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(This is the First in the series of ‘PATHFINDER NATIONAL SECURITY BRIEF issued by the Pathfinder Foundation. Readers’ comments via email to pm@pathfinderfoundation.org  are welcome.)

INTRODUCTION

Over time, the illicit drug trade has evolved into one of the most lucrative global industries, its tendrils now extending across multiple regions and presenting a profound challenge to global peace and stability. Drug trafficking is a transnational illegal commerce involving cultivators, manufacturers, transporters, suppliers, and distributors, all operating in defiance of drug prohibition laws. According to the Global Financial Integrity report published by the Washington-based think tank in March 2017, the global business of transnational crime is estimated to generate between $1.6 trillion and $2.2 trillion annually.

This study, The Pathfinder Foundation team, which assessed the criminal market across 11 categories, revealed that drug trafficking accounted for the second-highest value, ranging between $426 billion and $526 billion in 2014 alone, constituting approximately 1% of total global trade in that year. The United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC) World Drug Report 2022 highlighted that in 2020, an estimated 284 million individuals aged 15-64 globally used drugs within that year, with 209 million consuming cannabis, 61 million using opioids, and 31 million engaging with amphetamines, reflecting a 20% increase over the decade. Furthermore, the report highlights that in 2022, approximately 7 million people were in formal contact with the police for drug-related offences, and over 1.6 million people were convicted globally.

Transnational criminal syndicates traffic a range of drugs, including cannabis, cocaine, heroin, and synthetic substances, across various regions, generating substantial financial gains and perpetuating violence and criminality within societies. Drug trafficking is an enterprise primarily driven by monetary incentives, serving as a significant revenue source for organised criminal factions. Many of these syndicates are also involved in other heinous activities, such as arms and human trafficking, money laundering, immigration offences, and they are even implicated in the financing of terrorism.

The trade in illicit drugs has the most harmful societal, political, and economic consequences, threatening the very fabric of societies through addiction, criminality, and the spread of disease. Technological advancements, liberal economic policies, poverty, endemic corruption, and, notably, the lack of robust national legislative frameworks capable of addressing the evolving dynamics of drug trafficking, have become key contributors to the proliferation of this illicit trade, thereby jeopardising global security structures.

AIM

In this context, The Pathfinder Foundation in this study aims to investigate the interconnected roles of cultivators, producers, transporters, suppliers, and dealers within the drug trafficking network and to identify the potential threats and security challenges posed to the South Asian region, particularly from a Sri Lankan perspective.

OVERVIEW OF DRUG TRAFFICKING IN SOUTH ASIA

The South Asian region has increasingly become a significant conduit for illicit drugs destined for the international market, with the “Golden Crescent,” covering the mountainous peripheries of Afghanistan and Pakistan, extending into eastern Iran and known to be the largest supplier of narcotic substances globally. Additionally, the “Golden Triangle,” a mountainous region bordering Thailand, Myanmar, and Laos, has been identified as one of the world’s foremost areas for the production of synthetic drugs, alongside traditional opium cultivation. The opium production originating from these two regions, located at the crossroads of Central, South, and West Asia, accounts for approximately 90% of the global illicit drug trade. Opium production in Central and West Asian countries is transported via the Arabian Sea towards the final destinations in the West and the East. Consequently, India, Sri Lanka, and the Maldives have become key transit points in the eastern maritime path known as the “Southern route.”

Indicative Afghan Heroin Trafficking Routes

Source: UNDOC Research publication in June 2015. UNODC elaboration is based on seizure data from the Drug Monitoring Platform, Individual Drug Seizures, and Annual Report Questionnaires, supplemented by national and other official reports.

OVERVIEW OF DRUG TRAFFICKING IN INDIA

India’s strategic proximity to both the “Golden Crescent” and the “Golden Triangle,” along with its extensive pharmaceutical industry, has made the country vulnerable as both a destination and transit point in the global drug trade. According to the Narcotic Control Bureau (NCB), approximately 70% of the illegal drugs entering India are smuggled via sea routes from the Bay of Bengal and the Arabian Sea.

