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Dogs bark, but caravan moves on

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The Prorogation Message

Events fast changing keep boggling our minds making it difficult to establish their continuity. Each new scene is staged by the same players wearing different masks, and our vision gets encumbered with illusions confusing us again and again. Caravan moves on unimpeded, while we attempt to keep pace and contemporaneous with our present.

Collective responsibility: In the ongoing controversy around the Yugadanavi fiasco, the behaviour of some members of the Cabinet has given rise to a political quagmire, which the entire country is keenly watching. In the parliamentary system of government, with the Cabinet bound by collective responsibility, there are components they have to abide by. It is well recognised that the Ministers should have the opportunity to have free and frank discussions prior to the decision- making. The Cabinet practice is that such discussions, however, are confidential, and the details will be confined to the members of the Cabinet only. The other important principle is that once agreed, all Ministers are expected to abide by such decisions. They are left with no options other than to be with the government towing the line OR else resign from their portfolios. We are confronted with a slightly varied circumstance, in that those who counter the decision, claim that the first principle has not been followed or they are denied of that opportunity.

Authorities have maintained that Prime Ministers can apply the principle of collective responsibility more flexibly such as “overlooking media coverage which suggests there are ministerial disagreements or leaks of information.” But such discrepancies depend on the Prime Minister’s own strength and the constitutional power devolving on the PM. According to Article 45(1) it is the President who has the power to appoint from time to time, in consultation with the Prime Minister, where he considers such consultation to be necessary, Members of the Cabinet of Ministers.

According to 47(a), any member of the Cabinet of Ministers continues to function unless he “is removed by a writ under the hand of the President”.

Another matter relevant to this issue is the coalition nature of the Government. We are not aware of the mandatory conditions applicable to the parties in the coalition, sharing the ‘pohottuwa’ symbol for the election. For example, if there is an agreement for the Ministers to “argue freely in private’ but must maintain a united front when decisions have been reached at the Cabinet” , the parties to the dispute are now taking the position that no such decision has been taken.

Anyway, according to the constitution, the President can make the final decision under the powers to hire and fire.

In the British system of Parliament, historically, collective responsibility has also been relaxed during periods of coalition government. During the 2010-2015 Conservative-Liberal Democratic coalition, collective responsibility was set aside for certain party political issues, including the 2011 referendum on electoral reform. Perhaps the different political parties involved in the brawl surrounding the Yugadanavi MOU will have to be given a leeway to maintain their credibility with the voters on the declarations they publicly made during election time!

Finally, the Judiciary has to give a ruling on the issue. Parliament makes laws but the judiciary has to interpret and dispense justice even-handedly in the courts, and that the general public feel confident in the integrity and impartiality of the judiciary.

A Fistfull of Dollars:

The 1964 movie, Fistfull of Dollars, starring Clint Eastwood in the lead- role, was a box office hit. Today there is a Box Office break for another show awaiting the grand finale, starring Ajith Nivard C, the “Dollar Reserve Crisis’ ‘! It was Clint Eastwood’s maiden show, but Nivard C being a veteran actor having played the lead role during more serious highly critical periods, is eagerly watched by many during this performance, conjectured to be harder than ever before. But his confident disposition towards the outcome is dispelling all kinds of negativity and scepticism expressed by interested parties, as well as those ignorant of feasible alternatives in the case of a crisis.

Management of a crisis is both a Technique as well as an Art. For some it is a single-track approach in keeping with their blinkers (blinders worn by horses) on. But the time has come for all to look for ways and means beyond the traditional help refuge one is used to. The Panadol treatment may not be the best at certain times, and it is best to administer something slow but stronger as a lasting relief. People who are used to rapid pain killers do recommend and sometimes blame and accuse them for not taking such treatment. But those who are inclined to offer a cure and a sustained relief would look at other options, however hard and bitter they sound. Let us hope and look at Ajith Nivard C’s approach in this perspective.

Clint Eastwood had to use his master gun skill to control bandit Rojo and save his aggression, and now the policy makers have to face the attacks from Fitch Ratings, and Opposition politicos’ hell bound to propagate their ostensible National Interests. We can only watch and cheer, ‘come on- bat on’!

Prorogation of parliament:

In essence a prorogation of the parliament means the continuation of the parliament from one session to another. It is not a termination, although in its process some of the ongoing activities will be halted. It is effected under constitutional powers given to the President. Political history records many controversial prorogations, which were resorted to by those in power to avoid different kinds of issues in dispute. The most controversial one was the prorogation of Canada parliament in 2008 by prime Minister Stephen Harper, in view of a pending no-confidence motion against his minority government by the opposing parties. The prorogation provided an opportunity for the Harper govt to reach an agreement with the opposition, thereby helping Harper to continue in power.

