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Chaos and political drama rock Japan’s snap election

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Japanese elections are normally steady and boring affairs.

This snap election was neither.

The dramatic vote follows a political funding corruption scandal, revealed last year, which implicated senior lawmakers from the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and cabinet members, tarnishing the party’s image and angering the public.

The electorate made that anger felt in this election and sent a strong message to the LDP, punishing it at the ballot box.

According to best estimates, the LDP, which has been in power almost continuously since 1955, has lost its single party majority in the country’s powerful lower house.

LDP also lost its majority as a governing coalition. Its junior coalition partner Komeito lost several of its seats, including that of its chief, as well, meaning that even with its partner, the LDP is still unable to achieve the 233 seats it needs for a majority.

Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba made a political gamble, and it backfired.

He and the LDP underestimated the extent of people’s anger and more crucially their willingness to act on it.

But this was the perfect storm – a corruption scandal that saw dozens of the ruling party’s lawmakers investigated for pocketing millions of dollars in proceeds from political fundraising events, while Japanese households struggle with inflation, high prices, stagnant wages and a sluggish economy.

To stay in power, the LDP will now need to form a coalition with other parties it just fought in the election, and it will do so from a position of significant weakness. That means it must enter negotiations and make concessions to survive.

AFP Japan's incoming prime minister Shigeru Ishiba said on September 30 he aimed to call snap elections for October 27, as equities plunged on a strong yen and fears that tax hikes are on the cards
Shigeru Ishiba bows toward the Japanese flag at a press conference when newly elected party leader in September [BBC]

It is hard to overstate how rare this is. The LDP has always enjoyed a safe and steady place in Japanese politics.

The ruling party has a strong track record of governance – and when the opposition did take over in 1993 and 2009, for three years each time, it ended badly.

Since the LDP came back to power in 2012, it managed to win one election after another almost uncontested. There has long been a resignation about the status quo, and the opposition still remains unconvincing to the public.

“I think we (the Japanese) are very conservative,” Miyuki Fujisaki, a 66-year-old voter, told the BBC a few days before the election. “It’s very hard for us to challenge and make a change. And when the ruling party changed once (and the opposition took over), nothing actually changed in the end, that’s why we tend to stay conservative,” she added.

Ms Fujisaki said that she was unsure who to vote for this time, especially with the fundraising corruption scandal hanging over the LDP. But since she has always voted for the LDP, she was going to do the same this election too.

The results of this election tell a bigger story about the state of Japanese politics: A ruling party that has dominated for decades and an opposition that has failed to unite and become a viable alternative when the public needed one.

In this election, the LDP lost their majority. But no one really won.

Japan’s ruling party took a beating at the ballot box – but not a big enough beating that it has been booted out.

Jeffrey Hall, a lecturer at Kanda University of International Studies, told the BBC that despite voters wanting to hold their politicians accountable through elections “in the minds of the voters there really is no one else” they trust to be at the helm.

In this election, the opposition’s biggest party – the Constitutional Democratic Party (CDP) – made significant gains. But observers say these results are less about voters endorsing the opposition than about voters’ ire with the LDP.

“This election appears to be about voters who are fed up with a party and politicians they see as corrupt and dirty. But it’s not one where they want to bring about a new leader,” Mr Hall said.

What that leaves Japan with is a weakened ruling party and a splintered opposition.

Japan has long been seen as a beacon of political stability – a safe haven for investors and a reliable diplomatic partner in an increasingly unstable Asia Pacific.

This political chaos in Japan is concerning not just for its public, but also its neighbours and allies.

However the LDP enters power, it will do so weakened, with its hands tied in coalition concessions.

The task of turning the economy around, creating coherent policies for wages and welfare and maintaining overall political stability will not be easy.

Harder still will be regaining the trust and respect of a public weary of politics.

[BBC]



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Trump threatens 35% tariffs on Canadian goods

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The letter to Canada is among more than 20 that Trump had posted this week to US trade partners.[BBC]

US President Donald Trump has said he will slap a 35% tariff on Canadian goods starting 1 August, even as the two countries are days away from a self-imposed deadline to reach a new deal on trade.