The World Drug Report 2022 states that India ranks fourth in the volume of opium seized in 2020, with 5.2 tons confiscated, and third in the amount of morphine seized, totalling 0.7 tons in the same year. The Indian coastal belt, which stretches across the Bay of Bengal and the Arabian Sea, along with neighbouring countries such as Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Pakistan, and the Maldives, is particularly vulnerable to maritime trafficking, given their exposure to trafficking routes across the Indian Ocean.

OVERVIEW OF DRUG TRAFFICKING IN SRI LANKA

Sri Lanka’s geographic location has invariably positioned the country as a pivotal conduit in the international drug supply chain, linking the East to the West. In Sri Lanka, most illicit drugs, originating overseas, are trafficked into the country via the Arabian Sea. The trafficking operations are notably complex, involving multiple actors: growers, producers, transporters, dealers, and local distributors. Often, the dealers are of Sri Lankan origin who reside in the Gulf region.

The suppliers originate from tribal areas in Pakistan, and the transporters or smugglers, typically of Iranian origin, operate across the Indian Ocean. The local distributors, often based along Sri Lanka’s coastal belt, are directly linked to criminal syndicate leaders in the Middle East. In addition to maritime routes, trafficking occurs via container shipping, airline passengers, and postal services, including fast parcels.

The National Dangerous Drug Control Board (NDDCB) is the principal national institution mandated with the prevention and control of drug abuse in Sri Lanka. Established in 1984, its primary objective is to eradicate the drug menace from the country. According to a 2024 research publication by the NDDCB, the total number of drug-related arrests in 2023 reached 162,088. Of these arrests, 66,142 (40.8%) were related to heroin, 68,845 (42.2%) to cannabis, and 26,096 (16.1%) to methamphetamine. This marks a 90% increase in drug-related arrests from the 89,321 recorded in 2019. The same report highlights a steady rise in the quantity of drugs seized between 2019 and 2022, with cannabis seizures more than doubling and methamphetamine seizures increasing significantly during that period. Correspondingly, arrests for drug-related offences have also risen in line with the increase in drug seizures during the same timeframe.

Drug Related Arrests in Sri Lanka (2019-2023)

Source: The National Dangerous Drug Control Board (NDDCB) publication on Drug Related Statistics, Arrests & Treatment January – December 2023

Quantity of Drug Seized in Sri Lanka (2019-2023)

Source: The National Dangerous Drug Control Board (NDDCB) publication on Drug Related Statistics, Arrests & Treatment, January – December 2023

Recent studies conducted by the NDDCB on illicit drug use in Sri Lanka indicate a significant shift in consumption patterns. Initially, cannabis was the predominant drug consumed, particularly by those residing in urban townships. However, over time, there has been a marked transition towards methamphetamine use. Several studies, undertaken by both government and non-government research institutions in the region, have further corroborated this alarming trend, highlighting a sharp rise in the use of synthetic drugs. While the timeframes for these shifts may vary across different destinations due to a range of factors, the overall trend underscores the growing prevalence of artificial drugs within the region.

EMERGING TRENDS AND CHALLENGES

A report released by the Research and Trend Analysis Branch of the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC), based on a survey of opium cultivation and production in Afghanistan, following the ban imposed by the de facto authorities in Afghanistan (DfA) on poppy cultivation and all narcotic substances in April 2022, reveals a dramatic 95% decline in cultivation in 2023. Notably, however, the same research found that, in contrast to opiates, methamphetamine trafficking continues to surge within the region. An analysis of emerging trends and evolving patterns in drug trafficking indicates a significant shift from traditional narcotics to synthetic drugs, such as amphetamine-type stimulants and chemical precursors. In the long term, these developments may result in a change of heroin purity coming into the market, an increase in addiction, particularly among youth and potential demand for opiate treatment facilities, etc.

The centralisation of command structures, the use of advanced technology, and the decentralisation of distribution networks, in response to increased demand, have generated larger profits for criminal syndicates and facilitated the expansion of trafficking networks across regions. The evolution of digital communication platforms has introduced a novel dimension to both the demand and distribution of illicit drugs. With rapid technological advancements, drug traffickers are leveraging online platforms to identify, market, and deliver their products to end users at competitive rates while minimising risk for both suppliers and recipients. Moreover, access to these illicit substances has become easier than ever, resulting not only in an increase in demand but also in a significant potential threat to the social fabric of societies.

