wilderness. Women definitely usher in honesty, or thus in most cases. We need urgently a cessation of corruption and dishonest deals,
Greatest women in Buddhism.
The thought or rather hope I mentioned in the previous paragraph is due to the faith I have in women’s steady, honest capability. Also we have just had Unduvap Poya which in Sri Lanka is considered a month for celebrating women. Why? Because of Theri Sanghamitta. Thus my thoughts moving to promote women of our country this year and ones to follow, with outstanding women followers of the Buddha.
Theri Sanghamitta
Sanghamitta was the eldest daughter of Emperor Ashoka (304 BC – 232 BC) and his first wife, Devi. Together with her brother Mahinda, she entered the Buddhist Sangha. Mahinda Thera travelled to Lanka to introduce the teachings of Buddha at the request of King Devanampiya Tissa (250 BC – 210 BC). With him came a young samanera – son of Sanghamitta. When the king’s sister-in-law, Anula Devi desired ordination, he made a second request to Emperor Ashoka. Thus Theri Sanghamitta, on her own insistence, was sent to Sri Lanka together with several other nuns. She established the Order of Nuns or Meheni Sasna in Anuradhapura, and thus conferred equality on women which equality the Buddha proclaimed and Buddhism follows. She lived to a ripe old age, happy in Lanka.
Yasodhara
The ancient history of Buddhism has many great women of saintliness and perseverence: Prajapati Gotami, Prince Siddhartha’s foster mother and his chief female devotee – Visahka. Kisa Gotami and Patachara are made much of as their stories encompass life’s tragedies, but rising above with the help of compassionate Buddha. To me however, the very greatest is Yashodara, wife of Siddhartha Gautama, through many lives in samsara, to end with the Prince attaining enlightenment and Yashodara getting ordained and becoming an arahant.
She was neglected and even I did not consider her character until script writer and director – Prof Sunil Ariyaratne – presented to us his 2018 film Bimba Devi hewath Yashodara.
The entire film runs true to the life of the Buddha as recorded in the Buddhist Canon. It is a narrative beginning eons ago and dealing in detail with the life of Siddhartha Gautama and Yashodara with all important incidents shown. The film starts with a group of bhikkhunis trekking with the voice of Yashodara saying that she is old and near death and walks to where the Buddha is to die after seeing him for the last time.
The most striking of her character traits is her deep understanding and empathizing. She was happily married to Prince Siddhartha but knew before long he was seeking the truth of life; given a glimpse of suffering in his guarded life by his father who had been warned he would either become a great king or hermit. He saw a sick man and a corpse being carried for cremation. The urge to find a solution to humankind’s suffering had come through many samsaric lives and it had to be fulfilled in his present princely life. He had told Yashodara about this and his father and foster mother, requesting his stepbrother be made heir to the throne of Kapilavastu. Yashodara’s only request was that he leave her when she was asleep. He did so soon after their child, Rahula, was born.
Her sacrifice was intense but readily made. When she heard Siddhartha was suffering ascetic restraint, she slept on the floor and gave up luxuries. Her sacrificing her husband and allowing him to go his way is admirable. As a nun who spoke on TV on poya – Dec. 29 – emphasized, never once did she complain about being ‘deserted’ as she knew, carrying that through many lives, that he had to go seek the Truth of existence to help all mankind. She also realized that the Buddha had a great gift to give her son. Knowing, I suppose, that the Buddha might ordain the child, she sent him to meet his father when the Buddha visited Kapilwastu when Rahula was seven years old, directing him to ask for his inheritance.
She gladly decided to go forth renouncing her royal life when her responsibilities to family were over, showing immense steadfastness.
Her determination is evident in wearing the robes of a Bhikkhuni and striving and attaining arahatship. Her femininity comes in here. She decides to see the Buddha for the last time and die where he was resident. Hence her long last journey.
The nun I mentioned also said that being a mere housewife is not mundane and of no use to the nation. Bringing up her children well is her duty, which is almost always done well. Women have inner strength and most importantly are not swayed by desires for even money. Against so many scandals swirling around men leaders, women at the tops of countries usually emerge untainted. Hence our need for more women in active government and the Opposition. Let 2021 revert from being second and third waves of C19 and rampant corruption to the Year of Sri Lankan women!