The missive came as Trump also threatened blanket tariffs of 15% or 20% on most trade partners, and said he would soon notify the European Union of a new tariff rate on its goods.

Trump announced the latest levies on Canada on Thursday in a letter posted to social media and addressed to Prime Minister Mark Carney.

The US has already imposed a blanket 25% tariff on some Canadian goods, and the country is feeling the pain of the Trump administration’s global steel, aluminium and auto tariffs.

The letter is among more than 20 that Trump had posted this week to US trade partners, including Japan, South Korea and Sri Lanka.

Like Canada’s letter, Trump has vowed to implement those tariffs on trade partners by 1 August.

The US has imposed a 25% tariff on all Canadian imports, though there is a current exemption in place for goods that comply with a North American free trade agreement.

It is unclear if the latest tariffs threat would apply to goods covered by the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA).

Trump has also imposed a global 50% tariff on Aluminium and steel imports, and a 25% tariff on all cars and trucks not build in the US.

He also recently announced a 50% tariff on copper imports, scheduled to take effect next month.

Canada sells about three-quarters of its goods to the US, and is an auto manufacturing hub and a major supplier of metals, making the US tariffs especially damaging to those sectors. Trump’s letter said the 35% tariffs are separate to those sector-specific levies.

“As you are aware, there will be no tariff if Canada, or companies within your country, decide to build or manufacture products within the United States,” Trump stated.

He also tied the tariffs to what he called “Canada’s failure” to stop the flow of fentanyl into the US, as well as Canada’s existing levies on US dairy farmers and the trade deficit between the two countries.

“If Canada works with me to stop the flow of Fentanyl, we will, perhaps, consider an adjustment to this letter. These Tariffs may be modified, upward or downward, depending on our relationship with Your Country,” Trump said.

President Trump has accused Canada – alongside Mexico – of allowing “vast numbers of people to come in and fentanyl to come in” to the US.

According to data from the US Customs and Border Patrol, only about 0.2% of all seizures of fentanyl entering the US are made at the Canadian border, almost all the rest is confiscated at the US border with Mexico.

In response to Trump’s complaints, Canada announced more funding towards border security and had appointed a fentanyl czar earlier this year.

Canada has been engaged in intense talk with the US in recent months to reach a new trade and security deal.

At the G7 Summit in June, Prime Minister Carney and Trump said they were committed to reaching a new deal on within 30 days, setting a deadline of 21 July.

Trump threatened in the letter to increase levies on Canada if it retaliated. Canada has already imposed counter-tariffs on the US, and has vowed more if they failed to reach a deal by the deadline.

In late June, Carney removed a tax on big US technology firms after Trump labelled it a “blatant attack” and threatened to call off trade talks.

Carney said the tax was dropped as “part of a bigger negotiation” on trade between the two countries.

The Prime Minister’s office told the BBC they did not have immediate comment on Trump’s letter.

[BBC]

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Two arrested after school girls in India allegedly made to strip for period check

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Periods have long been a taboo in India where menstruating girls and women are considered impure [BBC]

A school principal and an attendant have been arrested in India after allegations that female students were stripped naked to check if they were menstruating after blood stains were found on a toilet wall.

The police action came after the mother of one of the “10 to 15 girls” who were put through the alleged humiliation lodged a complaint.

The incident took place on Tuesday in a village not far from Mumbai city. On Wednesday, parents protested at the school, demanding strict punishment against the authorities.

In a video, the school principal is seen arguing with angry parents – she denies that she ordered a strip-search or that it took place.

Senior police official Milind Shinde told the BBC on Thursday that they were investigating the allegations. The arrested women would be produced in court later in the day, he said.

The police complaint names four other teachers and two trustees of the all-girls school in Thane in the western state of Maharashtra. BBC has reached out to the school authorities for a response.

In their complaint, police have invoked sections of the law that deal with assault and intent to outrage modesty of women. They have also added sections from the stringent Pocso (Protection of Children from Sexual Offences) Act.