Although there is no visible threat of such a nature for the Rajapaksa government, there are many things in the brewing that could manifest into major disputes. Thus, the prorogation provides breathing space for settlement of the dust and starting afresh. Any way the country needs a refreshed approach, and a new session with new thinking and approach. The product life of some of the items have long since come to a stagflation calling for course corrections. Hopefully the opportunity could be utilized to set the Gyro compass to distinguish between the true North and the magnetic north; because we witnessed the magnetic North directional sailing has attracted many iron filings of no use.

Let us hope that this prorogation is heading towards a meaningful transition.

COPE, COPA and COPF

: It is strongly commented that the prorogation of the parliament is a sinister move to change the Chairpersons of these committees. There is no doubt that these persons have played a praiseworthy role in these bodies. Well, according to their knowledge, understanding and experience it may be so. But these committees are mere name’s sake bodies, which have been talking about the subject areas coming under their purview, but without any useful service either to the Institutions they examine or to the Public at large. Why I state this is due to an obvious factor that nobody has been penalized or taken to task for the irresponsibility, highlighted and exposed at these so-called investigations or inquiries. We do not understand why they are termed investigations, because what they in effect do is to examine the Audit reports and confine their role of inquiring into the remarks and shortcomings pointed out in the reports.

Beyond the highly dramatic media shows they were recently converted into during the process of inquiry, no meaningful steps have been taken to either rectify or instigate charges against some of the awe-inspiring detections and revelations. In actual fact the COPE, COPA and COPF sessions are held much later, after the audit reports are released. Sometimes during the next year. In most cases the shortcomings discussed at these committees remain totally neglected by the respective organizations and institutions without any action being taken.

The so-called inquiry is confined to what is pinpointed in the Audit reports. The legislators little realize that the Audit function is a very limited examination, which does not probe in detail into the affairs of a SOE. The auditors go by the accounts presented to them and they are least concerned about the facts that remain unexposed in the accounts presented by those SOEs. The Auditors never go into the areas of broad public interest, such as the objective of the SOE, whether they have fulfilled those broad objectives, and to what extent they have deviated from the main purpose of establishment of such Public institutions. Sometimes they confine their comments to the profitability factor only, and thereby forgetting or disregarding how they have cooked up the figures to bloat profits through various unethical and unorthodox operations. Profits can be shown by various dubious means. In accounting they cook up figures, resort to window dressings, and bypass regulatory requirements stipulated in respect of the industries to show profits. In the annual accounts they hide several pitfalls and wrongful operations in order to show profits. None of the Committees are showing any interest in those, other than confining themselves to some adverse remarks if made by the Auditors. This is a pathetic situation.

Many SOEs are today purely and completely operating as white elephants, hiding many serious lapses in the eyes of the Committee Chairpersons, as well as members who are MPs with no better knowledge. If they want and are ready to debate any of these points we could devote some time with them for the sake of the future wellbeing of the country. I am certain they will find themselves ashamed of what they have been doing all this time, when we expose the reality behind many of those instances. The accumulating losses are a burden on the people, and the bogus profits too are equally bad and disastrous to the country’s economy.

State Banks, CPC, CEB, SriLankan Airlines, Water Board, Port Commission, CWE are simply white elephants turned precious profit centres, which can turn around the entire economic landscape of the country for the benefit of all ordinary citizens, who happen to be the highest tax payers in this country. Therefore, let us not talk about Utopian high expectations as an outcome of these parliamentary committees. We can see how best they have failed to deliver anything useful to the society, if we re-examine the reports they have gone through all these years, some with massive media propaganda.

Just to quote one example out of several, I invite the attention of the parliamentarians, especially the Opposition that is complaining about various sinister moves associated with the postponement of these committees, to look into the last completed COPE report on the People’s Bank. The revelations made were alarming and the strictures too were shocking. Nothing happened so far.

Therefore, we are fed up with ridiculous criticisms. People of this country want action and not empty critics.

TENNEKONE RUSIRIPALA



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Opinion

Ayurvedic Drugs – Unproven?

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A representational image only

by Geewananda Gunawardana, Ph.D.

