Business
Central Bank Governor hopeful of assistance from IMF amid lingering uncertainties
By Sanath Nanayakkare
There is still possibility for Sri Lanka to arrive at a staff level agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) by August 2022 to qualify for an extended fund facility, but the new government will need to demonstrate its ability to implement the required policies within an agreed upon time frame.” the Governor of the Central Bank Dr. Nandalal Weerasinghe told Hiru TV yesterday.
The following are some excerpts from the interview he had with Hiru TV.
“The Central Bank has taken the decisions and implemented what it can do independently, but to turn things around without a crash, political stability is critical. Now two governments have changed. What I see is still the economy hasn’t crashed and ripped apart. The accelerated slide towards the abyss was at some instances slowed having applied brakes for deceleration, but if there is no political stability it could slide further again.”
“I really can’t be satisfied that there is political stability. When I took on the responsibility as Governor of the Central Bank I thought stability would be achieved within 3-4 months. We need to get short term financing assistance from friendly countries and subsequently if we obtain an IMF facility and also restructure the foreign debt with our creditors, we will be able to handle the situation well.”
“Those from whom we are seeking help are watching whether the current government has stability and whether it can offer a guarantee that it can implement the required economic policies within a given time frame.”
When asked about an IMF programme, the Governor said, “I think there is still possibility to arrive at a staff level agreement with the IMF in August 2022. But it will be a rerality only if the new government has the ability to implement the required policies.”
When asked if the IMF would ask to privatize loss making SOEs and implement cost-reflective pricing for utilities such as water and electricity, he said,” Yes, those measures will have to be taken because when a loss is incurred it has to be absorbed somewhere.”
“We need USD 350-400 million to import oil on a monthly basis excluding for fuel needed to generate electricity. Our foreign reserves are at a very low level. If India or China helps us, we can resolve this issue without great difficulty. But now the situation is uncertain whether we will get such assistance. We have requested for assistance, but there is still no certainty that we will get it. Now let’s imagine that we get no support, then as we have used up our foreign reserves there will be oil supplies until the middle of next month for the payments made. How to get oil beyond that is an issue. We have paid for three diesel shipments and two petrol shipments. That is what we are receiving these days. That will be sufficient till the middle of next month with shortages in supplies.”
“If India or China agrees to give short term financing, say USD one billion, then we can meet with the oil requirement for three months until a more sustainable arrangement is made. If we get that short-term financing help, we might get oil or otherwise this fuel crisis will persist,”
“The beginning of an answer to this problem will be from the day we get an IMF fund facility. When that happens, there will be a lot better situation, I can say firmly. So, the uncertainty will remain in the period between now and the point of getting an IMF facility.”
“Let’s say that nobody gives us any financial support. Then we have our export earning s to rely on. We earn about 1 USD billion from it. Then we have our remittances which are about USD 300 million through the banking system. That means we have USD 1.3 billion in foreign exchange earnings. In the event no one helps, then we will have to manage our oil imports with that money. Although our export earnings amount to 1 USD billion, we see a problem there on the part of exporters. Data show that they don’t bring the total amount of their earnings into the country. In the first 5 months of the year we should have had USD 5 billion. But we see that only 20% of that money has been converted into Sri Lankan rupees. At least 40% of total export earnings should be added to the formal financial system of the country. So exporters have a responsibility at a very difficult time like this to bring in their foreign exchange through the banking system, and if that happens, then we can resolve the fuel crisis comfortably.”
Business
Sampath Bank’s strong results boost investor confidence
The latest earnings report for Sampath Bank PLC (SAMP), analysed by First Capital Research (FCR), firmly supports a positive outlook among investors. The research firm has stuck with its “MAINTAIN BUY” recommendation , setting optimistic targets: a Fair Value of LKR 165.00 for 2025 and LKR 175.00 for 2026. This signals strong belief that the bank is managing the economy’s recovery successfully.
The key reason for this optimism is the bank’s shift towards aggressive, yet smart, growth. Even as interest rates dropped across the market, which usually makes loan income (Net Interest Income) harder to earn, Sampath Bank saw its total loans jump by a huge 30.2% compared to last year. This means the bank lent out a lot more money, increasing its loan book to LKR 1.1 Trillion. This strong lending, which covers trade finance, leasing, and regular term loans, shows the bank is actively helping businesses and people spend and invest as the economy recovers.