The parents have alleged that all the students from 5th to 10th classes – who would be between the ages of 10 and 16 – were summoned to a hall by the school principal on Tuesday. There, they were shown photos from the toilet on a projector, including that of a hand stain, and those who had their periods were asked to raise their hands. A teacher collected hand prints of all those who did.

At least 10 to 15 girls who said they weren’t menstruating were then taken to the toilet, forced to strip and went through an inspection.

The child whose mother lodged the police complaint has alleged that her daughter, who didn’t have her period, was scolded and asked why she wasn’t wearing a sanitary pad. Her hand print was also collected. She said her daughter “felt very ashamed” because of what had happened.

Some of the parents told the BBC that their daughters were traumatised.

“The incident raises serious questions about the safety of our children. Our girls are very afraid. The government should take strict action against the school,” one parent said.

The mother of one of the students told BBC Marathi that when confronted, the principal denied everything. “But the school didn’t have an answer when we asked them whether so many girls could be lying,” she said.

Periods have long been a taboo in India where menstruating girls and women are considered impure and excluded from social and religious events.

Incidents of shaming female students have been reported in the past too. In 2017, 70 students were stripped naked at a residential school in Uttar Pradesh by the female warden after she found blood on a bathroom door.

In 2020, 68 students living in a college hostel in Gujarat were strip searched after they stopped reporting their periods to authorities to avoid restrictions which barred them from entering the temple and the kitchen or touching other students.

At meal times, they had to sit away from others, and in the classroom, they were expected to sit on the last bench.

The regressive ideas are being increasingly challenged by urban educated women, but success has been patchy and women in many parts of the country continue to face discrimination.

[BBC]

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Days after Texas floods, at least 150 people are still missing in one county

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At least 150 people are still missing in a single Texas county five days after deadly and devastating flash floods hit parts of the state, state officials said, as hope fades for survivors to be found.

The missing in the hard-hit Kerr County include five campers and a counsellor from Camp Mystic, a Christian all-girls summer camp located on the banks of the Guadalupe River.

At least 119 people have died in the disaster, according to the latest county-by-county tolls. Authorities confirmed 95 were in the Kerrville area.

Texas is not alone. Neighbouring New Mexico saw a flash flood emergency on Tuesday as well, causing the deaths of at least three people. Up to 8.8cm (3.5in) of rain fell there, causing river waters to inundate the village of Rudioso, officials said. That flood has now receded.

In Texas, frantic search and rescue efforts continue, with Governor Greg Abbott vowing emergency crews “will not stop until every missing person is accounted for”. Abbott added that it was very likely more missing would be added to the list in the coming days, and urged people to report anyone they think was unaccounted for.

General Thomas Suelzer from the Texas National Guard said search efforts were using Chinook and Black Hawk helicopters with rescue hoists. He said there were 13 Black Hawk helicopters helping in the search effort, including four that arrived from Arkansas. Authorities have also been using reaper drones.

Responders from various agencies are working together on rescue efforts. They include agents from border patrol, the FBI and the National Guard.

More than 250 responders from various agencies have been assigned to the Kerrville area alone to help with search and rescue.

One of those rescue volunteers, named Tim, told the BBC he had never seen any destruction at this scale before.

“I’ve done the floods down in East Texas and Southeast Texas, and hurricanes, and this is a nightmare,” he said.

Another rescue volunteer, named Justin, compared the effort to “trying to find a single hay in a haystack”.

“There’s a wide trail of destruction for miles, and there’s not enough cadaver dogs to go through all of it,” he told the BBC. “It’s hard to access a lot of it with heavy machinery. Guys are trying to pick at it with tools and hands, and they’re not even putting a dent in it – not for lack of effort.”

Questions have been raised about whether authorities provided adequate flood warnings before the disaster, and why people were not evacuated earlier.

Experts say there were a number of factors that contributed to the tragedy in Texas, including the extreme weather, the location of the holiday homes and timing.

Abbott, who had spent part of the day surveying the flood zone, said authorities had issued a storm warning and knew about a possible flash flood, but “didn’t know the magnitude of the storm”.

No-one knew it would lead to a “30-foot high tsunami wall of water”, he said.

[BBC]

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