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‘A coupon system that enforces quotas and rationing will not solve the balance of payments problem’

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The media has reported that the government intends to implement a system of quotas for imports and the rationing of food and fuel. This is the latest in the long list of interventions over the last two years to address the growing balance of payments problems. Similar to previous measures this too only addresses the outward manifestation of a larger problem in the economy, but not its origin. Therefore, this policy measure too will ultimately prove futile.

The government took the right step a couple of months ago when they withdrew price controls on a few selected goods in the markets. Instead of further quotas and controls, what is needed now is to withdraw from further interventions in the financial and foreign exchange markets.

Sri Lanka has imposed an ever increasing web of controls on imports since April of 2020 but the trade deficit remains stubbornly high. In the period January-October 2021 imports rose by 26.5% and the overall trade balance grew by 34% to $-6,498m. This is despite a strong performance by exports, which rose 22.1%. The issue is not with exports but with imports caused by excess demand within the economy.

The government is running an extremely loose monetary policy, artificially holding down interest rates through interventions by the Central Bank. They are also running a large fiscal deficit, financed by Central bank credit or money printing. It is these two factors that are fueling domestic demand and as a result the spiral in imports. Curing the malady requires addressing its root, any other solution will at best only provide temporary relief.

Quotas and rationing – this is what a coupon system entails are cumbersome and costly to implement. They are also prone to corruption. Rationing will inevitably create black markets as coupons obtained by those best placed to acquire them are traded.

Existing import restrictions are hurting domestic trade, exports and consumers who face rising prices as a result of the shortages. People often characterise movement towards a larger trade deficit as “worsening,” this terminology is flawed and reflects a failure to appreciate that both imports and exports are beneficial for the smooth function of an economy.

Buying goods and services more cheaply than it costs to produce them at home, the nation benefits from imports. By selling goods and services in world markets, at higher prices for them than it could earn by selling only at home it benefits from exports.

What a country can produce is determined by the available resources. This also determines the standard of living of a country. Given the limitation of a fixed set of resources, if a country attempts to produce every single item that it needs it may not be very efficient in the way it utilises scarce resources. Shutting itself off from imports restricts the available inputs to local production.

There may be some things that can be produced efficiently while there may be others that do less well. It makes sense to allow a country to produce the things that it has a relative advantage at producing, and import what it does not. Thus imports are necessary for the growth of exports.

The proposed imposition of quotas will damage the economy even further and increase the suffering of citizens. The government needs to address the fundamental problem; tighten monetary and fiscal policy, free the currency and draw up a proper recovery plan that can prevent even further deterioration.

This will undoubtedly cause a shock – but will then allow trade and economic activity to resume. The alternative however is far worse; suppressing the symptoms of the disease will also stifle economic activity resulting in a slow, certain impoverishment with no hope of growth.

Advocata is an independent policy think tank based in Colombo, Sri Lanka. We conduct research, provide commentary and hold events to promote sound policy ideas compatible with a free society in Sri Lanka. Visit advocata.org for more information.

Advocata spokespersons are available for live and pre-recorded broadcast interviews via 077 4858401

CONTACT:

Yasodhara Kariyawasam

Communication Manager, Advocata Institute

Email: yasodhara@advocata.org



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Microsoft hosts ‘Scaling AI at Work’ to drive AI-first innovation for Sri Lankan businesses

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Dr. Rohini Srivathsa, Chief Technology Officer for Microsoft India and South Asia, presenting 'The Art of Possible with AI for Productivity' at the 'Scaling AI at Work' event in Sri Lanka.

Microsoft ignited the ‘Scaling AI at Work’ event in Sri Lanka on 26 November 2024, providing a dynamic platform for key customers and partners to delve into the transformative potential of AI. The event showed how Microsoft AI is sparking success among its customers, effectively enriching employee experience and driving business processes with the use of an AI platform that is secure, safe, and private.

Dr. Rohini Srivathsa, Chief Technology Officer for Microsoft India and South Asia, led a power track on ‘The Art of Possible with AI for Productivity’. In her session, Dr. Srivathsa discussed the extensive suite of AI models accessible through the Microsoft platform, emphasizing that unlocking its true potential hinges not only on the prompts customers use, but also the context of one’s work. She elaborated on how AI is reshaping business transformation and the critical importance of responsible AI practices, reaffirming Microsoft’s stance on protecting customer data.

Speaking on the efficacy of AI in driving value, Dr. Srivathsa said, “Microsoft runs on trust. We aim to empower our customers to bend the curve on innovation with AI Copilots, driving efficiency through comprehensive cutting-edge systems. We’re changing the way innovation is done, effectively helping our customers accelerate their transformation in the age of AI with a platform that is secure by design to reshape collaborative businesses, processes and decision making.”

A key highlight was how Microsoft 365 Copilot enhances productivity by saving time, automating routine work, thereby freeing workforces to pursue higher priority goals with the potential of creating significant impact.