In his excellent article on “Poor-quality and counterfeit medicines and unnecessary drugs” (The Island 06 January, 2025), Professor Saman Gunatilake wrote, “However, in our country what are assumed to be herbal products and Ayurveda products do not need to go through these stringent checks. As a result, they are in the market and advertised in newspapers and electronic media, these products, misleading the public. It is also of concern that even universities of ours are marketing drugs of no proven clinical value using this loophole in the regulatory process.” There is no doubt that this may touch a raw nerve in some circles. No matter what is said, Ayurvedic practice is part of Sri Lankan culture and estimated 60 to 70 percent of the population, mostly rural, depend on it for their primary healthcare needs. We deserve to know the truth.

Professor Gunatilake brought up an excellent point: not only in Sri Lanka, but in many other Western countries, herbal products do not go through the stringent approval process required for pharmaceuticals. However, the difference is that in those countries it is illegal to make any health claims unless they are proven clinically per the requirements of the regulatory agencies. Even then, there is a loophole that the purveyors of such products use liberally: they use verbal gymnastics. They state, usually in smaller print, that the products have been used in traditional medical practices for thousands of years, but they have not been approved by the regulatory agency. With that disclaimer, they market the products, not as drugs, but as dietary supplements or nutraceuticals at a fraction of the cost of approved drugs.

The obvious first question is if they are in that high demand, why do they not get regulatory agency approval? They have been trying for several decades; and every time, they have failed. They do not meet the requirements for regulatory agencies’ approval. Period. But wait, do not rush to throw away that herbal concoction and blame the good old village Ayurvedic practitioner that had been a cornerstone of our culture. Do not give up if you are aspiring to be one either. There is more to it, and the truth is a lot more complicated than it appears. There is a clash of paradigms. This writer has spent his entire career on both sides of this divide and has many stories to share.

The use of herbal preparations, as medicines, goes back thousands of years. The Ebers Papyrus, dating back to 1550 BCE, records the use of hundreds of herbal preparations for numerous ailments in ancient Egypt. Ayurveda can be older than that even though no written documents exist as proof. Greek physicians, such as Hippocrates (460 – 375 BCE) and Galen (129- 216 CE), have left written records of herbal recipes. This practice has continued in many cultures to date by way of handing down the information through generation.

Dawn of scientific revolution

With the dawn of scientific revolution, and the reductionist approach that ensued, scientists attempted to simplify these complex formulae used in traditional practices. As a result, the chemical compounds responsible for the therapeutic activity of the opium Poppy, that has been used as an analgesic and sedative by many traditions, were identified in 1804. These compounds morphine, codeine, and thebaine, belonging to a class of chemicals, known as alkaloids, are still in use for the same purposes, but addiction to them has become a problem. Around the same time, other alkaloids, like atropine from belladonna, caffeine from coffee beans, and quinine from cinchona bark, were also discovered. In 1888, a Chicago physician Dr. Wallace C. Abbott began producing standardised dosage forms, i.e., pills, containing these compounds for the convenience of prescribing physician. His home-based operation, then known as Abbott Alkaloids, grew into the pharmaceutical conglomerate Abbott Laboratories, and that was where this writer cut his drug discovery teeth in an industrial setting.

In the nineteenth century, these practices were formalised in the form of pharmacopoeia in many countries, but a requirement to prove their safety, or efficacy, did not exist until the early twentieth century. It was in 1962 that the US Congress passed laws requiring drug manufacturers to prove safety and provide substantial evidence of effectiveness for the product’s intended use, before marketing authorisation was granted. That evidence had to consist of adequate and well-controlled studies, a revolutionary requirement in history. Most European countries followed suit soon thereafter.

Quinine in short supply

When quinine was in short supply to treat malaria among the Europeans invading the tropics, 18-year-old William Henry Perkin attempted to synthesize it. In 1856, with the rudimentary state of chemical knowledge, it had no chance of succeeding, but in the process, he accidentally discovered mauve, or aniline purple—the first commercialised synthetic dyestuff. The dye industry, as well as Perkin, became phenomenally successful. What does dyestuff have to do with drugs, you may wonder. Quite a lot, in fact.

While these dyes were used in the garment industry, those engaged in the study of tissues, i.e., histology, found them useful in staining the tissues for examination under the newly developed microscope. This drew the attention of Dr. Paul Ehrlich (1854-1915) a German physician and pharmacologist. If different chemicals, i.e., dyes, tend to attach to specific tissue types selectively, he argued, chemical compounds can be developed to treat diseases without causing adverse effects. Inspired by this idea, he developed Salvarsan, the first drug to treat syphilis. He became known as the father of Chemotherapy, and his theory was popularly known as the ‘Magic Bullet Theory.’ In 1908, he received the Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine.