Features
Glowing, even- toned skin

Green Tea Ice Cubes not only gives your skin a glowing, even-toned, its cooling effect also soothes heat and sweat irritation from humid weather.
Green tea is rich in antioxidants, especially EGCG (epigallocatechin gallate), which:
- Fights free radicals that cause skin darkening and ageing.
- Reduces inflammation and redness.
- Helps brighten skin and fade dark spots.
Okay, this is what you will need:
02 green tea bags (or 02 teaspoons of loose green tea), 01 cup of hot water, and ice cube tray
Boil the 01 cup of water and let it cool for about 01 minute before using.
Add the tea bags, or loose tea, to the hot water and let it steep for 05–10 minutes.
Remove the tea bags/leaves and let the liquid come to room temperature.
Pour the brewed tea into an ice cube tray and place it in the freezer.
Let it freeze overnight or for at least 04–05 hours.
Take 01 cube and wrap it in a clean cotton cloth or use it directly (if your skin can handle it).
Gently massage your face, in circular motions, for 01–02 minutes, especially on dark or dull areas.
Let the tea water air-dry on your skin, then follow up with a light moisturiser or aloe vera gel.
The best time to use it is in the morning after cleansing or before applying makeup/sunscreen.
Skin Benefits:
- Brightens and refreshes tired skin.
- Reduces pigmentation, sun damage, and dark patches.
- Shrinks pores and controls excess oil (perfect for humid climates).
- Helps reduce acne and redness with its anti-inflammatory properties.
Gives your face a natural glow and cooling relief from heat.
Features
Banking Rules fail the elderly and informal sector

Yesterday, I received a phone call from a well-known private bank. A polite female voice on the line asked whether I was interested in obtaining a housing loan. Knowing how things typically work in the Sri Lankan banking system, I decided not to waste her time—or mine. So, I responded candidly: “I’m over 60. Are you still interested in offering your service to me?”
As expected, she politely replied, “No sir, we offer housing loans only to customers below the age of 60.”
Now, let’s think about this for a moment. If you’re 59 years old, does that mean the bank will give you a housing loan with just a one-year repayment period? Apparently, yes. What kind of absurd banking logic is this? Such rigid age cut-offs do not reflect risk management, but sheer bureaucratic laziness.
Banks and other financial institutions follow rules set by the Central Bank of Sri Lanka. One of the main reasons for these rules is to protect the money that people deposit. Figure 1 shows one of those orders to regulate home loans provided by banks.
Employees are to provide banks with confirmation from their respective employer regarding the retirement date/age, as applicable. This requirement introduces administrative friction for the borrower and places unnecessary dependence on employer documentation. Many private sector employers do not maintain strict retirement policies, and contract-based employment has become common. Mandating employer confirmation becomes especially problematic in such cases.
Eligibility Criteria for Housing Loans Under the Terms of This Order (Effective from 10 December 2020) specify the following individuals are eligible to obtain housing loans:
Salaried Employees
* Individuals must be employed in either the public sector (e.g., government departments, state-owned enterprises) or the private sector (e.g., registered companies, private institutions).
Confirmed in Service
* The employment must be confirmed, i.e., the borrower should have completed any probationary period and be in permanent or long-term service. Probationary employees or temporary/contract workers may not be eligible under this order.
This eligibility criterion is narrow and exclusionary, especially in an evolving labour market where:
* Many skilled workers are self-employed, on a contract basis or work in the gig economy would find hard to provide evidence to prove their repayment capacity.
* Job confirmation timelines are often extended due to changing employment practices.
* Real estate investment is increasingly seen as a retirement or family-planning strategy, including among older or self-funded individuals.
While the intent may be to minimise risk for banks by ensuring repayment capacity and employment stability, this overly conservative approach may discriminate against capable, creditworthy individuals, especially older citizens or those outside traditional salaried employment structures.
Tenure of a loan
Figure 2
is an excerpt from the directive issued by CBSL, highlighting the restrictions imposed on the tenure of home loans.
Interestingly, Deshamanya Lalith Kotelawela was one of the few who had the courage—and arguably the foresight—to challenge such irrational norms. While some of his business decisions were controversial, especially the appointment of non-professionals to key financial roles, his thinking on housing loans for older customers was progressive. He proposed that housing loans should be extended even to individuals aged between 60 and 70, with repayment periods of 20 to 30 years. However, he also recommended attaching insurance to these loans—an approach that could benefit his own insurance companies. Naturally, the premiums would be significantly higher for older or higher-risk borrowers.