PATHFINDER WAY FORWARD

Development and Implementation of an Effective National Drug Control Strategy: The South Asian region is characterised by a mix of post-conflict, least-developed, and middle-income states, each facing common and unique challenges. Regional cooperation is essential for an effective and coordinated response to the drug problem. A reformed, coordinated, and concentrated effort involving all stakeholders, including government agencies, civil society, academia, and other relevant segments, is imperative for the development and implementation of an effective strategy in combating drug trafficking in the region.

International Cooperation, Collaboration, and Coordination

: International cooperation remains fundamental in developing a comprehensive solution to the drug trafficking threat. Sharing data, knowledge, and expertise with international partners will enable the identification of new trends and facilitate the design of programmatic responses to address these emerging issues. Creating a common regional information-sharing platform to share intelligence and real-time information would further strengthen cooperation, collaboration, and coordination among inter- and intra-regional agencies to disrupt drug trafficking in the region.

Incorporation of UN Drug Control Conventions into Domestic Legal Frameworks: Although almost all nations are currently parties to the UN International Drug Control Conventions of 1961, 1971, and 1988, their provisions are not fully incorporated into domestic legal frameworks. Therefore, it is vital to include the said provisions into local legislations and policies in compliance with international drug control conventions, as this would significantly contribute to combating drug trafficking.

Research and Survey

: Understanding the intricate connections between cultivators, producers, transporters, suppliers, dealers, and the complex web of individuals and criminal syndicates involved in drug trafficking and consumption presents significant challenges. The effectiveness of current global and regional anti-narcotic measures further adds to the uncertainty in predicting the threats posed by drug trafficking. Therefore, continuous research and surveys are essential. These efforts not only assist in combating drug trafficking but also help nations identify emerging trends, assess potential threats to national security, and develop strategies to mitigate their impact.

Enhancement of Capacity and Capabilities of all Stakeholders: It is of paramount importance to enhance the capacity and capabilities of relevant government agencies, civil society, academia, and other relevant segments, particularly through the provision of financial and technical assistance aimed at combating organised crime, corruption, and terrorism.



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Opinion

A paradox of history

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Shakespeare

There seems to be a striking similarity between ancient Greece and modern Britain. Both countries remain paradoxes of history. Greece was a small city state constantly at war with neighbouring countries. It did not have a big army, but it had considerable sea power. However, Greece was a leading state over the whole of the Mediterranean. In fact, Greece was once a super power in the Western world.

Britain was very powerful in the 19th century. British justice was administered in Africa, India and Ceylon. British factories flourished in many countries and schoolchildren started reading R.L. Stevenson’s ‘Treasure Island’ and the works of Rudyard Kipling. What Ralph Waldo Emerson said in the 1850s is still valid today. He said, “If there’s one test of national genius universally accepted, it is success; and if there be one successful country in the universe for the last millennium, that country is England. It is the best of actual nations.”

In World War I, Britain faced a crushing defeat. Eventually, the British Empire was reduced to a Commonwealth. World War II shattered the image of Britain further. Although Britain lost much of its power, it continued to be an influential country. Even after achieving independence, India retained English as an official language. The British parliament system is well established in many Commonwealth countries. Some people still wonder how England still exercises its influence over the minds of men and women.

Staying power

There are many powerful countries in the world today such as the United States, Russia and China. Although England is not a super power, she has staying power. According to Oliver Wendell Holmes, a good part of greatness is simply being there. For that matter, England has been there for many centuries. So far no other country has been able to defeat her. As a result, sometimes we wonder whether we can have a world without England.

England has had an unwritten Constitution for a very long time. Other countries have emulated her political institutions. The British people have an established church with complete religious freedom. Although there are social classes in Britain, there has been no major clash among them. Unlike in many other countries, there are only two leading political parties in England. When the Labour Party is in power, the government is not subservient to labour. Similarly, when the Conservative Party is in power, the government is not conservative.

Most British colonies in the East including India and Ceylon did not sever the cultural and emotional links with Britain and retain them even after achieving independence. India became independent in 1947, but she decided to retain English as an official language. By doing so, India produced a number of English writers such as R.K Narayan. However, Ceylon did not give English any official status and treated it as a link language. As a result, students paid less attention to learning English. They were made to understand that everything can be done by learning Sinhala and Tamil. We have failed to produce English writers in the calibre of J. Vijayatunga who wrote ‘Grass for my feet.’