Magic bullet theory

The magic bullet theory or the concept of targeted drugs played a key role in shaping the drug discovery paradigm as well as the regulatory environment. The ‘science’ behind this reasoning can be described as follows: there are thousands of biochemical reactions constantly running in the body to keep it alive and functioning. They are all connected to each other, and there are feedback mechanisms to keep each reaction under control so that their products are kept at the right amount. This equilibrium state required for a healthy body is referred to as homeostasis.

The magic bullet theory posits that if a reaction becomes dysregulated for some reason, the homeostasis is lost, and it manifests itself as disease. To cure the disease, the reaction must be restored to its original state by using a drug. These reactions are controlled by a class of proteins referred to as enzymes. Modulation of the dysfunctional enzyme with a specific drug, without disturbing any other, is the aim of this approach. As demonstrated by the cure of syphilis, the argument is straight forward for infectious diseases. The infecting bacterium is not part of the body, and it is easy to discover or design a drug that kills the pathogen but does not harm the body.

(To be concluded)

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Opinion

Flight diversions from BIA to Mattala and Trivandrum

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A Typical Temperature Inversion and behaviour of smoke

A few mornings ago, three SriLankan Airlines aircraft diverted to Mattala Rajapaksa International Airport (MRIA), and a Turkish Airlines aircraft to Trivandrum, India, due to bad visibility on approach to their original destination, Bandaranaike International Airport (BIA), Katunayake.

The public may want to know why. BIA is not equipped with an Instrument Landing System (ILS) to aid landings in instances of low visibility. Even with ILS available, the aircraft itself must be properly equipped, and crewmembers properly qualified and current on ILS procedures and practice. While the latter two requirements were satisfied, the first one was not.

As an airport in the tropics, it usually isn’t necessary for ILS capability even in intense rain. However, below the final approach path to BIA’s Runway 22 (i.e. from the land side), there is a manufacturing plant at Badalgama which uses coconut shells to produce charcoal. On cool, cloudless nights, such as at this time of the year, cool ground temperatures create a phenomenon known as Radiation fog and ‘temperature inversion’. That is, instead of air temperature reducing with altitude (as the air rises), the air temperature becomes warmer higher up, thus trapping the smoke at lower levels. Consequently, in combination with prevailing winds, the factory’s smoke creates ‘smog’ (smoke and fog) that does not dissipate to the higher atmosphere, resulting in visibility conditions that are below legal limits for landing jet aircraft.

This happens once or twice a year, necessitating a diversion of incoming aircraft to an ‘alternate’ (i.e. alternative) airport. Interestingly, the chairman of SriLankan Airlines was a board member of the company which profits from exporting a product called ‘activated carbon’. Descending into the smog layer, the airplane’s air conditioning compressors ingest out-side air which smells like what we ‘old timers’ experienced when walking past a laundry using coconut shell-fired cloths irons in the good old days.

Airline diversions cost airlines money. Can we make the factory accountable by eliminating the air pollution they create, or get them to move their plant somewhere else?

– GUWAN SEEYA

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Opinion

Sri Lanka’s new govt., Indo-Pacific debt trap, and struggle for the 21st Century – Part 2

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By Shiran Illanperuma

(First part of this article appeared in

The Island yesterday (13 Jan.)

Sri Lanka in the International Sovereign Bond Debt-Trap

Sri Lanka was the original poster child for the myth of the Chinese debt-trap, which has now been thoroughly debunked by both local and foreign experts. The truth is that the cause for Sri Lanka’s indebtedness can be traced back to the colonial structure of its plantation economy, which has only been augmented through additional dependencies on tourism, remittances, and low-value added manufacturing. Despite attempts by nationalist and left-leaning governments, Sri Lanka has failed to achieve food and energy self-sufficiency, or to set in motion a self-expanding process of industrialisation.

The end of Sri Lanka’s Civil war in 2009 coincided with the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and the Great Recession. Sri Lanka was relatively insulated from economic downturn as the end of the war brought about a honeymoon period as tourism and property speculation boomed. The Obama administration’s bailing out of the banks through Quantitative Easing unleashed a wave of speculative investments to the Global South, including countries like Sri Lanka. Meanwhile, China’s going out in the wake of the GFC allowed the Sri Lankan government to engage in further fiscal expansion through an ambitious program of infrastructure development, focusing on roads, ports, energy, and not just a few white elephants. However, these shortcomings in the mobilisation of Chinese development finance are more attributable to Colombo’s lack of vision and coherent industrial policy, than any malice on the part of China. As Chinese envoys have often emphasised, all projects were undertaken at the request of the Sri Lankan government, and shortcomings have usually been due to the lack of domestic capacity to manage projects efficiently.