His reasoning was rooted in both financial logic and social realism: in most Sri Lankan families, children would never allow their parents to lose the family home. In the worst-case scenario, the property—often the most secure asset one can offer—serves as reliable collateral. From a regulatory standpoint, too, this makes sense. According to the Basel framework for banking supervision, residential mortgage loans carry a risk weight of only 50% when calculating capital adequacy. That means such loans are already considered relatively low risk.
So, why are banks clinging to these outdated, “one-size-fits-all” rules that ignore real-world dynamics, demographic shifts, and even their own financial regulations?
These are not just outdated policies—they are stupid banking rules.
Age Discrimination and Financial Exclusion
This condition is fundamentally age-based and introduces structural discrimination against older borrowers. By linking repayment tenure strictly to the borrower’s retirement date, it disproportionately excludes capable individuals nearing retirement—even if they are financially stable, have substantial savings or collateral, or have alternative income sources such as pensions, business income, or rental properties. It presumes that retirement equals financial incapacity, which is not always true in the modern economy. Today, some retired government employees receive monthly pensions exceeding Rs. 100,000.
Ignores Multigenerational and Alternative Repayment Scenarios
This policy does not account for cases where a housing loan is taken for the benefit of the family, and repayment responsibility can logically transfer to a younger family member (such as an adult child or co-borrower). In South Asian cultures especially, joint-family structures and intergenerational financial support are common. Denying long-tenure loans, based on an individual’s remaining years of employment, ignores these sociocultural realities.
Penalises Those Who Start Later
Not everyone begins salaried employment early in life. Some people shift careers, pursue entrepreneurship, or even migrate and return to salaried employment later. Under this rule, a 45-year-old starting a government job would be eligible only for a 15-year loan, regardless of income or asset base. This rigid approach fails to reflect the dynamic nature of modern work and life paths.
Common sense
Banking is often celebrated as a sector driven by logic, data, and risk mitigation. Yet, it is riddled with regulations and practices that are outdated, unempathetic, and at times, downright illogical. A prime example of this is the age discrimination embedded in housing loan policies in many Sri Lankan banks—and indeed in banks across much of the world. The author’s anecdote of receiving a call from a reputed private bank offering a housing loan, only to be told that customers over 60 are ineligible, highlights a major flaw in modern banking systems.
At the heart of this issue lies a fundamental contradiction: while banks are supposed to be institutions that assess individual risk, they often make blanket decisions based on crude demographics such as age. If a person is 59 years old, they are technically eligible for a loan, but only for a tenure of one year, assuming the cut-off age is 60. That assumption, of course, is absurd. Imagine a healthy, wealthy 59-year-old customer being allowed to borrow only on terms designed for a dying man. This “stupid banking rule” lacks nuance and punishes individuals who might otherwise be low-risk borrowers with good collateral.
The Need for Reform
Age should not be the sole determinant of loan eligibility. In an era where people live longer, work well into their seventies, and often own significant assets, banking institutions must adopt more flexible, holistic credit assessment methods. Factors like health, income stability, family support, insurance coverage, and asset base must be considered alongside age.
Additionally, banks should be encouraged—or even regulated—to adopt inclusive lending practices. Policies that facilitate family-based guarantees, property-backed loans with transfer clauses, or reverse mortgage models can ensure that elderly individuals are not financially excluded.
(The writer, a senior Chartered Accountant and professional banker, is Professor at SLIIT, Malabe. He is also the author of the “Doing Social Research and Publishing Results”, a Springer publication (Singapore), and “Samaja Gaveshakaya (in Sinhala). The views and opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the institution he works for. He can be contacted at saliya.a@sliit.lk and www.researcher.com)
Features
Trump tariffs and their effect on world trade and economy with particular

reference to Sri Lanka – Part III
(Continued from yesterday)
Textile Industry Significance
The textile and apparel sector holds outsised importance in Sri Lanka’s economy. It accounts for approximately 40% of the country’s total exports and directly employs around 350,000 workers, predominantly women from rural areas, for whom these jobs represent a crucial pathway out of poverty. When indirect employment in supporting industries is included, the sector supports the livelihoods of over one million Sri Lankans.