The event explored how Copilot is actively helping organizations create new business opportunities, optimize capital management, and improve profitability while reducing operational costs by eliminating the need for external support and third-party AI tools. Copilot users reported saving 30 minutes a day, equating to 10 hours per month, highlighting the value of AI in everyday business operations.

Trust and security were central themes throughout the event. Speakers underscored the importance of implementing robust security measures alongside AI adoption. In line with this, a panel discussion titled ‘Creating Customer Delight by Optimizing Processes with Utmost Security’, moderated by Harsha Randeny, Country Manager for Microsoft Sri Lanka and Maldives, explored real-world success stories of businesses achieving operational efficiency through AI-powered solutions.

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The George Keyt Foundation unveils a distinguished line-up of Sri Lankan artists for upcoming auction conducted by Sotheby’s

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Sotheby’s conducts its first ever Auction celebrating contemporary and modern Sri Lankan artists

The eagerly anticipated first-ever art auction conducted by Sotheby’s in Sri Lanka, presented by the George Keyt Foundation, continues to generate excitement with the unveiling of the distinguished line-up of artists.

The landmark event aims to bring together an extraordinary constellation of Sri Lanka’s most celebrated contemporary and modern artists whose works will be showcased and sold in an unprecedented charity auction.

The artworks will be available for viewing at Cinnamon Life on December 8th  from 10.00 a.m. to 6.00 p.m and on December 9th from 10.00 a.m to 5.00 p.m. On December 8th, Ishrat Kanga – Director, Specialist, and Co-Worldwide Head of Modern and Contemporary South Asian Art at Sotheby’s will lead a panel discussion titled ‘Indian Ocean Affiliations in the Making of Modern and Contemporary Sri Lankan Art’. The Panel will be moderated by Mariah Lookman and will include Professor Jagath Weerasinghe and Anoma Wijewardene. This is a free event and registration is available on Eventbrite on the following link: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/indian-ocean-affiliations-in-the-making-of-modern-contemporary-sri-lanka-tickets-1094936778379

The Charity Auction,conducted by Ishrat Kanga of Sotheby’s, featuring 46 Lots by 35 leading Sri Lankan artists will take place on December 9th  2024 at 6.30 p.m. at The Forum, Cinnamon Life. Pre-registration to participate in the Auction is required. For more information, please visit www.georgekeytfoundation.com/auction

The prestigious exhibition receives support from generous sponsors including Cinnamon Life as the Principal Sponsor and Nations Trust Bank serving as Co-Sponsor. Other Official Partners include Lynear Wealth for Wealth Management, Wine World for Beverages, MA Lanka for Logistics, Colombo Jewelers for Gem & Jewellery, Calcey for Technology, Printcare for Print Services, and Chatham Luxury as Watch Partner.

The exhibition provides a valuable opportunity for art enthusiasts, collectors, patrons and the public to immerse themselves in contemporary creative expressions, celebrating Sri Lanka’s artistic legacy. For more information visit our website www.georgekeytfoundation.com/auction and pre-registration details, contact: info@georgekeytfoundation.com

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NDB Kotahena branch sets a new benchmark with record-breaking CEO’s Club achievement

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NDB Kotahena Branch’s CEO’s Club Achievement Celebration

NDB Bank proudly celebrates the exceptional performance of its Kotahena Branch, which has achieved a monumental milestone in the bank’s history. The branch has become the first in NDB’s history to produce an unprecedented all 12 branch staff members qualify for the elite CEO’s Club members in a single year 2024 with a remarkable YTD achievement of Rs.37 million, cementing its position as the highest performer across the entire network.

This historic achievement is a testament to the Kotahena Branch team’s relentless dedication, exceptional teamwork, and commitment to delivering customer-centric solutions. By placing the needs of customers at the forefront, the team has demonstrated the true spirit of excellence that NDB strives for.

NDB Bank’s CEO’s Club, a hallmark of bancassurance excellence, has grown exponentially since the partnership with AIA Insurance began in 2006. As a pioneer in integrating banking and insurance services, NDB has consistently enhanced its suite of bancassurance solutions to provide comprehensive financial security for its customers. In 2023, the bank recorded a landmark achievement with 210 CEO’s Club members, showcasing the growing importance of bancassurance in NDB’s customer-focused offerings.

The 12 exemplary staff members who contributed to this outstanding achievement were Balasubramaniam Aingaran – Branch Manager, Shivanthan Jayaranjit – Privilege Relationship Manager, Jeyasekaram Kuganthan – Assistant Manager, Gagan Hiniduma – Credit officer, Navodya Nagodavithana – Credit Associate, Chamara Udayanga – Pawning officer, Sharmin James – Cash Officer. Amirthalingam Kirushikan – Previous cash officer, Mohammed Nafeel – Junior Executive, Nishan Madushanka Leonard – Senior Business Development Associate, Nidhursha Yogaraj – Banking Assistant and Sesadi Jeyasekara – Banking Assistant.

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