As a lower-middle income country, Sri Lanka found itself increasingly locked out of concessionary finance from multilateral organisations, and so began turning towards private lenders. The country launched its first International Sovereign Bond (ISB) in 2007. However, it is the rightward shift in policy following the change of government in 2015 that completely transformed Sri Lanka’s debt profile, as the government binged on over USD 10 billion worth of ISBs. Therefore, on the eve of Sri Lanka’s default in 2022, only 13.67% of external debt was owed to China. By contrast, 42.43% of external debt was to private bondholders, like Blackrock and Ashmore. To make matters worse, this private debt was of much higher interest rates than bilateral debt from China, accounting for over 70% of interest payments in 2021.

When the COVID-19 pandemic hit, the vulnerabilities of Sri Lanka’s economic structure became painfully apparent. The lack of foreign exchange inflows due to the collapse of tourism and remittances, combined with inflation caused by global supply chain crunches and commodity price booms, brought the economy to its knees. Following the ouster of President Gotabaya Rajapaksa in 2022, the governor of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka announced a ‘pre-emptive default’ on external debt. In the months that followed, the interim President Ranil Wickremesinghe used the chaos to enforce a dizzying array of shock therapy style reforms, unthinkable under conditions of normality. These included:

* Austerity. Withdrawals of fuel subsidies and cost reflective pricing of energy. This contributed to plunging thousands into poverty and off the electricity grid.

* Domestic debt restructuring. A restructuring of domestic debt that singled out the pension funds of the working class while allowing domestic capitalists, bankers, and bondholders to walk away scot-free.

* Central Bank independence. Legislating Central Bank independence, which would prevent the Central Bank of Sri Lanka from purchasing government debt. Concretely, this means that the government is significantly restrained from countercyclical spending in the event of an external shock. Additionally, it could weaken the government’s ability to control interest rates. The act severs monetary sovereignty as it forces the country to rely exclusively on private lenders for financing.

* External debt restructuring. An external debt restructuring agreement negotiated with the mediation of the IMF has been described by local critics as a sell-out. The agreement includes swapping existing bonds for newer bonds, some of them being novel financial instruments.

* Macro-linked bonds – These are bonds, whose interest rates will be linked to Sri Lanka’s economic performance. As GDP growth rates increase, so too do the interest payments. In effect, Sri Lanka must pay its creditors more for growing faster.

* Governance-linked bonds – These bonds tie the interest rate to the government’s implementation of anti-corruption legislation. There is a reasonable concern that this amounts to a kind of blackmail on a sovereign government to adjust its administrative structure according to the whims of international finance capital.

The Rise of the NPP

The NPP coalition includes 21 civil society organisations including trade unions. However, the prime mover within the party is undoubtedly the JVP. The JVP was established by Rohana Wijeweera in 1965, largely through the youth wing of the Ceylon Communist Party (Maoist), which in turn was the result of a 1964 split in the undivided Communist Party of Ceylon that mirrored the tragic Sino-Soviet split.

The JVP was targeted, and its ranks were decimated twice. First, following an attempted youth insurrection in 1971, and again during another insurrection from 1987-1989. The latter resulted in the assassination of Wijeweera along with the entirety of the party’s politburo, except for Somawansa Amarasinghe. Building the party from scratch, Amarasinghe went on to lead the party on the path of reform and was instrumental in taking JVP into electoral politics. During Amarasinghe’s leadership, the JVP dabbled in electoral coalitions, first supporting the SLFP’s Chandrika Bandaranaike Kumaratunga in 1994, then SLFP’s Mahinda Rajapaksa in 2005, and finally joining the UNP in supporting former Army Commander Sarath Fonseka’s bid for Presidency in 2010.

It was in 2014 that the next big shift came, as AKD was made the new leader of the JVP. He has attempted to chart a more independent and centrist path for the party, rejecting coalitions with established political parties and personalities. Following the JVP’s 7th National Congress, the party released a document which proposed a national policy framework for a ‘modernised and industrialised Sri Lanka’. In 2019, the National People’s Power was launched, with the JVP at its core. The broader coalition of NPP helped open JVP’s doors to the middle-class that traditionally was wary of the Party’s radical history. This included professionals, academics, artists, public intellectuals, and even traders and business owners.