The industry’s development was initially facilitated through quotas assigned by the Multi-Fiber Agreement (1974-1994), which allocated specific export volumes to developing countries. When this agreement expired, Sri Lanka managed to maintain its position in global apparel supply chains by focusing on higher-value products, ethical manufacturing practices, and reliability. The country has positioned itself as a producer of quality garments, particularly lingerie, activewear, and swimwear for major global brands.
However, this success has created a structural dependency on continued access to markets in wealthy countries, particularly the United States. As the Secretary General of the Joint Apparel Association Forum, the main representative body for Sri Lanka’s
apparel and textile exporters, bluntly stated following the tariff announcement, “We have no alternate market that we can possibly target instead of the US.”
This dependency is reinforced by the industry’s integration into global supply chains dominated by U.S. brands and retailers. Many Sri Lankan factories operate on thin margins as contract manufacturers for these international companies, with limited ability to quickly pivot to new markets or product categories. The industry has also made significant investments in compliance with U.S. buyer requirements and sustainability certifications, creating path dependencies that make rapid adaptation to new market conditions extremely challenging.
The textile and apparel sector’s significance extends beyond its direct economic contributions. It has been a crucial source of foreign exchange earnings for a country that has consistently run trade deficits and struggled with external debt sustainability. In the ten years leading up to Sri Lanka’s default on external debt (2012-2021), debt repayments amounted to an average of 41% of export earnings, highlighting how vital steady export revenues are to the country’s ability to service its international obligations.
The sector has also played an important role in Sri Lanka’s social development, providing formal employment opportunities for women and contributing to poverty reduction in rural areas. Many of the industry’s workers are the primary breadwinners for their families, and their wages support extended family networks in economically disadvantaged regions of the country.
Given this context, the imposition of a 44% tariff on Sri Lankan goods, with the textile and apparel sector likely to bear the brunt of the impact, represents not merely an economic challenge but a potential social crisis for hundreds of thousands of vulnerable workers and their dependents.
SPECIFIC IMPACT OF TRUMP TARIFFS ON SRI LANKA
The imposition of a 44% tariff on Sri Lankan exports to the United States represents a seismic shock to an economy still recovering from its worst crisis in decades. This section examines the immediate economic consequences, the implications for Sri Lanka’s debt sustainability, and the broader social and political ramifications of this dramatic policy shift.
Immediate Economic Consequences
The most immediate impact of President Trump’s tariffs will be a severe erosion of Sri Lankan goods’ competitiveness in the U.S. market. A 44% price increase effectively prices many Sri Lankan products out of reach for American consumers and businesses, particularly in price-sensitive categories like apparel, where margins are already thin and competition from other producing countries is intense.
Economic analysts project significant declines in export volumes as a result. The PublicFinance.lk think tank estimates that the new tariff rates will lead to a 20% fall in exports to America and an annual loss of approximately $300 million in foreign exchange earnings. Given that Sri Lanka’s total merchandise exports in 2024 were around $13 billion, this represents a substantial blow to the country’s trade balance and economic growth prospects.
The textile and apparel sector will bear the brunt of this impact. Industry representatives have warned that numerous factories may be forced to reduce production or close entirely if they cannot quickly find alternative markets for their products. The Joint Apparel Association Forum has indicated that smaller manufacturers with less diversified customer bases and limited financial reserves will be particularly vulnerable to closure.
These production cutbacks and potential closures would translate directly into job losses. Conservative estimates suggest that tens of thousands of workers in the textile sector could lose their livelihoods if the tariffs remain in place for an extended period. Given that many of these workers are women from rural areas with limited alternative employment opportunities, the social impact of these job losses would be particularly severe.
Beyond the direct effects on textile exports, the tariffs will have ripple effects throughout Sri Lanka’s economy. Supporting industries such as packaging, logistics, and input suppliers will face reduced demand. The loss of foreign exchange earnings will put pressure on the Sri Lankan rupee, potentially leading to currency depreciation that would increase the cost of essential imports including fuel, food, and medicine.
The timing of these tariffs is especially problematic given Sri Lanka’s fragile economic recovery. After experiencing a GDP contraction of 7.8% in 2022 during the height of the economic crisis, the country had only recently returned to modest growth. The IMF had projected GDP growth of 3.1% for 2025, but this forecast now appears overly optimistic in light of the tariff shock. Some economists are already revising their growth projections downward, with some suggesting growth could fall below 2% if the full impact of the tariffs materializes. We must hope they will be proven wrong.