Politically shrinking

The United Kingdom is politically shrinking. However, its influence vibrates throughout the world. English has brought many nations together. There is a common understanding among countries that share the English language and literature. William Shakespeare’s dramas are staged in countries such as China where English is not an official language. People have come to the conclusion that English has become a broker of ideas and institutions.

England is not an aggressive country. However, if provoked, it can deliver a mortal blow to its enemy. British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher showed her mettle as the iron lady. Britain held the fort against the might of Napoleon Bonaparte who ruled France. The country can still boast of a heavy moral credit. The British stick to their international agreements. The power of England draws mainly from its language. British people say ‘It’s right’ when it is right’. When it is not right, they say, ‘It’s not right.’ Meanwhile English occupies a pre-eminent place in world languages. All the research work in many parts of the world is available in English. You can learn any subject easily through English.

Apart from the language, people respect British standards which are technical specifications and quality benchmarks developed by the British Standards Institution. The United Kingdom’s independent national standards body was established in 1901. It maintains over 37,000 standards covering industries such as construction, manufacturing and technology ensuring safety and reliability.

British English

Standard British English is the variety of English that has undergone codification to the point of being socially perceived as the standard language associated with formal schooling, language assessment and official print publications. For historical reasons dating back to the rise of London in the ninth century, the form of language spoken in London and the East Midlands became the Standard English used in schools, universities, literature and law.

British English functions as one of the two major foundational and standard varieties of the English language alongside American English. It serves as a primary reference point for spelling and grammar. It acts as a global standard, and international institutions are often defined by specific pronunciation.

Most Sri Lankan doctors primarily move to England for postgraduate training, higher specialisation and better career prospects. They are driven by superior training infrastructure, world-class facilities and globally recognised qualifications.

To sum up, when you think of learning an international language, there is no alternative to English. If you wish to read literature, you cannot ignore eminent English dramatists and poets such as William Shakespeare and John Milton. Many leading Sri Lankans like S.W.R.D. Bandaranaike were Oxford University products. Therefore, English deserves to be made an official language in Sri Lanka.

karunaratners@gmail.com

By R.S. Karunaratne

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Opinion

State Literary Awards only for the rich?

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The Department of Cultural Affairs has once again called authors, and publishers to lodge their entries for selection of the prestigious State Literary Awards 2026.The criteria and conditions required and notified in the public domain, makes it mandatory for the literary work to be printed and published prior to submission for consideration of the awards. There is absolutely no provision for writers to submit their work in Manuscript form.

Where does that leave the financially impoverished writers who are talented, creative and wish to submit a well edited typescript of their work as manuscript for consideration of the State Literary Awards? In a literary environment that encourages a proliferation of self-published books of all forms and features presented by vanity publishers who have their eye on the purse of the author than on literary merit and artistic excellence, it is easy to show that you are an ” established writer” by spending your cash abundantly towards glossy covered books which the printing industry and fawning publishers will lap up with greed.

Even the Gratiaen Prize in Sri Lanka, sponsored by world-renowned Michael Ondaatje allows for Manuscript entries together with published books. Significantly, the manuscript entries that win the prize are assisted to publish their work which is part of the winnings. Many a young, aspiring writer with little funds who won the Gratiaen Prize on merit, but had submitted their entry in manuscript form have been thereby encouraged to submit their work on merit basis only.

It is a fact that the Commonwealth Short Story Prize, a massive state-supported initiative across 56 nations accepts only unpublished short fiction. Further, several countries in the world have established national or state level literary prizes that specifically accept unpublished manuscripts to provide equity in discovering new talent and supporting national literature without bias or favour. In Australia, Jamaica, Philippines, major national awards organised by the State for literature, specifically accept unpublished manuscripts for consideration.

Let’s face the truth. The printing costs are escalating. There is little demand in Sri Lanka for literary work in the English Language in particular. Traditional Publishing where the literary work is reviewed and assessed for talent and creativity and thereafter published is seldom found. The reviews and critical analysis of literary works are rare. But publishers make a pile by pandering to the vanity of aspiring writers who have the financial clout to pay their way through to being featured in prestigious award ceremonies and accolades. Thereafter, their substandard works get a further fillip by bearing the label of “Won the State Literary Award for Literature”! It is a cycle of literary charlatans and their pimps in the publishing industry for whom the price that is paid for publishing and not Meritocracy is the sine-qua-non.