The NPP’s success lies in this ability to overcome the JVP’s previous sectarianism and incorporate a broader coalitions of class forces, while at the same time remaining independent of established political parties. For the most part, NPP’s recent electoral campaign avoided a frontal assault that identified the enemy as capitalism, imperialism, or even neoliberalism. Rather, the NPP chose to focus on the vaguer category of corruption, which struck a chord among large portions of the middle-class who felt that the immediate cause of their plight was bad governance. The NPP was able to locate elements of the petty bourgeois that did not have direct access to state power through the established patronage networks of the main parties. This combined with a generational shift in politics helped the JVP construct the NPP as its own ‘civil society’ front. The hunger of this young petty bourgeois to reproduce itself as a class constitutes the strength and weakness of the NPP.

On the election campaign trail, the NPP faced much scrutiny from both the rightist and leftist elements which honed on its lack of an articulate economic plan or strategy. While the NPP platform is explicit about its intention to retain and strengthen public ownership of energy, finance, healthcare and education, questions regarding policy specifics were often dodged with the promise that life would improve with the eradication of corruption. That said, the NPP’s main economic promise was to establish a ‘production-based economy’ that prioritises farmers, fishers and Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs). Furthermore, the NPP pledged to renegotiate the debt restructuring agreement with the IMF and bondholders in order to ease the tax burden on the people, to establish a development bank, and initiate an expansive science and technology policy to modernise the economy. Concretising these disparate promises into a viable developmental program continues to be the main challenged for the NPP.

One of the most remarkable features of the NPP’s political campaign was its mobilisation of women. This was conducted not in any paternalistic manner but by women party cadres themselves. Rural party meetings often featured women speaking to women, about the specific ways in which economic hardships affected women. This, combined with the party’s sympathies towards people’s economic plights and their sharp vitriol against the perceived corruption of establishment politicians, helped drive an emotive bottom-up campaign. Women in these meetings took the message home, influencing their children, who would go on to popularise the party’s platform on social media platforms, including Tik Tok. In Sri Lanka, where labour force participation for women (FLFPR) is extremely low, 29.6%, they are particularly sensitive to price swings in essential commodities. Meanwhile, the women who work do so predominantly in the public sector, or in export-oriented sectors such as plantations and export processing. This makes political conscious women extremely sensitive to economic shocks, and a powerful political resource once organised.

Struggle for the 21st Century

Sri Lanka’s dilemma is a striking example of the close link between neoliberal debt bondage and subordination to the interests of US-led militarism. In other words, the struggle for sovereignty and development requires a political, economic and even military strategy. In the past, various administrations in Sri Lanka have attempted compromise, thinking that concessions in one area would enable advances in others. The reality is that there is little possibility for negotiation with an increasingly irrational imperialism bent on maintaining US preponderance of power.

The fact is that the NPP governs under conditions favourable to the right. This is to say that the NPP inherits a state that is deeply in debt to Western finance capital, with a military that has been gradually encroached by the US through use of carrot and stick. Moreover, the networks of knowledge production and distribution in Sri Lanka remain downstream of monopoly capital. The JVP itself has only been able to climb into power by moderating rather than dialling up its past socialist and anti-imperialist rhetoric, meaning it does not necessarily have a popular mandate to carry out a revolutionary break from the status quo. Yet even the moderate mandate of the NPP, to improve social welfare and establish a production-based economy, cannot but bring them into confrontation with an imperialism which seeks to stymie the development of the productive forces.

To borrow from the US State Department’s own choice of words, Sri Lanka today stands at the ‘epicentre’ of the struggle for the 21st century. It is a struggle between peaceful development and militarised underdevelopment. Between productive investment for the benefit of the working majority, or debt bondage for the benefit of a ruling minority. While the country appears hemmed in on all sides, entangled in US imperialism both militarily and financially, it would be too simplistic and nihilistic to suggest that there are no alternatives. This struggle for sovereignty and development is today being waged across the darker nations, from the Bolivarian countries in Latin America, to the Sahel region in Africa, and by the Palestinians in West Asia. The struggle of the Sri Lankan people too, will play its role in defining the trajectory of this century.

(This essay was produced by Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research as part of its monthly series Tricontinental Interventions: Conjunctural Analysis from Asia.)

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