Impact on Sri Lanka’s Debt Sustainability
Perhaps the most concerning aspect of Trump’s tariffs is their potential to undermine Sri Lanka’s hard-won progress on debt sustainability. After defaulting on its external debt in April 2022, the country has undergone a painful restructuring process that concluded only in December 2024. This restructuring was predicated on assumptions about Sri Lanka’s future ability to generate foreign exchange to service its remaining debt obligations.
The IMF’s debt sustainability analysis, which formed the basis for the restructuring agreement, focused almost exclusively on debt as a share of GDP while making insufficient distinction between domestic and foreign debt. This approach has been criticized for ignoring the structural trade deficit and the critical importance of foreign currency earnings to Sri Lanka’s ability to meet its external obligations.
The $300 million annual reduction in export earnings projected as a result of the tariffs directly threatens these calculations. Sri Lanka’s external debt stood at approximately $55 billion in 2023 (about 65% of its GDP), and even after restructuring, debt service payments will consume a significant portion of the country’s foreign exchange earnings in coming years.
In the decade preceding Sri Lanka’s default (2012-2021), debt repayments consumed an average of 41% of export earnings, an unsustainably high ratio that contributed directly to the eventual crisis. The loss of export revenues due to President Trump’s tariffs risks pushing this ratio back toward dangerous levels, potentially setting the stage for renewed debt distress despite the recent restructuring.
This situation highlights a fundamental flaw in the approach taken by international financial institutions to debt sustainability in developing countries. Unlike the treatment afforded to West Germany through the London Debt Agreement of 1953, where future debt repayments were explicitly linked to the country’s trade surplus and capped at 3% of export earnings—Sri Lanka and similar countries are expected to meet rigid repayment schedules regardless of their trade performance or external shocks beyond their control.
The tariffs thus expose the precariousness of Sri Lanka’s economic recovery and the fragility of the international debt architecture that underpins it. Without significant adjustments to account for this external shock, the country could find itself sliding back toward debt distress despite all the sacrifices made by its people during the recent adjustment period.
Social and Political Implications
The economic consequences of Trump’s tariffs will inevitably translate into social and political challenges for Sri Lanka. The country has already experienced significant social strain due to the austerity measures implemented under the IMF program, including tax increases, subsidy reductions, and public sector wage restraint. The additional economic pain caused by export losses and job cuts risks exacerbating social tensions and potentially triggering renewed protests.
The textile industry’s workforce is predominantly female, with many workers supporting extended family networks. Job losses in this sector would therefore have disproportionate impacts on women’s economic empowerment and household welfare, potentially reversing progress on gender equality and poverty reduction. Many of these workers come from rural areas where alternative formal employment opportunities are scarce, raising the spectre of increased rural poverty and potential migration pressures.
Politically, the tariff shock presents a significant challenge for President Anura Kumara Dissanayake’s government, which came to power promising economic revival and relief from the hardships of the crisis period. The administration has appointed an advisory committee consisting of government officials and private sector representatives to study the impact of the tariffs and develop response strategies, but its options are constrained by limited fiscal space and the conditions of the IMF programme.
The situation also raises questions about Sri Lanka’s foreign policy orientation. The country has traditionally maintained balanced relationships with major powers, including the United States, China, and India. However, the unilateral imposition of punitive tariffs by the United States may prompt some policymakers to reconsider this balance and potentially look more favourably on economic engagement with China, which has been a major infrastructure investor in Sri Lanka through its Belt and Road Initiative.
Such a reorientation would have significant geopolitical implications in the Indian Ocean region, where great power competition has intensified in recent years. It could potentially accelerate the fragmentation of the global economy into competing blocs, a trend that President Trump’s broader tariff policy seems designed to encourage despite its economic costs.
The social and political fallout from the tariffs thus extends far beyond immediate economic indicators, potentially reshaping Sri Lanka’s development trajectory and its place in the regional and global order. For a country still recovering from political instability triggered by economic crisis, these additional pressures come at a particularly vulnerable moment.
BROADER IMPLICATIONS FOR DEVELOPING ECONOMIES
Sri Lanka’s experience with Trump’s tariffs is not unique. The sweeping nature of these trade measures has created similar challenges for developing economies across the Global South, revealing structural vulnerabilities in the international economic system and raising fundamental questions about the sustainability of export-led development models in an era of rising protectionism.