In addition to loans, the bank has found a major new source of income from fees and commissions, which surged by 42.6% year-over-year. This money comes from services like card usage, trade activities, and digital banking transactions. This shift makes the bank less reliant on just interest rates, giving it a more stable and higher-profit way to earn money.
Importantly, this growth hasn’t weakened the bank’s foundations. Sampath Bank is managing its funding costs better, partly by improving its low-cost current and savings account (CASA) ratio to 34.5%. Moreover, the quality of its loans is getting better, with bad loans (Stage 3) dropping to 3.77% and the money set aside to cover potential losses rising to a careful 60.25%.
Even with the new, higher capital requirements for systemically important banks, the bank remains very strong, keeping its capital and cash buffers robust and well above the minimum standards.
In short, while the estimated profit for 2025 was adjusted slightly, the bank’s excellent performance and strong strategy overshadow this minor change. Sampath Bank is viewed as a sound stock with high growth potential , offering investors attractive total returns over the next two years.
By Sanath Nanayakkare
Business
ADB approves $200 million to improve water and food security in North Central Sri Lanka
The Asian Development Bank (ADB) has approved a $200 million loan to support the ongoing Mahaweli Development Program, Sri Lanka’s largest multiuse water resources development initiative.
The program aims to transfer excess water from the Mahaweli River to the drier northern and northwestern parts of Sri Lanka. The Mahaweli Water Security Investment Program Stage 2 Project will directly benefit more than 35,600 farming households in the North Central Province by strengthening agriculture sector resilience and enhancing food security.
ADB leads the joint cofinancing effort for the project, which is expected to mobilize $60 million from the OPEC Fund for International Development and $42 million from the International Fund for Agricultural Development, in addition to the ADB financing.
“While Sri Lanka has reduced food insecurity, it remains a development challenge for the country,” said ADB Country Director for Sri Lanka Takafumi Kadono. “Higher agricultural productivity and crop diversification are necessary to achieve food security, and adequate water resources and disaster-resilient irrigation systems are key.”
The project will complete the government’s North Central Province Canal (NCPC) irrigation infrastructure, which is expected to irrigate about 14,912 hectares (ha) of paddy fields and provide reliable irrigated water for commercial agriculture development (CAD). It will help complete the construction of tunnels and open and covered canals. The project will also establish a supervisory control and data acquisition system to improve NCPC operations. Once completed, the NCPC will connect the Moragahakanda Reservoir to the reservoirs of Huruluwewa, Manankattiya, Eruwewa, and Mahakanadarawa.
Sri Lanka was hit by Cyclone Ditwah in late November, resulting in the country’s worst flood in two decades and the deadliest natural hazard since the 2004 tsunami. The disaster damaged over 160,000 ha of paddy fields along with nearly 96,000 ha of other crops and 13,500 ha of vegetables.
Business
ComBank to further empower women-led enterprises with NCGIL
The Commercial Bank of Ceylon has reaffirmed its long-standing commitment to advancing women’s empowerment and financial inclusion, by partnering with the National Credit Guarantee Institution Limited (NCGIL) as a Participating Shareholder Institution (PSI) in the newly introduced ‘Liya Shakthi’ credit guarantee scheme, designed to support women-led enterprises across Sri Lanka.
The operational launch of the scheme was marked by the handover of the first loan registration at Commercial Bank’s Head Office recently, symbolising a key step in broadening access to finance for women entrepreneurs.
Representing Commercial Bank at the event were Mithila Shyamini, Assistant General Manager – Personal Banking, Malika De Silva, Senior Manager – Development Credit Department, and Chathura Dilshan, Executive Officer of the Department. The National Credit Guarantee Institution was represented by Jude Fernando, Chief Executive Officer, and Eranjana Chandradasa, Manager-Guarantee Administration.
‘Liya Shakthi’ is a credit guarantee product introduced by the NCGIL to facilitate greater access to financing for women-led Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) that possess viable business models and sound repayment capacity but lack adequate collateral to secure traditional bank loans.
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