Is this the level playing field promised by the NPP Government and their Marxist protagonists? A government that was voted into power on the platform of affording fair opportunity and equality seems to discriminate in favour of the Haves against the Have- nots in the cultural department to say the least! Anil Fernando

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Opinion

Delivering on English

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English literature offers a rich heritage of wonderful ideas and thoughts. The reader can be intellectually uplifted. It brings refreshing new vistas and stimulating new ideas. However, this English literature has to be first introduced to the student in order to fire up his or her interest and be made aware of this rich source of culture. Students of basic English as a second language work hard and learn all the hum-drum mechanics of the language, for which they get tested and graded. But importantly, nae crucially, this should be followed up with intellectual rewards for the students’ efforts – which, of course, is the enjoyment of the works of literature of the many great writers in the English language. This is the great payoff, the great dividend for all their efforts but this, apparently goes missing.

One of the obvious reasons for the lack of “follow through” may be lack of time allocated in the curriculum – or, perhaps, more darkly, the teachers’ own lack of knowledge of the great range of good reading materials produced by the countless generations of literary geniuses who have gone before. Such writers have laid down for us a heritage of glorious literary works in books and essays, all of which are to be found in any good library. It is thought that much of this good literature ought to be introduced to all students of English, “full stop,” as part of developing a knowledgeable and cultured society. (Isn’t that what we want?) Reading English literature should bring an intellectual enrichment to all those willing to drink from this Bacchanalian horn of plenty.

It must be said finally, that it can be fairly expected that most young people, especially those learning English as a second language, are totally unaware of the many outstanding pieces of writing that propel English to stand tall amongst the rest. That is, students need to be first introduced to great writings and have a spark of interest ignited in these great works of literature.

For example, by being introduced to “Daffodils,” a short descriptive poem by William Wordsworth, the student can get some very pleasant ideas to think on.

Do not overlook Conan Doyle’s “Sherlock Holmes” detective stories, each one captivating the reader’s attention right to the end. It is by these short stories that the novice reader can first consolidate his power of reading.

For light reading Jerome K. Jerome’s book “Three Men in a Boat” is suggested. On one occasion he goes to the library suffering from a slight hay-fever (allergy) seeking a cure. He consults a book, “Lexicon of Pharmacology”, and recoils in horror as his symptoms fit most of those diseases described in the book! He concludes he cannot live much longer and staggers home to rest and recuperate! This is a well related tale in the book – although seemingly quite implausible!

Similarly, by having the poem meanings explained, e.g. “What is Life if Full of Care?” by William Henry Davis – how he regrets that we humans are always in a hurry, too busy to notice or see the delights of nature, and scenes of natural beauty, e.g., a young woman’s smile as she passes by; we have no time to make friends and even kiss her. Regrets! Explaining this to students would bring a certain intellectual insight.

John Keats’s poem, “Ode to Autumn” is another great work describing the ripening fruits of the autumn season and how nature as a living being, brings to fruition all the good things of a rural landscape quietly humming with warmth after a hot summer.

Again, it is likely necessary to explain to a young, Sri Lankan mind the meaning of the descriptive poetry found in this magnificent poem.

This is the real English to be tasted and then swigged at lustily in pleasure and satisfaction, not some writing airing historical grievances for children to study!

1970 British Cohort Study

It should be observed here that the ‘1970 British Cohort Study’ followed 70,000 people to examine various aspects of their lives. One result discovered was that if a young person reads a lot, it develops his/ her general intelligence no-matter his parents; it makes him smarter.

It was also noted that reading brings life-long benefits; it improves mood, it helps with social skills, increases empathy, reduces anxiety, protects against depression and slows brain decay, the study found.

But these days many young people never gain a great competence in reading English; the fear is that standards are falling. This is bringing poorer critical thinking, less depth of personality and less empathy for others which has the result of a more turbulent society.

People are urged to switch off their headphones and read more of what they like – try reading the newspapers!

Priyantha Hettige

 

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