Comparative Analysis with Other Affected Developing Countries
While Sri Lanka faces a punishing 44% tariff rate, it is not alone in confronting severe trade barriers. Bangladesh, another South Asian country heavily dependent on textile exports, has been hit with a 37% tariff. Like Sri Lanka, Bangladesh has built its development strategy around its garment industry, which accounts for more than 80% of its export earnings and employs approximately 4 million workers, mostly women.
Other significantly affected developing economies include Vietnam (46% tariff), Cambodia (49%), Pakistan (29%), and several African nations that had previously benefited from preferential access to the U.S. market through programs like the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA). Many of these countries share common characteristics, relatively low per capita incomes, heavy reliance on a narrow range of export products, and limited domestic markets that make export-oriented growth their primary development pathway.
The pattern of tariff rates reveals a troubling dynamic, some of the highest tariffs have been imposed on countries that can least afford the economic shock. While wealthy nations like Japan or Germany certainly face challenges from these trade
barriers, they possess diversified economies, substantial domestic markets, and financial resources to cushion the impact. By contrast, countries like Sri Lanka or Bangladesh have far fewer economic buffers and face potentially devastating consequences from similar or higher tariff rates.
This disparity highlights how President Trump’s “reciprocal tariff” formula, ostensibly designed to create a level playing field, actually reinforces existing power imbalances in the global economy. By treating trade deficits as the primary metric for determining tariff rates, the policy ignores the vast differences in economic development, productive capacity, and financial resilience between countries at different stages of development.
Structural Vulnerabilities of Export-Dependent Economies
The tariff shock has exposed fundamental vulnerabilities in the export-led development model that has dominated economic thinking about the Global South for decades. Since the 1980s, international financial institutions have consistently advised developing countries to orient their economies toward export markets, specialize according to comparative advantage, and integrate into global value chains as a path to economic growth and poverty reduction.
This model has delivered significant benefits in many cases. Countries like Vietnam, Bangladesh, and, to some extent, Sri Lanka have achieved impressive poverty reduction and economic growth by expanding their manufacturing exports. However, President Trump’s tariffs reveal the precariousness of development strategies built on continued access to wealthy consumer markets, particularly the United States.
Several structural vulnerabilities have become apparent,
1. First, export concentration creates acute dependency on a small number of markets and products. When Sri Lanka sends 23% of its exports to the United States and concentrates 40% of its total exports in textiles and apparel, it becomes extraordinarily vulnerable to policy changes affecting that specific market-product combination.
Diversification, both of export markets and products, has often been acknowledged as desirable in theory but has proven difficult to implement in practice due to established trade patterns, buyer relationships, and specialized production capabilities.
2. Second, participation in global value chains often traps developing countries in lower-value segments of production with limited opportunities for upgrading. Sri Lanka’s textile industry, while more advanced than some of its regional competitors, still primarily engages in contract manufacturing rather than controlling higher-value activities like design, branding, or retail. This position in the value chain yields lower returns and creates dependency on decisions made by lead firms in wealthy countries.
3. Third, the mobility of capital relative to labour creates a fundamental power imbalance. If tariffs make production in Sri Lanka uneconomical, global brands can relatively quickly shift their sourcing to other countries with lower tariffs or costs. However, Sri Lankan workers cannot similarly relocate, leaving them bearing the brunt of adjustment costs through unemployment and wage depression.
4. Fourth, developing countries typically lack the fiscal space to provide adequate social protection during economic shocks. Unlike wealthy nations that can deploy extensive safety nets during trade disruptions, countries like Sri Lanka, already implementing austerity measures under IMF programmes, have limited capacity to support displaced workers or affected industries. This exacerbates the social costs of trade shocks and can trigger political instability. (To be continued)
(The writer served as the Minister of Justice, Finance and Foreign Affairs of Sri Lanka)
Disclaimer:
This article contains projections and scenario-based analysis based on current economic trends, policy statements, and historical behaviour patterns. While every effort has been made to ensure factual accuracy, using publicly available data and established economic models, certain details, particularly regarding future policy decisions and their impacts, remain hypothetical. These projections are intended to inform discussion and analysis, not to predict outcomes with certainty.
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